Villarreal
1/4Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Villarreal’s results
La LigaMatchweek 21THE MATCH CENTREVillarreal vs Real Madrid match centre
Full time
0:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
K. Mbappe47′
K. Mbappe90′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
VillarrealReal Madrid
0.580Expected goals · API-Football1.580
1Shots on target4
8Total Shots14
42%Ball Possession58%
6Corner Kicks6
19Fouls10
3Yellow Cards1
Red Cards
2Goalkeeper Saves1
384Total passes551
311Passes accurate483
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Villarreal 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Real Madrid 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Real Madrid
2/3Wins
3.3Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Real Madrid’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Villarreal
4 matchesResults1 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals3 of 4
Both teams scored3 of 4
Only a few results are available.
Real Madrid
3 matchesResults2 wins · 1 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game3.3
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals2 of 3
Both teams scored2 of 3
Only a few results are available.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Villarreal at home with Real Madrid away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:48 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
VillarrealReal Madrid
19Matches played20
41Points earned48
13Wins15
2.0Goals scored / match2.2
1.0Goals conceded / match0.9
7Clean sheets9
3Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Villarreal at home with Real Madrid away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Villarreal
Confirmed formation4-4-2Marcelino
- 1
Luiz JuniorG - 26
P. NavarroD - 8
J. FoythD - 12
R. VeigaD - 24
A. PedrazaD - 17
T. BuchananM - 10
D. ParejoM - 18
P. GueyeM - 20
A. MoleiroM - 7
G. MorenoF - 9
G. MikautadzeF
Substitutes (8)
25 · A. Tenas
4 · R. Marin
16 · T. Partey
19 · N. Pepe
21 · T. Oluwaseyi
22 · A. Perez
23 · S. Cardona
37 · C. Macia
Real Madrid
Confirmed formation4-3-3Alvaro Arbeloa
- 1
T. CourtoisG - 8
F. ValverdeD - 17
R. AsencioD - 24
D. HuijsenD - 18
A. CarrerasD - 15
A. GulerM - 6
E. CamavingaM - 5
J. BellinghamM - 30
F. MastantuonoF - 10
K. MbappeF - 7
Vinicius JuniorF
Substitutes (11)
13 · A. Lunin
43 · S. Mestre
2 · D. Carvajal
4 · D. Alaba
11 · Rodrygo
16 · G. Garcia
19 · D. Ceballos
20 · F. Garcia
21 · B. Diaz
27 · D. Aguado
28 · J. Cestero Sancho
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Villarreal
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luiz Júnior | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Pau Navarro | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 6 |
| Juan Foyth | 24 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Renato Veiga | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 4 |
| Alfonso Pedraza | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 5 |
| Tajon Buchanan | 70 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 4 |
| Dani Parejo | 77 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 4 |
| Pape Gueye | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 42 | 2 |
| Alberto Moleiro | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| Gerard Moreno | 70 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 17 | 1 |
| Georges Mikautadze | 77 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Rafa Marín | 66 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 3 |
| Nicolas Pépé | 20 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 2 |
| Tani Oluwaseyi | 20 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Thomas Partey | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 2 |
| Ayoze Pérez | 13 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Arnau Tenas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergi Cardona | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Maciá | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Real Madrid
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibaut Courtois | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Federico Valverde | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 69 | — |
| Raúl Asencio | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 1 |
| Dean Huijsen | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 64 | 2 |
| Álvaro Carreras | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 67 | 2 |
| Arda Güler | 80 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 58 | 2 |
| Eduardo Camavinga | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 58 | 6 |
| Jude Bellingham | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 48 | 3 |
| Franco Mastantuono | 74 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 5 |
| Kylian Mbappé | 90 | 8.3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 42 | — |
| Vinícius Júnior | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 42 | 1 |
| Gonzalo García | 16 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Brahim Díaz | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Andriy Lunin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Mestre | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Alaba | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fran García | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Aguado | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Carvajal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Cestero | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dani Ceballos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrygo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗La Liga table
Current standings · Primera División. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95 | 36 | 59 | 94 | LWLWW |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 86 | WWWLW |
| 3 | Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72 | 46 | 26 | 72 | WLLDW |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62 | 44 | 18 | 69 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59 | 48 | 11 | 60 | WLWDW |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 54 | WDLWW |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 51 | WLWDL |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 50 | WWDDW |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 49 | WWDWL |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 46 | DLDDL |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 46 | DWWLL |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 58 | -15 | 45 | LDLLW |
| 13 |  Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 43 | LLWWW |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 43 | LWWDL |
| 15 |  Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 | DWLDL |
| 16 |  Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 42 | LWWWL |
| 17 |  Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 42 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 42 | WLLDW |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 41 | DLDDL |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 29 | LLLDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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