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First LeagueMatchweek 22THE MATCH CENTRE

Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets match centre

Botev Plovdiv badgeBotev PlovdivHome · 8 in league
DWDLL
Momentum↘ Falling28/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Ludogorets badgeLudogoretsAway · 2 in league
WWWWW
Momentum↑ Strong100/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Nikolay Minkov48′
Carlos Algarra López90+3′
Idan Nachmias81′
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Botev PlovdivLudogorets
3Corner Kicks11
15Fouls13
6Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves2
285Total passes521
222Passes accurate423

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Botev Plovdiv 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Ludogorets 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Botev Plovdiv

2/5Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Botev Plovdiv’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Ludogorets

8/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Ludogorets’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Botev Plovdiv at home with Ludogorets away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 07:38 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

First League · 2025/26 · all league matches

Botev PlovdivLudogorets
20Matches played21
19Points earned43
5Wins12
1.1Goals scored / match1.9
1.6Goals conceded / match0.7
2Clean sheets12
7Failed to score4

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Botev Plovdiv at home with Ludogorets away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Botev Plovdiv

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Lacezar Baltanov
  1. 29D. NaumovG
  2. 17N. MinkovD
  3. 42I. Videv
  4. 4N. SoldoD
  5. 27B. HeinD
  6. 14C. AlgarraM
  7. 45E. Martinho da Silva
  8. 11Pedro IgorM
  9. 7N. IlievM
  10. 90S. KaluM
  11. 30MascoteF
Substitutes (9)

1 · H. Slavkov

2 · G. Noga

6 · G. Zlatanov

9 · A. Maras

13 · S. Tsonov

19 · A. Conte

38 · K. Balogiannis

77 · Lucas Araujo

87 · S. Petrov

Ludogorets

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Per-Mathias Hogmo
  1. 1S. PadtG
  2. 17SonD
  3. 55I. NachmiasD
  4. 4D. AlmeidaD
  5. 3A. NedyalkovD
  6. 30Pedro NaressiM
  7. 23D. DuarteM
  8. 11Caio VidalM
  9. 18I. ChochevM
  10. 77Erick MarcusM
  11. 12Rwan CruzF
Substitutes (9)

39 · H. Bonmann

9 · K. Duah

14 · P. Stanic

24 · O. Verdon

26 · F. Kaloc

27 · Vinicius Nogueira

29 · E. Bile

37 · B. Tekpetey

99 · S. Ivanov

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Botev Plovdiv

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Daniel Naumov907.700—130
Nikolay Minkov907.2101221
Ivaylo Videv906.700—340
Nikola Soldo857.300—422
Bryan-Anthony Chibuike Hein646.900—150
Carlos Algarra López907.2101280
Edson Silva476.500—180
Pedro Igor895.600—280
Nikola Iliev906.2002231
Samuel Kalu697.3011230
Franklin Mascote896.900—70
Lucas Araujo516.9001161
Konstantinos Balogiannis356.500—80
Antoine Conte306.300—20
Samuil Tsonov96.300—40
Aleksa Maraš96.700—10

Ludogorets

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Sergio Padt906.500—170
Son907.300—650
Idan Nachmias907.3101570
Dinis Almeida906.6001630
Anton Nedyalkov636.200—450
Pedro Naressi906.900—700
Deroy Duarte636.700—430
Caio Vidal636.900—230
Ivajlo Chochev906.3001200
Erick Marcus477.3002221
Rwan Cruz906.3003451
Petar Stanić516.500—270
Vinicius Nogueira366.601—100
Bernard Tekpetey366.000—90
Kwadwo Duah366.900130
Filip Kaloč6—00—00
2025/26 STANDINGS

First League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · A PFG: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Levski Sofia30224464224270
DWDWW
2Ludogorets30179457203760
LDWWW
3CSKA 194830185750311959
WWLWW
4CSKA Sofia30168643232056
DWWWL
5Lokomotiv Plovdiv30111363033-346
DDWWW
6Cherno More Varna30111183326744
LDLLW
7Arda Kardzhali30128103327644
WLWWW
8Botev Plovdiv30117124037340
WDWWL
9Slavia Sofia30109113633339
DLWLD
10Botev Vratsa30911102426-238
WLDLW
11Lokomotiv Sofia30910114039137
LWLLW
12Spartak Varna30512132550-2527
DWLLL
13Dobrudzha3075182343-2026
LLDLL
14Septemvri Sofia3075182558-3326
DWDLL
15Beroe30411151944-2523
DLLWL
16Montana3038191545-3017
DLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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