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Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum match centre

Dynamo Dresden badgeDynamo DresdenHome · 11 in league
WDWLL
Momentum↘ Falling40/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:0
UK time · Europe/London
VfL Bochum badgeVfL BochumAway · 9 in league
DLWDL
Momentum↘ Falling32/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Ceka5′
V. Vermeij59′
Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion · DresdenSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate99.9%Dynamo Dresden
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%VfL Bochum
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Dynamo Dresden 3.8% · no further goal 91.9% · VfL Bochum 4.3%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Dynamo DresdenVfL Bochum
4Corner Kicks5
9Fouls15
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves4
487Total passes430
403Passes accurate347

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

2. Bundesliga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1FC Schalke 0434+1970—
2SV Elversberg34+2562—
3SC Paderborn 0734+1462—
4Hannover 9634+1660—
5SV Darmstadt 9834+1252—
61. FC Kaiserslautern34+552—
7Hertha BSC34+351—
81. FC Nürnberg34+246—
9Dynamo Dresden35+344↑ 2
10VfL Bochum35044↓ 1
11Karlsruher SC34-1144↓ 1
12Holstein Kiel34-441—
13Arminia Bielefeld34+239—
141. FC Magdeburg34-639—
15Eintracht Braunschweig34-1837—
16SpVgg Greuther Fürth34-1937—
17Fortuna Düsseldorf34-2037—
18Preußen Münster34-2330—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Dynamo Dresden 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

VfL Bochum 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Dynamo Dresden

3/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Dynamo Dresden’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

VfL Bochum

3/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect VfL Bochum’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Dynamo Dresden at home with VfL Bochum away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:21 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

2. Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

Dynamo DresdenVfL Bochum
29Matches played29
32Points earned36
8Wins9
1.6Goals scored / match1.5
1.6Goals conceded / match1.4
4Clean sheets8
5Failed to score4

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Dynamo Dresden at home with VfL Bochum away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Dynamo Dresden

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Thomas Stamm
  1. 37Daniel MesenholerG
  2. 32Jonas SternerD
  3. 13Julian PauliD
  4. 42Friedrich MullerD
  5. 19Alexander RossipalD
  6. 18Robert WagnerM
  7. 6Kofi Jeremy AmoakoM
  8. 7Jason CekaM
  9. 27Niklas HauptmannM
  10. 20Ben Justus BobzienM
  11. 9Vincent VermeijF
Substitutes (9)

45 · Marlon Grafe

2 · Konrad Faber

29 · Lukas Boeder

16 · Nils Fröling

8 · Luca Herrmann

10 · Jakob Lemmer

24 · Tony Menzel

30 · Stefan Kutschke

33 · Christoph Daferner

VfL Bochum

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Uwe Rosler
  1. 1Timo HornG
  2. 13Oliver OlsenD
  3. 4Erhan MašovićD
  4. 3Philipp StrompfD
  5. 39Leandro MorgallaD
  6. 19Matus BeroM
  7. 24Mats PannewigM
  8. 23Koji MiyoshiM
  9. 21Francis OnyekaM
  10. 17Gerrit HoltmannM
  11. 16Callum MarshallF
Substitutes (9)

38 · Hugo Rolleke

7 · Kevin Vogt

35 · Kacper Kościerski

32 · Maximilian Wittek

8 · Kjell Wätjen

11 · Moritz-Broni Kwarteng

29 · Farid Alfa-Ruprecht

34 · Cajetan Lenz

43 · Louis Köster

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Dynamo Dresden

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Daniel Mesenholer907.5—0—68—
Jonas Sterner906.6—0—402
Julian Pauli907.0—0—852
Friedrich Muller907.0—0—1061
Alexander Rossipal907.2—0—531
Robert Wagner857.2—0—315
Kofi Jeremy Amoako757.5—01215
Jason Ceka697.7102141
Niklas Hauptmann757.0—0—19—
Ben Justus Bobzien908.6—21281
Vincent Vermeij857.7102243
Jakob Lemmer216.3—0131
Lukas Boeder156.3—0—9—
Tony Menzel156.6—0—41
Luca Herrmann96.7—0—2—
Christoph Daferner96.3—0—2—
Marlon Grafe———————
Konrad Faber———————
Nils Fröling———————
Stefan Kutschke———————

VfL Bochum

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Timo Horn907.5—0—24—
Oliver Olsen906.3—0—431
Erhan Mašović766.9—0—593
Philipp Strompf907.0—0—921
Leandro Morgalla826.0—01371
Matus Bero906.7—0—601
Mats Pannewig906.9—01453
Koji Miyoshi766.3—0220—
Francis Onyeka906.3—05141
Gerrit Holtmann646.6—0—31—
Callum Marshall646.3—0214—
Kjell Wätjen266.5—0—5—
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht266.3—0—91
Kevin Vogt146.6—0—20—
Kacper Kościerski146.6—0—10—
Moritz-Broni Kwarteng86.3—0—3—
Hugo Rolleke———————
Maximilian Wittek———————
Cajetan Lenz———————
Louis Köster———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerDynamo DresdenDrawVfL Bochum
Bet3652.303.802.70

Snapshot from 17 Apr 2026, 18:30 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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