Lokomotiv Plovdiv
3/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Lokomotiv Plovdiv’s results
First LeagueMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTRELokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia match centre
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
S. Idriz31′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate97.9%Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Draw2.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Septemvri Sofia
Another goal7.5%before full time
Next goal: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 5.4% · no further goal 92.5% · Septemvri Sofia 2.1%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Lokomotiv PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
0.730Expected goals · API-Football0.070
4Shots on target1
8Total Shots4
48%Ball Possession52%
4Corner Kicks5
10Fouls10
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
377Total passes418
289Passes accurate326
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
A PFG: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Levski Sofia | 30 | +42 | 70 | — |
| 2 |  Ludogorets | 30 | +37 | 60 | — |
| 3 |  CSKA 1948 | 30 | +19 | 59 | — |
| 4 |  CSKA Sofia | 30 | +20 | 56 | — |
| 5 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 31 | -2 | 49 | — |
| 6 |  Cherno More Varna | 30 | +7 | 44 | — |
| 7 |  Arda Kardzhali | 30 | +6 | 44 | — |
| 8 |  Botev Plovdiv | 30 | +3 | 40 | — |
| 9 |  Slavia Sofia | 30 | +3 | 39 | — |
| 10 |  Botev Vratsa | 30 | -2 | 38 | — |
| 11 |  Lokomotiv Sofia | 30 | +1 | 37 | — |
| 12 |  Spartak Varna | 30 | -25 | 27 | — |
| 13 |  Dobrudzha | 30 | -20 | 26 | — |
| 14 |  Septemvri Sofia | 31 | -34 | 26 | — |
| 15 |  Beroe | 30 | -25 | 23 | — |
| 16 |  Montana | 30 | -30 | 17 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Septemvri Sofia 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Septemvri Sofia
3/10Wins
0.6Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Septemvri Sofia’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
10 matchesResults3 wins · 5 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals1 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Levski SofiaAway · First League0–1CSKA 1948Home · First League0–5LudogoretsAway · First League1–1Spartak VarnaHome · First League1–1Cherno More VarnaHome · First League1–1Botev PlovdivHome · Cup1–0Slavia SofiaAway · First League2–0Kolos KovalivkaHome · Friendlies Clubs0–0NapredakAway · Friendlies Clubs1–0Etar Veliko TarnovoHome · Friendlies Clubs1–1
Septemvri Sofia
10 matchesResults3 wins · 0 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game0.6
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Cherno More VarnaHome · First League0–3Botev PlovdivAway · First League0–2CSKA SofiaHome · First League2–0MontanaHome · First League1–0DobrudzhaAway · First League0–3OrdabasyHome · Friendlies Clubs1–2Radnicki NISHome · Friendlies Clubs0–4NeftchiHome · Friendlies Clubs0–2Wisla KrakowAway · Friendlies Clubs1–0LudogoretsHome · Cup1–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lokomotiv Plovdiv at home with Septemvri Sofia away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:51 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
First League · 2025/26 · all league matches
Lokomotiv PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
24Matches played24
35Points earned21
8Wins6
1.1Goals scored / match1.0
1.1Goals conceded / match2.1
8Clean sheets5
6Failed to score9
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lokomotiv Plovdiv at home with Septemvri Sofia away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2wins5MEETINGS
Septemvri Sofia
2winsApr 2023 – Oct 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Lokomotiv Plovdiv first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Dusan Kosic
- 1
B. MilosavljevicG - 2
A. CovaD - 4
A. ChindrisD - 13
Lucas RyanD - 5
T. PavlovD - 39
P. UmarbaevM - 22
I. IvanovM - 11
Z. Dinev - 29
G. B. ChorbadzhiyskiM - 7
S. IdrizM - 77
J. ZwartsF
Substitutes (9)
40 · P. Zovko
23 · M. Ruskov
19 · M. Vangelov
33 · M. Atanasov
12 · E. Ali
10 · Francisco Politino
99 · J. Lamy
16 · A. Aleksandrov
9 · A. Velev
Septemvri Sofia
Confirmed formation5-3-2Hristo Arangelov
- 12
N. KrastevG - 13
K. OnasciD - 4
M. HristovD - 19
D. IvkicD - 26
V. OzornwaforD - 27
G. VarbanovD - 25
W. Hamdiji - 5
Y. BaurenskiM - 17
N. FontaineM - 10
S. StojanovicF - 9
B. FourrierF
Substitutes (9)
21 · Y. Georgiev
33 · G. Ivanov
28 · S. Stoichkov
14 · S. Vasilev
8 · K. Kolev
23 · R. Schouten
24 · F. Mattoir
18 · A. Abou
7 · E. Ribeiro
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bojan Milosavljević | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 13 | 0 |
| Adrián Cova | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 42 | 0 |
| Andrei Chindriş | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 58 | 0 |
| Lucas Ryan | 83 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 44 | 0 |
| Todor Pavlov | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 1 |
| Parvizdzhon Umarbaev | 83 | 7.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 53 | 1 |
| Ivaylo Ivanov | 90 | 7.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 61 | 2 |
| Zapro Dinev | 70 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 16 | 0 |
| Georgi Brankov Chorbadzhiyski | 52 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 |
| Sevi Idriz | 70 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| Joël Zwarts | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
| Efe Ali | 44 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 11 | 0 |
| Julien Lamy | 26 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 12 | 0 |
| Francisco Politino | 26 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Martin Ruskov | 13 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 | 0 |
| Alexander Alexandrov | 13 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 2 | 0 |
Septemvri Sofia
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolay Krastev | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 22 | 0 |
| Kubrat Onashchi | 86 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 31 | 0 |
| Martin Hristov | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 47 | 0 |
| Dominik Ivkić | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 66 | 0 |
| Valentine Ozornwafor | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 0 |
| Georgi Varbanov | 73 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 24 | 0 |
| Valon Hamdiu | 52 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 26 | 0 |
| Yoan Baurenski | 73 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 0 |
| Nicolas Fontaine | 61 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 |
| Stefan Stojanović | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 20 | 0 |
| Bertrand Fourrier | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 16 | 0 |
| Faiz Mattoir | 35 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 | 0 |
| Simeon Vasilev | 23 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 13 | 0 |
| Ayoub Abou Oulam | 23 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 22 | 0 |
| Galin Ivanov | 11 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 7 | 0 |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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