USA
1/2Wins
2.5Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect USA’s results
CONCACAF Gold CupSemi-finalsTHE MATCH CENTREUSA vs Guatemala match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
D. Luna4′
D. Luna15′
O. Escobar80′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
USAGuatemala
—Expected goals · API-Football—
7Shots on target5
12Total Shots20
49%Ball Possession51%
2Corner Kicks6
15Fouls15
4Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves5
383Total passes386
314Passes accurate325
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
USA 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Guatemala 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Guatemala
5/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Guatemala’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
USA
2 matchesResults1 wins · 1 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.5
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals2 of 2
Both teams scored2 of 2
Only a few results are available.
Guatemala
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
CanadaAway · CONCACAF Gold Cup1–1GuadeloupeAway · CONCACAF Gold Cup3–2PanamaHome · CONCACAF Gold Cup0–1JamaicaAway · CONCACAF Gold Cup1–0JamaicaAway · World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF0–3Dominican RepublicHome · World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF4–2El SalvadorAway · Friendlies1–1GuyanaHome · CONCACAF Gold Cup - Qualification2–0GuyanaAway · CONCACAF Gold Cup - Qualification2–3HondurasAway · Friendlies2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare USA at home with Guatemala away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:54 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
CONCACAF Gold Cup · 2025/26 · all league matches
USAGuatemala
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares USA at home with Guatemala away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
USA
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Mauricio Roberto Pochettino Trossero
- 25
M. FreeseG - 16
A. FreemanD - 3
C. RichardsD - 13
T. ReamD - 18
M. ArfstenD - 4
T. AdamsM - 14
L. de la TorreM - 8
S. BerhalterM - 17
M. TillmanM - 10
D. LunaM - 24
P. AgyemangF
Substitutes (12)
9 · D. Downs
5 · W. Zimmerman
2 · J. Tolkin
6 · J. McGlynn
11 · B. Aaronson
7 · Q. Sullivan
21 · P. Aaronson
22 · M. McKenzie
20 · N. Harriel
12 · M. Robinson
23 · B. White
1 · M. Turner
Guatemala
Confirmed formation4-4-2Luis Fernando Tena Garduño
- 12
K. NavarroG - 7
A. HerreraD - 4
J. PintoD - 3
N. SamayoaD - 16
J. MoralesD - 18
Ó. SantisM - 13
S. RoblesM - 5
J. RosalesM - 11
R. MuñozM - 9
R. RubínF - 10
P. AltánF
Substitutes (12)
19 · A. Ordóñez
14 · D. Lom
20 · O. Escobar
22 · J. Franco
17 · Ó. Castellanos
6 · E. Lémus
24 · C. Aguilar
2 · J. Ardón
8 · R. Saravia
25 · K. Ramírez
21 · L. Morán
23 · E. Cardoza
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
USA
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Freese | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Alexander Freeman | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | 1 |
| Chris Richards | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 51 | — |
| Tim Ream | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 46 | — |
| Maximilian Arfsten | 85 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 1 |
| Tyler Adams | 77 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 2 |
| Luca De La Torre | 58 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | — |
| Sebastian Berhalter | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | 5 |
| Malik Tillman | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 3 |
| Diego Luna | 77 | 8.3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 32 | — |
| Patrick Agyemang | 85 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 3 | 16 | — |
| Brenden Aaronson | 32 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 1 |
| John Tolkin | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Jack McGlynn | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Walker Zimmerman | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Damion Downs | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Matt Turner | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mark McKenzie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Harriel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miles Robinson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paxten Aaronson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Quinn Sullivan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brian White | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Guatemala
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenderson Navarro | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Aaron Herrera | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 60 | 2 |
| José Pinto | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 54 | — |
| Nicolás Samayoa | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 60 | 1 |
| José Morales | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 38 | — |
| Óscar Santis | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1 |
| Stheven Robles | 65 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Jose Marroquín | 65 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 3 | 30 | 1 |
| Rudy Muñoz | 65 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| Rubio Rubin | 70 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 7 | — |
| Pedro Altán | 70 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Olger Escobar | 25 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Jonathan Franco | 25 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Oscar Castellanos | 25 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Arquímides Ordóñez | 20 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Darwin Lom | 20 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Luis Morán | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Ardón | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Aguilar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Ramirez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elmer Cardoza | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Saravia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erick Lemus | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗CONCACAF Gold Cup table
Current standings · Group C. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panama | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Guatemala | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | WLW |
| 3 |  Jamaica | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | LWL |
| 4 |  Guadeloupe | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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