Alverca
1/9Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Alverca’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTREAlverca vs Sporting CP match centre
90′ · Live
1:4
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Marezi83′
P. Goncalves22′
L. Suarez50′
G. Catamo68′
P. Goncalves86′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%Alverca
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate100.0%Sporting CP
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Alverca 3.9% · no further goal 91.9% · Sporting CP 4.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.AlvercaSporting CP
0.830Expected goals · API-Football1.330
4Shots on target8
12Total Shots15
30%Ball Possession70%
2Corner Kicks1
13Fouls9
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves3
286Total passes684
234Passes accurate622
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primeira LigaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | +48 | 88 | — |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 35 | +68 | 85 | — |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | +49 | 80 | — |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | +28 | 59 | — |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | +13 | 56 | — |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | +9 | 50 | — |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 8 |  Guimaraes | 34 | -12 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  Arouca | 34 | -17 | 42 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 11 | Alverca | 35 | -20 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Santa Clara | 34 | -9 | 36 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 |  Rio Ave | 34 | -22 | 36 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | -18 | 30 | — |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | -26 | 30 | — |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | -28 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | -40 | 21 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Alverca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Sporting CP 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Sporting CP
6/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Sporting CP’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Alverca
9 matchesResults1 wins · 6 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals4 of 9
Both teams scored7 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
Sporting CP
10 matchesResults6 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Bodo/GlimtHome · UEFA Champions League3–0Bodo/GlimtAway · UEFA Champions League0–3SC BragaAway · Primeira Liga2–2FC PortoHome · Taça de Portugal1–0EstorilHome · Primeira Liga3–0MoreirenseAway · Primeira Liga3–0FamalicaoHome · Primeira Liga1–0FC PortoAway · Primeira Liga1–1AVSHome · Taça de Portugal2–2NacionalHome · Primeira Liga2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Alverca at home with Sporting CP away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 08:19 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
AlvercaSporting CP
26Matches played25
29Points earned62
7Wins19
1.0Goals scored / match2.6
1.6Goals conceded / match0.6
6Clean sheets13
7Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Alverca at home with Sporting CP away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Alverca
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Custodio
- 13
A. GomesG - 4
NavesD - 5
S. GomezD - 33
B. MeupiyouD - 2
N. TouaiziM - 26
RhaldneyM - 18
LincolnM - 12
I. JamesM - 20
FigueiredoF - 10
ChiquinhoF - 91
Sandro LimaF
Substitutes (9)
31 · Matheus Mendes
9 · Marezi
19 · M. Clairicia
3 · J. Martinez
82 · D. Spencer
14 · S. Baseya
98 · F. Garcia
17 · V. Moreira
6 · D. Gui
Sporting CP
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Rui Borges
- 1
R. SilvaG - 22
I. FresnedaD - 72
E. QuaresmaD - 25
G. InacioD - 11
N. SantosD - 42
M. HjulmandM - 5
H. MoritaM - 10
G. CatamoM - 17
TrincaoM - 8
P. GoncalvesM - 97
L. SuarezF
Substitutes (9)
12 · J. Virginia
23 · D. Braganca
15 · S. Faye
26 · O. Diomande
90 · R. Nel
52 · J. Simoes
91 · R. Mangas
13 · G. Vagiannidis
6 · Z. Debast
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Alverca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Gomes | 90 | 5.7 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Kaiky Naves | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 4 |
| Sergi Gómez | 80 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 6 |
| Bastien Meupiyou | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 41 | 2 |
| Nabil Touaizi | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | 1 |
| Rhaldney | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | 2 |
| Lincoln | 65 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | 3 |
| Isaac James | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 3 |
| Figueiredo | 75 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | — |
| Chiquinho | 65 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| Sandro Lima | 65 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | — |
| Vasco Moreira | 25 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Davy Gui | 25 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | — |
| Marko Milovanović | 25 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | — |
| Mathis Clairicia | 15 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Steven Baseya | 10 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Matheus Mendes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogo Spencer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julián Jose Martinez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabrício Garcia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sporting CP
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Silva | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Iván Fresneda | 82 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 61 | 1 |
| Eduardo Quaresma | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 89 | 2 |
| Gonçalo Inácio | 72 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 71 | 1 |
| Nuno Santos | 27 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Morten Hjulmand | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 88 | 5 |
| Hidemasa Morita | 72 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 57 | — |
| Geny Catamo | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 52 | 1 |
| Francisco Trincão | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 67 | 1 |
| Pedro Gonçalves | 90 | 8.3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 59 | — |
| Luis Javier Suárez | 82 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | — |
| Giorgos Vagiannidis | 63 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | — |
| Zeno Debast | 18 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Daniel Bragança | 18 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Ricardo Mangas | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| Rafael Nel | 8 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 3 | — |
| João Virgínia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ousmane Diomande | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Simões | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Souleymane Faye | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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