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SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg match centre

SpVgg Greuther Fürth badgeSpVgg Greuther FürthHome · 16 in league
DWWLL
Momentum↘ Falling42/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
1. FC Nürnberg badge1. FC NürnbergAway · 8 in league
DLLWW
Momentum↗ Rising53/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
N. Futkeu13′
F. Gruber45+3′
Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer · FürthSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate3.7%SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.8%1. FC Nürnberg
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3.8% · no further goal 92.3% · 1. FC Nürnberg 3.9%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Nürnberg
4Corner Kicks4
8Fouls11
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves5
251Total passes381
183Passes accurate323

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

2. Bundesliga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1FC Schalke 0434+1970—
2SV Elversberg34+2562—
3SC Paderborn 0734+1462—
4Hannover 9634+1660—
5SV Darmstadt 9834+1252—
61. FC Kaiserslautern34+552—
7Hertha BSC34+351—
81. FC Nürnberg35+247—
9VfL Bochum34+244—
10Karlsruher SC34-1144—
11Dynamo Dresden34+141—
12Holstein Kiel34-441—
13Arminia Bielefeld34+239—
141. FC Magdeburg34-639—
15SpVgg Greuther Fürth35-1938↑ 1
16Eintracht Braunschweig34-1837↓ 1
17Fortuna Düsseldorf34-2037—
18Preußen Münster34-2330—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

1. FC Nürnberg 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results

1. FC Nürnberg

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare SpVgg Greuther Fürth at home with 1. FC Nürnberg away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:51 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

2. Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Nürnberg
31Matches played31
33Points earned41
9Wins11
1.4Goals scored / match1.3
2.1Goals conceded / match1.3
4Clean sheets4
10Failed to score9

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares SpVgg Greuther Fürth at home with 1. FC Nürnberg away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Confirmed formation3-5-2Heiko Vogel
  1. 43S. PrufrockG
  2. 15J. ElvediD
  3. 4P. ZiereisD
  4. 5R. MunzD
  5. 23J. DehmM
  6. 30F. KlausM
  7. 13P. WillM
  8. 10B. HrgotaM
  9. 16A. KellerM
  10. 9N. FutkeuF
  11. 18F. HiglF
Substitutes (9)

26 · P. Boevink

27 · G. Itter

28 · D. Arifi

25 · B. Bjarnason

14 · J. Consbruch

37 · J. Green

7 · D. Srbeny

33 · M. Dietz

47 · S. Ltaief

1. FC Nürnberg

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Miroslav Klose
  1. 1J. ReichertG
  2. 8H. KoudossouD
  3. 4F. GruberD
  4. 24L. LochoshviliD
  5. 21B. YilmazD
  6. 6A. MarkhievM
  7. 20J. FernandezM
  8. 10J. JustvanM
  9. 25F. O. BeckerM
  10. 18R. LubachM
  11. 33A. GrimaldiF
Substitutes (9)

26 · C. Mathenia

5 · T. Baack

28 · T. Buchmann

39 · P. Scobel

32 · T. Janisch

22 · R. Nzingoula

37 · N. Maboulou

41 · E. Porstner

16 · M. Soldic

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Silas Prüfrock907.3—0—48—
Jan Elvedi907.2—01273
Philipp Ziereis906.2—0—24—
Reno Münz906.7—0—281
Jannik Dehm757.0—0—282
Felix Klaus907.0—01322
Paul Will866.9—01233
Branimir Hrgota866.6—01123
Aaron Keller906.9—0—162
Noel Futkeu907.3102131
Felix Higl586.3—0110—
Doni Arifi326.9—0—122
Dennis Srbeny156.6—017—
Jomaine Consbruch96.5—0—5—
Sayfallah Ltaief106.3—014—
Pelle Boevink———————
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason———————
Luca Itter———————
Maximilian Dietz———————
Julian Green———————

1. FC Nürnberg

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jan Reichert908.3—0—32—
Henri Koudossou906.3—0—381
Fabio Gruber907.9101503
Luka Lochoshvili907.0—03403
Berkay Yılmaz906.3—01391
Adam Markhiev907.3—0—616
Javier Fernandez886.5—0—311
Julian Justvan906.6—0437—
Finn Ole Becker886.7—02291
Rafael Lubach756.6—01242
Adriano Grimaldi586.6—0—9—
Piet Scobel326.3—0—8—
Rabby Nzingoula156.7—0—6—
Tom Baack86.7—0———
Marko Soldic86.6—0——1
Christian Mathenia———————
Tarek Buchmann———————
Eric Porstner———————
Tim Janisch———————
Noah Le Bret Maboulou———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerSpVgg Greuther FürthDraw1. FC Nürnberg
Bet3652.553.752.50

Snapshot from 2 May 2026, 21:28 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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