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Sporting CP vs Santa Clara match centre

Sporting CP badgeSporting CPHome · 2 in league
DLDWW
Momentum↗ Rising67/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
4:2
UK time · Europe/London
Santa Clara badgeSanta ClaraAway · 13 in league
DDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising79/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
P. Goncalves22′ (pen)
D. Braganca39′
Trincao42′
R. Nel90+5′
Gustavo Klismahn3′
G. Paciencia89′
Estádio José Alvalade · LisbonSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate99.9%Sporting CP
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Santa Clara
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Sporting CP 4.4% · no further goal 91.9% · Santa Clara 3.7%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Sporting CPSanta Clara
9Corner Kicks5
12Fouls22
3Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves4
530Total passes211
483Passes accurate164

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Primeira Liga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1FC Porto34+4888—
2Sporting CP35+6785—
3Benfica34+4980—
4SC Braga34+2859—
5Famalicao34+1356—
6GIL Vicente34+950—
7Moreirense34-1243—
8Guimaraes34-1242↑ 1
9Arouca34-1742↓ 1
10Estoril34-339—
11Alverca34-1739—
12Santa Clara35-1136↑ 1
13Rio Ave34-2236↓ 1
14Nacional34-834—
15Estrela34-1830—
16Casa Pia34-2630—
17Tondela34-2828—
18AVS34-4021—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Sporting CP 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Santa Clara 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Sporting CP

6/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Sporting CP’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Santa Clara

3/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Santa Clara’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Sporting CP at home with Santa Clara away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:29 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches

Sporting CPSanta Clara
26Matches played27
65Points earned28
20Wins7
2.6Goals scored / match0.9
0.6Goals conceded / match1.1
13Clean sheets8
0Failed to score10

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Sporting CP at home with Santa Clara away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Sporting CP

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Rui Borges
  1. 1R. SilvaG
  2. 13G. VagiannidisD
  3. 72E. QuaresmaD
  4. 6Z. DebastD
  5. 91R. MangasD
  6. 23D. BragancaM
  7. 5H. MoritaM
  8. 10G. CatamoM
  9. 17TrincaoM
  10. 8P. GoncalvesM
  11. 90R. NelF
Substitutes (9)

12 · J. Virginia

14 · G. Kochorashvili

42 · M. Hjulmand

20 · M. Araujo

25 · G. Inacio

15 · S. Faye

26 · O. Diomande

52 · J. Simoes

58 · F. Goncalves

Santa Clara

Confirmed formation4-4-2Vasco Matos
  1. 1Gabriel BatistaG
  2. 42Lucas SoaresD
  3. 23S. LimaD
  4. 94H. SilvaD
  5. 5Guilherme RomaoD
  6. 10Gabriel SilvaM
  7. 8P. FerreiraM
  8. 35SerginhoM
  9. 49Welinton TorraoM
  10. 77Gustavo KlismahnF
  11. 26FernandoF
Substitutes (9)

12 · Neneca

21 · F. Venancio

2 · Diogo Calila

64 · Paulo Victor

39 · G. Paciencia

37 · Darlan

70 · Vinicius Lopes

11 · Brenner

65 · J. Tavares

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Sporting CP

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Rui Silva906.9—0—27—
Giorgos Vagiannidis906.7—0—372
Eduardo Quaresma908.2—1—895
Zeno Debast906.9—0—962
Ricardo Mangas686.3—0—262
Daniel Bragança607.9101444
Hidemasa Morita687.9—12432
Geny Catamo887.7—0335—
Francisco Trincão907.910162—
Pedro Gonçalves457.310221—
Rafael Nel908.2113161
Maximiliano Araújo456.2—0—23—
João Simões306.2—0—91
Morten Hjulmand226.7—0—13—
Souleymane Faye226.3—0131
Flavio Goncalves106.6—0—3—
Ousmane Diomande———————
Giorgi Kochorashvili———————
João Virgínia———————
Gonçalo Inácio———————

Santa Clara

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Gabriel Batista907.2—0—26—
Lucas Soares906.0—0—242
Sidney Lima906.7—0—232
Henrique Silva906.2—0—201
Guilherme Romão905.2—0—15—
Gabriel Silva716.2—02101
Pedro Ferreira596.6—0—122
Serginho906.3—0—293
Welinton596.5—0—141
Gustavo Klismahn717.310116—
Luis Fernando777.0—12162
José Tavares316.3—0—51
Vinícius Lopes316.2—014—
Brenner196.6—1——1
Darlan196.7—0—42
Gonçalo Paciência137.71011—
Paulo Victor———————
Frederico Venâncio———————
Diogo Calila———————
Neneca———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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