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Sporting CP vs FC Porto match centre

Sporting CP badgeSporting CPHome
WDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising89/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
FC Porto badgeFC PortoAway
LDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising74/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
L. Suarez62′ (pen)
Estádio José Alvalade · LisbonSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate96.3%Sporting CP
Draw3.6%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%FC Porto
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Sporting CP 4.3% · no further goal 91.9% · FC Porto 3.7%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Sporting CPFC Porto
6Corner Kicks3
11Fouls23
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves2
467Total passes339
386Passes accurate279

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

Semi-finalsSporting CP 1–0 FC Porto
Current progressionSporting CP
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Sporting CP 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

FC Porto 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Sporting CP

8/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Sporting CP’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

FC Porto

7/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect FC Porto’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Sporting CP at home with FC Porto away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:31 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Taça de Portugal · 2025/26 · all league matches

Sporting CPFC Porto
4Matches played4
12Points earned12
4Wins4
3.0Goals scored / match3.0
1.5Goals conceded / match0.2
1Clean sheets3
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Sporting CP at home with FC Porto away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Sporting CP

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Rui Borges
  1. 1R. SilvaG
  2. 22I. FresnedaD
  3. 26O. DiomandeD
  4. 25G. InacioD
  5. 20M. AraujoD
  6. 42M. HjulmandM
  7. 5H. MoritaM
  8. 10G. CatamoM
  9. 17TrincaoM
  10. 31Luis GuilhermeM
  11. 97L. SuarezF
Substitutes (9)

12 · J. Virginia

8 · P. Goncalves

11 · N. Santos

13 · G. Vagiannidis

15 · S. Faye

23 · D. Braganca

52 · J. Simoes

72 · E. Quaresma

90 · R. Nel

FC Porto

Confirmed formation4-3-3Francesco Farioli
  1. 99D. CostaG
  2. 20A. CostaD
  3. 13P. RosarioD
  4. 5J. BednarekD
  5. 74F. MouraD
  6. 42S. FofanaM
  7. 22A. VarelaM
  8. 86R. MoraM
  9. 7William GomesF
  10. 29T. MoffiF
  11. 11PepêF
Substitutes (9)

14 · Claudio Ramos

21 · D. Prpic

4 · J. Kiwior

12 · Zaidu

10 · G. Veiga

8 · V. Froholdt

27 · D. Gul

72 · A. Miranda

77 · O. Pietuszewski

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Sporting CP

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Rui Silva967.3———31—
Iván Fresneda966.5——3473
Ousmane Diomande967.2——1482
Gonçalo Inácio967.9———702
Maximiliano Araújo967.7———405
Morten Hjulmand967.9———613
Hidemasa Morita666.9———423
Geny Catamo856.9——2311
Francisco Trincão857.7———41—
Luis Guilherme666.6———121
Luis Javier Suárez968.01—2251
Pedro Gonçalves306.9———131
João Simões306.2———71
Daniel Bragança116.7———2—
Nuno Santos116.7———3—
João Virgínia———————
Giorgos Vagiannidis———————
Eduardo Quaresma———————
Souleymane Faye———————
Rafael Nel———————

FC Porto

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Diogo Costa967.2———24—
Alberto Costa456.3———112
Pablo Rosario967.3———66—
Jan Bednarek447.0———26—
Francisco Moura966.3———301
Seko Fofana736.0——221—
Alan Varela967.9——1442
Rodrigo Mora626.2——1253
William Gomes966.2———81
Terem Moffi626.2———6—
Pepê966.3———29—
Jakub Kiwior527.0——1341
Victor Froholdt516.6———94
Gabri Veiga346.6———121
Deniz Gül346.7———42
Oskar Pietuszewski236.7———2—
Cláudio Ramos———————
Dominik Prpić———————
Zaidu Sanusi———————
André Miranda———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Taça de Portugal table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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