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1. DivisionMatchweek 22THE MATCH CENTRE

AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol match centre

AEK Larnaca badgeAEK LarnacaHome · 2 in league
LWWWW
Momentum↗ Rising86/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
Apollon Limassol badgeApollon LimassolAway · 3 in league
WWWWW
Momentum↑ Strong100/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
B. Thomas33′
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
AEK LarnacaApollon Limassol
6Corner Kicks1
6Fouls12
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves6
506Total passes339
415Passes accurate268

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

AEK Larnaca 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Apollon Limassol 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

AEK Larnaca

5/5Wins
2.6Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect AEK Larnaca’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Apollon Limassol

4/5Wins
2.4Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Apollon Limassol’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AEK Larnaca at home with Apollon Limassol away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:51 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

1. Division · 2025/26 · all league matches

AEK LarnacaApollon Limassol
21Matches played21
46Points earned42
14Wins13
2.0Goals scored / match1.4
0.8Goals conceded / match0.9
7Clean sheets11
2Failed to score4

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AEK Larnaca at home with Apollon Limassol away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

AEK Larnaca

4wins
1 draw

Apollon Limassol

0wins

Aug 2024 – Nov 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with AEK Larnaca first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

AEK Larnaca

Confirmed formation3-4-3Imanol Idiakez
  1. 1Z. AlomerovicG
  2. 15H. MilicevicD
  3. 27V. RobergeD
  4. 4E. SaboritD
  5. 21MiramonM
  6. 7Ledes GustavoM
  7. 17P. PonsM
  8. 14A. GarciaM
  9. 20Y. AmynF
  10. 11R. BajicF
  11. 9D. IvanovicF
Substitutes (11)

51 · A. Paraskevas

99 · D. Demetriou

41 · Mathias Gonzalez

2 · P. Ioannou

23 · J. Izquierdo

25 · C. Kyriakou

8 · M. Rohden

13 · Y. Gurfinkel

32 · R. Mudrazija

86 · A. Cardero

36 · C. Loukaidis

Apollon Limassol

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Hernan Losada
  1. 22P. KuhnG
  2. 76B. GasparD
  3. 2P. VourosD
  4. 44J. KvidaD
  5. 8J. ZmrhalD
  6. 5M. BrownM
  7. 77I. LjubicM
  8. 10G. RodriguesM
  9. 27G. WeissbeckM
  10. 23B. ThomasM
  11. 43P. MarquesF
Substitutes (12)

41 · P. Leeuwenburgh

82 · C. Papadopoulos

26 · A. Shikkis

4 · Z. Adoni

3 · T. Lam

20 · D. Spoljaric

12 · G. Assuncao

45 · A. Vrikkis

17 · C. Duodu

30 · D. Escriche

80 · A. Youssef

89 · R. Rotis

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

AEK Larnaca

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Zlatan Alomerović906.900—180
Hrvoje Miličević907.300—880
Valentin Roberge846.900—470
Enric Saborit907.2001690
Jorge Miramón907.200—480
Gus Ledes847.2001350
Pere Pons907.3001461
Ángel García657.2001320
Youssef Amyn316.900—80
Riad Bajić906.7001130
Đorđe Ivanović908.0003420
Robert Mudražija697.3002241
Marcus Rohdén356.200—140
Jairo Izquierdo166.900—150
Charalampos Kyriakou166.900—70

Apollon Limassol

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Philipp Kühn908.500—230
Bruno Gaspar656.300—160
Praxitelis Vouros907.000—332
Josef Kvida907.300—380
Jaromír Zmrhal907.000—431
Morgan Brown796.700—270
Ivan Ljubić907.200—392
Garry Rodrigues656.3001140
Gaetan Weissbeck907.0002420
Brandon Thomas908.2103220
Pedro Marques796.6001130
Antreas Shikkis356.500—51
Agapios Vrikkis356.600170
Danilo Špoljarić226.600—110
Clinton Duodu226.700—60
2025/26 STANDINGS

1. Division table

League centre ↗

Current standings · 1-division: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Omonia Nicosia26194363174661
WWDLW
2AEK Larnaca26165549222753
WWDLL
3Apollon Limassol26165536221453
DWDWW
4Pafos26163753242951
WWDDW
5Apoel Nicosia26136745271845
WLWWL
6Aris26127748262243
LWDDD
7Omonia Aradippou26104122331-834
WLWWD
8AEL26103133138-733
LLLWL
9Anorthosis2671182333-1032
DWWDD
10Krasava Ypsonas2684142636-1028
WLWDD
11Olympiakos26610102237-1528
LWDLD
12Akritas2675142348-2526
LLLWD
13Ethnikos Achna2672172544-1923
LLLLW
14Enosis260125567-621
LLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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