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First LeagueMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTRE

Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 match centre

Spartak Varna badgeSpartak VarnaHome · 12 in league
DDLWL
Momentum↗ Rising33/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
CSKA 1948 badgeCSKA 1948Away · 3 in league
LLWWD
Momentum↗ Rising51/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Xande47′
L. Dvali70′
Stadion Spartak · VarnaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate2.9%Spartak Varna
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate4.7%CSKA 1948
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Spartak Varna 2.9% · no further goal 92.3% · CSKA 1948 4.7%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Spartak VarnaCSKA 1948
2Corner Kicks7
12Fouls13
3Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
8Goalkeeper Saves1
184Total passes521
129Passes accurate426

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

A PFG: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Levski Sofia30+4270—
2Ludogorets30+3760—
3CSKA 194831+1960—
4CSKA Sofia30+2056—
5Lokomotiv Plovdiv30-346—
6Cherno More Varna30+744—
7Arda Kardzhali30+644—
8Botev Plovdiv30+340—
9Slavia Sofia30+339—
10Botev Vratsa30-238—
11Lokomotiv Sofia30+137—
12Spartak Varna31-2528—
13Dobrudzha30-2026—
14Septemvri Sofia30-3326—
15Beroe30-2523—
16Montana30-3017—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Spartak Varna 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

CSKA 1948 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Spartak Varna

4/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Spartak Varna’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

CSKA 1948

5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect CSKA 1948’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Spartak Varna at home with CSKA 1948 away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:52 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

First League · 2025/26 · all league matches

Spartak VarnaCSKA 1948
25Matches played25
23Points earned47
4Wins14
0.9Goals scored / match1.6
1.5Goals conceded / match1.0
6Clean sheets10
9Failed to score6

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Spartak Varna at home with CSKA 1948 away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Spartak Varna

Confirmed formation4-3-3Gjoko Hadzievski
  1. 23M. KovalyovG
  2. 50M. Georgiev
  3. 3M. Juric-Petrasilo
  4. 5D. KrastevD
  5. 2B. IvanovD
  6. 90G. StojanovskiM
  7. 44A. GranchovM
  8. 17T. MarinovM
  9. 88D. YordanovF
  10. 9T. ChunchukovF
  11. 21Xande
Substitutes (9)

1 · P. Ribeiro

6 · E. John

7 · P. Prindzhev

8 · D. Ivanov

10 · J. Lopes

11 · A. Georgiev

13 · Tales

18 · S. Moukachar

19 · E. Yanchev

CSKA 1948

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Aleksandar Aleksandrov
  1. 1P. MarinovG
  2. 2D. MedinaD
  3. 6E. ParkhomenkoD
  4. 21L. DvaliD
  5. 22O. GasevicD
  6. 8Y. MagninM
  7. 67FredericM
  8. 19M. Boychev
  9. 20B. Sobrero
  10. 77E. FrancoM
  11. 93M. Diallo
Substitutes (9)

13 · D. Sheytanov

4 · A. Hoffmann

9 · A. Iliev

10 · B. Tsonev

11 · G. Rusev

87 · A. David

14 · K. Strinski

34 · P. Vitanov

3 · J. Carrion

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Spartak Varna

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Maksym Kovalyov908.300—60
Martin Georgiev906.900—150
Mateo Jurić-Petrašilo906.900—150
Dimo Krastev566.700—120
Boris Ivanov907.200—220
Georg Stojanovski706.700—150
Angel Granchov907.300—281
Tsvetoslav Marinov906.700—201
Damyan Yordanov707.200—180
Tsvetelin Chunchukov906.5001100
Xandy857.3103120
Emil Yanchev416.300—21
Emmanuel John276.200—41
Jota Lopes276.700130
Daniel Ivanov126.300—10

CSKA 1948

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Petar Marinov906.300—290
Diego Medina906.9001280
Egor Parkhomenko906.900—690
Lasha Dvali908.2102910
Ognjen Gašević907.0001560
Yohann Magnin706.900—420
Frédéric Maciel566.9002180
Brian Sobrero907.000—691
Marto Boychev566.700—250
Elias Franco907.200—190
Mamadou Diallo476.700—100
Atanas Iliev507.310360
Jean David Aka416.900—120
Borislav Tsonev417.201—321
Georgi Rusev276.9001140
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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