Erzgebirge Aue
0/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
2.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 8 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Erzgebirge Aue’s results
3. LigaMatchweek 33THE MATCH CENTREErzgebirge Aue vs Verl match centre
45′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
B. Taz3′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
45′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
Waiting for shots and shots-on-target data
Erzgebirge AueVerl
0.520Expected goals · API-Football1.020
Shots on target
Total Shots
Ball Possession
Corner Kicks
Fouls
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
Goalkeeper Saves
Total passes
Passes accurate
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
3. LigaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  VfL Osnabrück | 38 | +32 | 80 | — |
| 2 |  Energie Cottbus | 38 | +21 | 72 | — |
| 3 |  Rot-Weiß Essen | 38 | +12 | 70 | — |
| 4 |  MSV Duisburg | 38 | +17 | 68 | — |
| 5 |  Verl | 39 | +35 | 67 | ↑ 1 |
| 6 |  Hansa Rostock | 38 | +25 | 67 | ↓ 1 |
| 7 |  Alemannia Aachen | 38 | +19 | 64 | — |
| 8 |  TSV 1860 München | 38 | +1 | 56 | — |
| 9 |  SV Wehen | 38 | +2 | 53 | — |
| 10 |  Waldhof Mannheim | 38 | -13 | 52 | — |
| 11 |  FC Viktoria Köln | 38 | -2 | 51 | — |
| 12 |  FC Ingolstadt 04 | 38 | +9 | 49 | — |
| 13 |  SSV Jahn Regensburg | 38 | -4 | 49 | — |
| 14 |  Stuttgart II | 38 | -12 | 46 | — |
| 15 |  FC Saarbrücken | 38 | -6 | 44 | — |
| 16 |  Hoffenheim II | 38 | -6 | 43 | — |
| 17 |  Havelse | 38 | -32 | 35 | — |
| 18 | Erzgebirge Aue | 39 | -20 | 34 | — |
| 19 |  SSV Ulm 1846 | 38 | -29 | 33 | — |
| 20 |  FC Schweinfurt 05 | 38 | -49 | 21 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Erzgebirge Aue 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Verl 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Verl
4/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Verl’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Erzgebirge Aue
10 matchesResults0 wins · 2 draws · 8 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game2.4
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SSV Jahn RegensburgAway · 3. Liga0–1Hoffenheim IIHome · 3. Liga3–5Waldhof MannheimAway · 3. Liga1–2Rot-Weiß EssenAway · 3. Liga2–4Alemannia AachenHome · 3. Liga1–3TSV 1860 MünchenAway · 3. Liga1–2VfL OsnabrückHome · 3. Liga1–3Energie CottbusHome · 3. Liga1–2FC Viktoria KölnAway · 3. Liga2–2FC SaarbrückenHome · 3. Liga0–0
Verl
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Hansa RostockHome · 3. Liga1–2SSV Ulm 1846Away · 3. Liga0–1FC SaarbrückenHome · 3. Liga3–0FC Schweinfurt 05Home · 3. Liga4–0FC Ingolstadt 04Away · 3. Liga2–1SSV Jahn RegensburgHome · 3. Liga1–2Energie CottbusAway · 3. Liga0–0Alemannia AachenAway · 3. Liga1–3Hoffenheim IIHome · 3. Liga3–1MSV DuisburgAway · 3. Liga2–4
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Erzgebirge Aue at home with Verl away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:48 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
3. Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Erzgebirge AueVerl
32Matches played32
24Points earned54
5Wins15
1.2Goals scored / match2.3
1.9Goals conceded / match1.4
7Clean sheets7
9Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Erzgebirge Aue at home with Verl away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Erzgebirge Aue
Confirmed formation4-4-2Christoph Dabrowski
- 1
M. MannelG - 23
A. BaryllaD - 16
R. MaloneD - 25
T. ZobelD - 30
M. SeiffertD - 19
J. GuttauM - 11
E. UhlmannM - 20
J. FabischM - 7
E. WeinhauerM - 15
M. BarF - 9
R. BornscheinF
Substitutes (9)
22 · L. Lord
13 · E. Majetschak
8 · M. Clausen
10 · J. Gunther-Schmidt
5 · L. Simnica
24 · J. Ehlers
27 · F. Hetzsch
39 · M. Schmid
45 · A. F. Ocansey V.
Verl
Confirmed formation4-3-1-2Tobias Strobl
- 1
P. SchulzeG - 20
O. MhamdiD - 5
M. Ens - 34
F. OttoD - 19
N. KijewskiD - 18
F. WessigM - 6
J. EzeM - 28
Y. OttoM - 8
D. WaidnerM - 11
M. WornerF - 10
B. TazF
Substitutes (8)
32 · F. Pekruhl
21 · T. Knost
24 · M. Stocker
35 · A. Foti
17 · A. Mesanovic
7 · J. Stark
9 · J. Arweiler
13 · A. Japaur
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Erzgebirge Aue
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Mannel | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 20 | 0 |
| Anthony Barylla | 65 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 16 | 0 |
| Ryan Malone | 90 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 1 |
| Tristan Zobel | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 26 | 0 |
| Moritz Seiffert | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 33 | 0 |
| Julian Guttau | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 27 | 0 |
| Eric Uhlmann | 65 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Jonah Fabisch | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 28 | 0 |
| Erik Weinhauer | 83 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1 |
| Marcel Bar | 83 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
| Ricky Bornschein | 65 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
| Luan Simnica | 25 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 8 | 0 |
| Erik Majetschak | 25 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 11 | 0 |
| Jannic Ehlers | 25 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 6 | 0 |
| Julian Gunther-Schmidt | 7 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 1 | 0 |
| Maximilian Schmid | 7 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 | 0 |
Verl
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Schulze | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 33 | 0 |
| Oualid Mhamdi | 90 | 7.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 98 | 0 |
| Martin Ens | 90 | 7.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 101 | 0 |
| Fynn Otto | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 112 | 0 |
| Niko Kijewski | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 53 | 1 |
| Fabian Wessig | 63 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 61 | 0 |
| Joshua Eze | 77 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 47 | 0 |
| Yari Otto | 51 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 18 | 0 |
| Dennis Waidner | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 62 | 0 |
| Marco Wörner | 77 | 6.9 | 0 | 1 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Berkan Taz | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 55 | 0 |
| Julian Stark | 39 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 21 | 2 |
| Jonas Arweiler | 27 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Almin Mešanović | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 8 | 0 |
| Alem Japaur | 13 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 1 | 1 |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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