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3. LigaMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTRE

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg match centre

FC Ingolstadt 04 badgeFC Ingolstadt 04Home · 12 in league
WDDWL
Momentum→ Steady49/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/London
MSV Duisburg badgeMSV DuisburgAway · 4 in league
LWLWD
Momentum↗ Rising48/100OlderLatest
Audi Sportpark · IngolstadtSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

Waiting for shots and shots-on-target data

FC Ingolstadt 04MSV Duisburg
Corner Kicks
Fouls
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
Goalkeeper Saves
Total passes
Passes accurate

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

3. Liga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1VfL Osnabrück38+3280—
2Energie Cottbus38+2172—
3Rot-Weiß Essen38+1270—
4MSV Duisburg39+1769—
5Hansa Rostock38+2567—
6Verl38+3464—
7Alemannia Aachen38+1964—
8TSV 1860 München38+156—
9SV Wehen38+253—
10Waldhof Mannheim38-1352—
11FC Viktoria Köln38-251—
12FC Ingolstadt 0439+950—
13SSV Jahn Regensburg38-449—
14Stuttgart II38-1246—
15FC Saarbrücken38-644—
16Hoffenheim II38-643—
17Havelse38-3235—
18Erzgebirge Aue38-1934—
19SSV Ulm 184638-2933—
20FC Schweinfurt 0538-4921—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

FC Ingolstadt 04 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

MSV Duisburg 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

MSV Duisburg

5/9Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect MSV Duisburg’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FC Ingolstadt 04 at home with MSV Duisburg away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:00 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

3. Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches

FC Ingolstadt 04MSV Duisburg
26Matches played26
36Points earned47
9Wins13
1.8Goals scored / match1.8
1.4Goals conceded / match1.3
5Clean sheets8
3Failed to score5

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FC Ingolstadt 04 at home with MSV Duisburg away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

FC Ingolstadt 04

Confirmed formation3-4-3Sabrina Wittmann
  1. 25K. EiseleG
  2. 6G. AntzoulasD
  3. 32S. LorenzD
  4. 15J. ScholzD
  5. 20Y. DeichmannM
  6. 17M. BesuschkowM
  7. 14M. PlathM
  8. 24G. ChristensenM
  9. 22M. CostlyF
  10. 29J. Kugel
  11. 44E. KehrerF
Substitutes (9)

47 · D. Klein

2 · M. Hoppe

5 · E. Gul

7 · Y. Sturm

10 · D. Kaygin

11 · F. Christensen

23 · J. Maljojoki

30 · O. Drakulic

34 · L. Frode

MSV Duisburg

Confirmed formation3-4-3Dietmar Hirsch
  1. 1M. BrauneG
  2. 5T. FlecksteinD
  3. 42A. HahnD
  4. 40B. SchlickeD
  5. 29J. BitterM
  6. 10C. VietM
  7. 8A. CasarM
  8. 27C. CoskunM
  9. 23J. SymallaF
  10. 26F. KrugerF
  11. 37P. SussekF
Substitutes (9)

24 · J. Paris

7 · J. Bookjans

14 · C. Noss

17 · M. Gockan

18 · S. Meuer

19 · L. Muller

20 · N. Jessen

31 · D. Kother

45 · L. Lobinger

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

FC Ingolstadt 04

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Kai Eisele907.300—420
Georgios Antzoulas456.900—360
Simon Lorenz907.500—650
Jonas Scholz637.0001590
Yannick Deichmann826.9001321
Max Besuschkow907.7002520
Max Plath906.9001520
Gustav Christensen907.000—370
Marcel Costly907.3001362
Julian Kugel826.9001150
Emilio Kehrer717.300—200
Lukas Fröde457.2001170
Jasper Maljojoki276.600—221
Yann Sturm196.900110
Mattis Hoppe86.200—50
Ognjen Drakulic86.300—10

MSV Duisburg

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Maximilian Braune908.900—320
Tobias Fleckstein907.000—370
Alexander Hahn466.700—201
Ben Schlicke906.900—220
Joshua Bitter907.200—300
Christian Viet656.600—190
Aljaž Casar907.2001411
Can Coskun906.600—290
Jan-Simon Symalla656.500—140
Florian Krüger736.900—231
Patrick Sussek867.000—160
Lex-Tyger Lobinger446.900150
Niklas Jessen256.200—50
Steffen Meuer256.500—40
Dominik Kother176.700—20
Conor Noß46.300—00
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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