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La LigaMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTRE

Rayo Vallecano vs Levante match centre

Rayo Vallecano badgeRayo VallecanoHome · 8 in league
DDWDW
Momentum→ Steady64/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Levante badgeLevanteAway · 16 in league
LLLWD
Momentum↗ Rising31/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
P. Ciss90+4′
C. Espi41′
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas · MadridSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate2.1%Rayo Vallecano
Draw93.1%at full time
Current result estimate4.8%Levante
Another goal7.0%before full time

Next goal: Rayo Vallecano 2.2% · no further goal 93.0% · Levante 4.8%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Rayo VallecanoLevante
5Corner Kicks6
10Fouls13
3Yellow Cards5
1Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves3
406Total passes290
319Passes accurate227

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Primera División

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Barcelona38+5994—
2Real Madrid38+4286—
3Villarreal38+2672—
4Atletico Madrid38+1869—
5Real Betis38+1160—
6Celta Vigo38+554—
7Rayo Vallecano39-351↑ 1
8Getafe38-651↓ 1
9Valencia38-949—
10Real Sociedad38-246—
11Espanyol38-1246—
12Athletic Club38-1545—
13Elche38-843↑ 2
14Alaves38-1243—
15Levante39-1443↑ 1
16Sevilla38-1443↓ 3
17Osasuna38-642—
18Mallorca38-1042—
19Girona38-1641—
20Oviedo38-3429—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Rayo Vallecano 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Levante 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Rayo Vallecano

2/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Rayo Vallecano’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Levante

2/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Levante’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Rayo Vallecano at home with Levante away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:08 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches

Rayo VallecanoLevante
27Matches played27
31Points earned22
7Wins5
1.0Goals scored / match1.1
1.2Goals conceded / match1.7
8Clean sheets5
10Failed to score10

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Rayo Vallecano at home with Levante away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Rayo Vallecano

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Inigo Perez
  1. 13A. BatallaG
  2. 20I. BalliuD
  3. 24F. LejeuneD
  4. 32N. MendyD
  5. 22PachaD
  6. 15G. GumbauM
  7. 23O. ValentinM
  8. 19J. de FrutosM
  9. 4P. DiazM
  10. 21F. PerezM
  11. 9AlemaoF
Substitutes (12)

1 · D. Cardenas

8 · O. Trejo

17 · U. Lopez

18 · A. Garcia

5 · Luiz Felipe

3 · P. Chavarria

14 · C. Martin

12 · I. Akhomach

7 · I. Palazon

6 · P. Ciss

10 · S. Camello

2 · A. Ratiu

Levante

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Luis Castro
  1. 13M. RyanG
  2. 22J. ToljanD
  3. 2M. MorenoD
  4. 3A. MatturroD
  5. 23M. SanchezD
  6. 20O. ReyM
  7. 18I. LosadaM
  8. 17V. GarciaM
  9. 9I. RomeroM
  10. 26K. TundeM
  11. 19C. EspiF
Substitutes (11)

1 · P. Cunat

32 · A. Primo

16 · K. Arriaga

12 · U. Vencedor

14 · U. Raghouber

55 · T. Abed

27 · F. Cortes

11 · J. Morales

6 · D. Varela Pampin

21 · K. Etta Eyong

29 · N. Perez

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Rayo Vallecano

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Augusto Batalla906.2—0—35—
Iván Balliu767.2—0—253
Florian Lejeune907.9—12602
Nobel Mendy535.7—0—361
Alfonso Espino907.0—01503
Gerard Gumbau456.5—0—9—
Óscar Valentín656.6—0—341
Jorge de Frutos906.5—0215—
Pedro Díaz906.2—04461
Fran Pérez456.5—0111—
Alemão656.2—0—151
Ilias Akhomach456.3—02171
Álvaro García457.6—01121
Andrei Rațiu257.2—0—20—
Isi Palazón256.9—0—161
Pathé Ismaël Ciss146.910110—
Dani Cárdenas———————
Luiz Felipe———————
Josep Chavarría———————
Unai López———————
Óscar Trejo———————
Sergio Camello———————
Carlos Martín———————

Levante

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mathew Ryan907.7—0—32—
Jeremy Toljan906.3—0—29—
Matias Moreno907.5—0—361
Alan Matturro907.0—01255
Manuel Sánchez906.9—01157
Oriol Rey906.9—0—321
Iker Losada747.2—11271
Víctor García746.9—0324—
Iván Romero747.2—02261
Kareem Tunde556.2—0—122
Carlos Espí847.510417—
Paco Cortés356.2—0—5—
Ugo Raghouber166.5—0—4—
Kervin Arriaga166.7—0—4—
José Luis Morales166.7—0—3—
Etta Eyong146.6—0—4—
Pablo Cuñat———————
Alejandro Primo———————
Nacho Pérez———————
Diego Pampín———————
Tai Abed———————
Unai Vencedor———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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