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Süper LigMatchweek 34THE MATCH CENTRE

Fatih Karagümrük vs Alanyaspor match centre

Fatih Karagümrük badgeFatih KaragümrükHome · 18 in league
DWLWW
Momentum↗ Rising70/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Alanyaspor badgeAlanyasporAway · 11 in league
LLLDW
Momentum↗ Rising33/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
S. Larsson48′
S. Larsson73′ (pen)
M. Elia32′
Ataturk Olimpiyat · IstanbulSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate95.8%Fatih Karagümrük
Draw4.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Alanyaspor
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Fatih Karagümrük 3.8% · no further goal 91.9% · Alanyaspor 4.3%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Fatih KaragümrükAlanyaspor
0Corner Kicks4
11Fouls13
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves2
412Total passes491
350Passes accurate434

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Super Lig

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Galatasaray34+4777—
2Fenerbahçe34+4074—
3Trabzonspor34+2269—
4Beşiktaş34+1960—
5Başakşehir34+2357—
6Göztepe34+1055—
7Samsunspor34+151—
8Rizespor34-641—
9Konyaspor34-740—
10Alanyaspor35-137↑ 1
11Kocaelispor34-1237↓ 1
12Gaziantep FK34-1537—
13Kasımpaşa34-1635—
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.34-1134—
15Eyüpspor34-1533—
16Fatih Karagümrük35-2233↑ 2
17Antalyaspor34-2232↓ 1
18Kayserispor34-3530↓ 1
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Fatih Karagümrük 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Alanyaspor 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Alanyaspor

2/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Alanyaspor’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Fatih Karagümrük at home with Alanyaspor away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:53 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Süper Lig · 2025/26 · all league matches

Fatih KaragümrükAlanyaspor
33Matches played33
27Points earned37
7Wins7
0.9Goals scored / match1.3
1.6Goals conceded / match1.2
7Clean sheets10
13Failed to score9

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Fatih Karagümrük at home with Alanyaspor away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Fatih Karagümrük

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Onur Korkmaz
  1. 99F. BeklevicG
  2. 47R. EsgaioD
  3. 4D. BiraschiD
  4. 94A. CinarD
  5. 33C. KurukalipD
  6. 5M. KranevitterM
  7. 6B. ElmazM
  8. 88T. AhmedM
  9. 8B. OzcanM
  10. 72B. KalayciM
  11. 23S. LarssonF
Substitutes (10)

96 · K. Yandal

98 · B. Evli

22 · F. Kurucuk

80 · S. Babicka

24 · B. Ersoy

20 · T. Kalpakli

93 · K. Ozmen

32 · M. Kadioglu

51 · O. Odabas

53 · K. A. Demir

Alanyaspor

Confirmed formation3-4-3Joao Pereira
  1. 48Paulo VictorG
  2. 3N. LimaD
  3. 5F. AlitiD
  4. 30Bruno VianaD
  5. 94F. HadergjonajM
  6. 42G. MakoutaM
  7. 58MaestroM
  8. 8E. KeskinM
  9. 12M. EliaF
  10. 16Hwang Ui-JoF
  11. 11RuanF
Substitutes (10)

1 · E. Taskiran

14 · I. Hagi

27 · I. Kaya

6 · I. Celik

7 · E. Karaca

17 · N. Janvier

10 · G. Yalcin

20 · F. Aksoy

25 · B. Bulut

50 · U. Akdag

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Fatih Karagümrük

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Furkan Bekleviç956.3———32—
Ricardo Esgaio956.3——1441
Davide Biraschi957.0———531
Anıl Yiğit Çınar956.6———56—
Çağtay Kurukalıp956.2———32—
Matías Kranevitter956.6———44—
Bartuğ Elmaz957.3——1656
Ahmed Traore646.0——111—
Berkay Özcan957.2———294
Baris Kalayci916.6—1—231
Sam Larsson908.72—2291
Shavy Babicka317.5———6—
Fatih Kurucuk5——————
Tarik Bugra Kalpakli4——————
Kerem Yandal———————
Berke Can Evli———————
Muhammed Kadıoğlu———————
Burhan Ersoy———————
Oguzhan Odabas———————
Kerem Ozmen———————
Kaan Demir———————

Alanyaspor

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Paulo Victor956.9———22—
Nuno Lima956.6———1131
Fidan Aliti956.2——291—
Bruno Viana826.3———571
Florent Hadergjonaj956.9—1—601
Gaius Makouta726.3———30—
Maestro816.9——1362
Enes Keskin726.0——120—
Meschak Elia957.31—1261
Hwang Ui-Jo726.7——116—
Ruan Pereira Duarte956.7——1251
İzzet Çelik236.3———25—
Ianis Hagi236.5———7—
Ibrahim Kaya236.2——13—
Efecan Karaca146.6——110—
Güven Yalçın136.2———3—
Ertuğrul Taşkıran———————
Fatih Aksoy———————
Ümit Akdağ———————
Nicolas Janvier———————
Buluthan Bulut———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerFatih KaragümrükDrawAlanyaspor
Bet3653.003.102.40

Snapshot from 16 May 2026, 12:37 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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