Septemvri Sofia
3/10Wins
0.5Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Septemvri Sofia’s results
First LeagueMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTRESeptemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali match centre
90′ · Live
1:4
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
E. Ribeiro26′
S. Yusein3′
Gustavo Cascardo61′
B. Karagaren67′
A. Vutov78′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%Septemvri Sofia
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate100.0%Arda Kardzhali
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Septemvri Sofia 4.2% · no further goal 91.9% · Arda Kardzhali 4.0%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Septemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali
1.110Expected goals · API-Football1.600
6Shots on target6
7Total Shots11
44%Ball Possession56%
0Corner Kicks3
8Fouls11
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
401Total passes394
316Passes accurate313
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
A PFG: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Levski Sofia | 30 | +42 | 70 | — |
| 2 |  Ludogorets | 30 | +37 | 60 | — |
| 3 |  CSKA 1948 | 30 | +19 | 59 | — |
| 4 |  CSKA Sofia | 30 | +20 | 56 | — |
| 5 |  Arda Kardzhali | 31 | +9 | 47 | ↑ 2 |
| 6 |  Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 30 | -3 | 46 | ↓ 1 |
| 7 |  Cherno More Varna | 30 | +7 | 44 | ↓ 1 |
| 8 |  Botev Plovdiv | 30 | +3 | 40 | — |
| 9 |  Slavia Sofia | 30 | +3 | 39 | — |
| 10 |  Botev Vratsa | 30 | -2 | 38 | — |
| 11 |  Lokomotiv Sofia | 30 | +1 | 37 | — |
| 12 |  Spartak Varna | 30 | -25 | 27 | — |
| 13 |  Dobrudzha | 30 | -20 | 26 | — |
| 14 | Septemvri Sofia | 31 | -36 | 26 | — |
| 15 |  Beroe | 30 | -25 | 23 | — |
| 16 |  Montana | 30 | -30 | 17 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Septemvri Sofia 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Arda Kardzhali 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Arda Kardzhali
6/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Arda Kardzhali’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Septemvri Sofia
10 matchesResults3 wins · 0 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game0.5
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored1 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Lokomotiv PlovdivAway · First League0–1Cherno More VarnaHome · First League0–3Botev PlovdivAway · First League0–2CSKA SofiaHome · First League2–0MontanaHome · First League1–0DobrudzhaAway · First League0–3OrdabasyHome · Friendlies Clubs1–2Radnicki NISHome · Friendlies Clubs0–4NeftchiHome · Friendlies Clubs0–2Wisla KrakowAway · Friendlies Clubs1–0
Arda Kardzhali
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
DobrudzhaHome · First League2–0Botev VratsaAway · First League0–1Cherno More VarnaAway · First League0–0Spartak VarnaHome · First League1–0BeroeAway · First League0–0Slavia SofiaHome · First League2–1Botev VratsaAway · Cup3–2CSKA SofiaAway · First League1–3NeftchiHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0FC UFAHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Septemvri Sofia at home with Arda Kardzhali away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:53 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
First League · 2025/26 · all league matches
Septemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali
26Matches played26
21Points earned35
6Wins9
0.8Goals scored / match1.0
2.1Goals conceded / match0.9
5Clean sheets12
11Failed to score13
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Septemvri Sofia at home with Arda Kardzhali away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Septemvri Sofia
Confirmed formation4-1-3-2Hristo Arangelov
- 12
N. KrastevG - 4
M. HristovD - 15
D. IvkicD - 13
K. OnasciD - 3
S. WadeD - 5
Y. Baurenski - 33
G. IvanovM - 25
W. Hamdiji - 23
R. SchoutenM - 9
B. FourrierF - 7
E. RibeiroF
Substitutes (9)
21 · Y. Georgiev
18 · A. Abou
27 · G. Varbanov
8 · K. Kolev
17 · N. Fontaine
22 · P. Georgiev
10 · S. Stojanovic
28 · S. Stoichkov
29 · F. Herard
Arda Kardzhali
Confirmed formation4-4-2Blagov Tunchev Aleksander
- 1
A. GospodinovG - 2
Gustavo CascardoD - 93
F. EboaD - 23
E. ViyachkiD - 21
V. VelevD - 8
A. KabovM - 18
C. HuseynovM - 80
L. KotevM - 99
B. KaragarenM - 20
S. YuseinF - 30
W. SamakeF
Substitutes (7)
12 · I. Nedelchev
6 · P. Krachunov
10 · S. Kovachev
17 · Patrick Luan
24 · M. Paskalev
35 · D. Velkovski
39 · A. Vutov
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Septemvri Sofia
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolay Krastev | 90 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 15 | 0 |
| Martin Hristov | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 54 | 0 |
| Dominik Ivkić | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 46 | 0 |
| Kubrat Onashchi | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 45 | 0 |
| Sebas Wade | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 33 | 0 |
| Valon Hamdiu | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 49 | 0 |
| Galin Ivanov | 70 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 23 | 0 |
| John Baurensky | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 33 | 2 |
| Robin Schouten | 77 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 29 | 0 |
| Bertrand Fourrier | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 21 | 0 |
| Edney Ribeiro | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 0 |
| Krasian Kolev | 27 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 20 | 0 |
| Stefan Stojanović | 19 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 9 | 0 |
| Ayoub Abou Oulam | 6 | — | 0 | 0 | — | 4 | 0 |
| Nicolas Fontaine | 6 | — | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Gerard Franzetti | 6 | — | 0 | 0 | — | 1 | 0 |
Arda Kardzhali
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anatoli Gospodinov | 90 | 7.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 30 | 0 |
| Gustavo Cascardo | 86 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 0 |
| Félix Eboa Eboa | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 38 | 0 |
| Emil Viyachki | 86 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Vyacheslav Velev | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 44 | 1 |
| Atanas Kabov | 70 | 7.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 |
| Jalal Huseynov | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 41 | 2 |
| Lachezar Kotev | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 1 | — | 42 | 0 |
| Birsent Karagaren | 90 | 7.6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 0 |
| Serkan Yussein | 75 | 8.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 0 |
| Wilson Samaké | 75 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
| Svetoslav Kovachev | 26 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| Antonio Vutov | 21 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
| Patrick | 21 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 6 | 0 |
| Martin Paskalev | 10 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Dimitar Velkovski | 10 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 7 | 0 |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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