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3. LigaMatchweek 35THE MATCH CENTRE

Erzgebirge Aue vs SV Wehen match centre

Erzgebirge Aue badgeErzgebirge AueHome · 18 in league
LLLLL
Momentum↓ Low0/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:2
UK time · Europe/London
SV Wehen badgeSV WehenAway · 9 in league
WDLLL
Momentum↘ Falling20/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
T. Zobel27′
M. Seiffert85′
M. Flotho23′
T. Gozusirin78′
Erzgebirgsstadion · AueSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

Waiting for shots and shots-on-target data

Erzgebirge AueSV Wehen
Corner Kicks
Fouls
0Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
Goalkeeper Saves
Total passes
Passes accurate

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

3. Liga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1VfL Osnabrück38+3280—
2Energie Cottbus38+2172—
3Rot-Weiß Essen38+1270—
4MSV Duisburg38+1768—
5Hansa Rostock38+2567—
6Verl38+3464—
7Alemannia Aachen38+1964—
8TSV 1860 München38+156—
9SV Wehen39+254—
10Waldhof Mannheim38-1352—
11FC Viktoria Köln38-251—
12FC Ingolstadt 0438+949—
13SSV Jahn Regensburg38-449—
14Stuttgart II38-1246—
15FC Saarbrücken38-644—
16Hoffenheim II38-643—
17Erzgebirge Aue39-1935↑ 1
18Havelse38-3235↓ 1
19SSV Ulm 184638-2933—
20FC Schweinfurt 0538-4921—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Erzgebirge Aue 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

SV Wehen 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Erzgebirge Aue

0/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
2.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 8 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Erzgebirge Aue’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

SV Wehen

2/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect SV Wehen’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Erzgebirge Aue at home with SV Wehen away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:48 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

3. Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches

Erzgebirge AueSV Wehen
34Matches played34
26Points earned49
5Wins14
1.2Goals scored / match1.4
1.9Goals conceded / match1.4
7Clean sheets10
9Failed to score9

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Erzgebirge Aue at home with SV Wehen away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Erzgebirge Aue

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Christoph Dabrowski
  1. 22L. LordG
  2. 23A. BaryllaD
  3. 16R. MaloneD
  4. 25T. ZobelD
  5. 29J. CollinsD
  6. 13E. MajetschakM
  7. 20J. FabischM
  8. 39M. Schmid
  9. 15M. BarM
  10. 7E. WeinhauerM
  11. 9R. BornscheinF
Substitutes (6)

1 · M. Mannel

10 · J. Gunther-Schmidt

11 · E. Uhlmann

19 · J. Guttau

30 · M. Seiffert

45 · A. F. Ocansey V.

SV Wehen

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Daniel Scherning
  1. 16F. StritzelG
  2. 24T. NeubertD
  3. 27J. GillekensD
  4. 15J. JanitzekD
  5. 4S. MockenhauptM
  6. 8D. BogicevicM
  7. 11T. GozusirinM
  8. 5N. MayM
  9. 29F. KayaM
  10. 10R. KalemM
  11. 28M. FlothoF
Substitutes (9)

31 · N. Brdar

9 · S. F. Stehle

17 · B. Nink

18 · F. Greilinger

22 · M. Nejad

25 · N. Agrafiotis

26 · J. Lewald

37 · L. Schleimer

47 · D. Suarez

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Erzgebirge Aue

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Louis Lord907.200—280
Anthony Barylla606.200—290
Ryan Malone907.000—540
Tristan Zobel907.3102530
Jamilu Collins907.6001490
Erik Majetschak766.900—320
Jonah Fabisch906.6002311
Maximilian Schmid826.9002201
Marcel Bar606.600—200
Erik Weinhauer907.2002230
Ricky Bornschein906.9001130
Moritz Seiffert307.3102190
Julian Gunther-Schmidt306.900—110
Eric Uhlmann146.700—80
Vincent Ocansey86.500—20

SV Wehen

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Florian Stritzel906.700—250
Tim Neubert656.200—260
Jordy Gillekens906.200—390
Justin Janitzek906.900—531
Sascha Mockenhaupt466.9011130
Donny Bogičević827.0002300
Tarık Gözüşirin907.510—271
Niklas May696.200—441
Fatih Kaya736.500—150
Robin Kalem656.9001280
Moritz Flotho907.2102240
Ben Nink446.000—131
Jakob Lewald256.900—60
Lukas Schleimer256.300—90
Fabian Greilinger176.300—50
Nikolas Agrafiotis86.700—40
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerErzgebirge AueDrawSV Wehen
Bet3652.453.402.45

Snapshot from 25 Apr 2026, 04:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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