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First LeagueMatchweek 24THE MATCH CENTRE

Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia match centre

Botev Plovdiv badgeBotev PlovdivHome · 8 in league
DLLWD
Momentum↗ Rising36/100OlderLatest
89′ · Live
2:0
UK time · Europe/London
Septemvri Sofia badgeSeptemvri SofiaAway · 14 in league
LLWDW
Momentum↗ Rising59/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Mascote58′
Pedro Igor63′
Stadion Hristo Botev · PlovdivSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

89′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate99.9%Botev Plovdiv
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Septemvri Sofia
Another goal8.0%before full time

Next goal: Botev Plovdiv 4.9% · no further goal 92.0% · Septemvri Sofia 3.2%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Botev PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
4Corner Kicks1
8Fouls15
2Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves7
506Total passes351
430Passes accurate276

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

A PFG: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Levski Sofia30+4270—
2Ludogorets30+3760—
3CSKA 194830+1959—
4CSKA Sofia30+2056—
5Lokomotiv Plovdiv30-346—
6Cherno More Varna30+744—
7Arda Kardzhali30+644—
8Botev Plovdiv31+543—
9Slavia Sofia30+339—
10Botev Vratsa30-238—
11Lokomotiv Sofia30+137—
12Spartak Varna30-2527—
13Dobrudzha30-2026—
14Septemvri Sofia31-3526—
15Beroe30-2523—
16Montana30-3017—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Botev Plovdiv 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Septemvri Sofia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Botev Plovdiv

3/7Wins
1.1Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Botev Plovdiv’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Septemvri Sofia

3/10Wins
0.6Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Septemvri Sofia’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Botev Plovdiv at home with Septemvri Sofia away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 07:33 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

First League · 2025/26 · all league matches

Botev PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
22Matches played22
23Points earned21
6Wins6
1.1Goals scored / match1.0
1.5Goals conceded / match2.0
3Clean sheets5
8Failed to score7

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Botev Plovdiv at home with Septemvri Sofia away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Botev Plovdiv

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Lacezar Baltanov
  1. 29D. NaumovG
  2. 17N. MinkovD
  3. 4N. SoldoD
  4. 19A. ConteD
  5. 27B. HeinD
  6. 14C. AlgarraM
  7. 77Lucas AraujoM
  8. 10E. RodriguezM
  9. 8T. NedelevM
  10. 11Pedro IgorM
  11. 13S. TsonovF
Substitutes (9)

1 · H. Slavkov

7 · N. Iliev

28 · H. Jocu

30 · Mascote

38 · K. Balogiannis

45 · E. Martinho da Silva

87 · S. Petrov

88 · W. Chimezie

90 · S. Kalu

Septemvri Sofia

Confirmed formation4-4-2Hristo Arangelov
  1. 21Y. GeorgievG
  2. 23R. SchoutenD
  3. 4M. HristovD
  4. 26V. OzornwaforD
  5. 27G. VarbanovD
  6. 17N. FontaineM
  7. 13K. OnasciM
  8. 5Y. BaurenskiM
  9. 10S. StojanovicM
  10. 33G. IvanovF
  11. 9B. FourrierF
Substitutes (9)

12 · N. Krastev

20 · B. Tomovski

8 · K. Kolev

28 · S. Stoichkov

14 · S. Vasilev

18 · A. Abou

19 · D. Ivkic

7 · E. Ribeiro

24 · F. Mattoir

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Botev Plovdiv

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Daniel Naumov906.900—220
Nikolay Minkov907.9002531
Nikola Soldo908.6003650
Antoine Conte907.200—761
Bryan-Anthony Chibuike Hein906.500—441
Carlos Algarra López856.900—480
Lucas Araujo476.300—320
Emerson Rodríguez907.9013320
Todor Nedelev707.6003400
Pedro Igor708.2101271
Samuil Tsonov476.600280
Edson Silva496.7001200
Franklin Mascote497.210160
Nikola Iliev267.000—150
Samuel Kalu266.9001100
Henrique Jocu116.900—80

Septemvri Sofia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Yanko Georgiev907.900—250
Robin Schouten696.000—220
Martin Hristov906.6001410
Valentine Ozornwafor906.500—420
Georgi Varbanov905.900—352
Nicolas Fontaine826.9002160
Kubrat Onashchi826.900—281
Yoan Baurenski696.000—240
Stefan Stojanović906.9001290
Galin Ivanov696.200—130
Bertrand Fourrier906.9002170
Dominik Ivkić267.300—90
Ayoub Abou Oulam266.900—230
Krasian Kolev266.500—130
Stoyan Stoichkov146.700—90
Edney Ribeiro146.600130
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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