Netherlands
6/9Wins
2.3Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Netherlands’s results
World CupGroup Stage - 1THE MATCH CENTRENetherlands vs Japan match centre
90′ · Live
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
V. van Dijk51′
C. Summerville64′
K. Nakamura57′
D. Kamada88′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate4.1%Netherlands
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.5%Japan
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Netherlands 4.2% · no further goal 92.3% · Japan 3.5%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.NetherlandsJapan
0.790Expected goals · API-Football0.540
6Shots on target3
9Total Shots10
59%Ball Possession41%
5Corner Kicks4
7Fouls7
3Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves4
479Total passes319
423Passes accurate270
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Group FProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | +6 | 8 | — |
| 2 |  Japan | 4 | +4 | 6 | — |
| 3 |  Sweden | 3 | 0 | 4 | — |
| 4 |  Tunisia | 3 | -10 | 0 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Netherlands 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Japan 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Japan
6/6Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Japan’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Netherlands
9 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals6 of 9
Both teams scored5 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
UzbekistanHome · Friendlies2–1AlgeriaHome · Friendlies0–1NorwayHome · Friendlies2–1LithuaniaHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe4–0PolandAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–1FinlandHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe4–0MaltaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe4–0LithuaniaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–2PolandHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–1
Japan
6 matchesResults6 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game0.3
Games with 3+ goals2 of 6
Both teams scored1 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Netherlands at home with Japan away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 00:23 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
World Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches
NetherlandsJapan
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Netherlands at home with Japan away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Netherlands
Confirmed formation4-3-3Ronald Koeman
- 1
B. VerbruggenG - 22
D. DumfriesD - 6
J. P. van HeckeD - 4
V. van DijkD - 15
M. van de VenD - 8
R. GravenberchM - 21
F. de JongM - 14
T. ReijndersM - 24
C. SummervilleF - 18
D. MalenF - 11
C. GakpoF
Substitutes (15)
23 · M. Flekken
13 · R. Roefs
10 · M. Depay
9 · W. Weghorst
26 · Q. Timber
19 · B. Brobbey
12 · M. Wieffer
3 · M. De Roon
5 · N. Ake
20 · T. Koopmeiners
7 · J. Kluivert
16 · G. Til
17 · N. Lang
2 · L. Geertruida
25 · J. Hato
Japan
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Hajime Moriyasu
- 1
Z. SuzukiG - 16
T. WatanabeD - 3
S. TaniguchiD - 21
H. ItoD - 10
R. DoanM - 24
K. SanoM - 15
D. KamadaM - 13
K. NakamuraM - 8
T. KuboF - 11
D. MaedaF - 18
A. UedaF
Substitutes (15)
12 · K. Osako
23 · T. Hayakawa
5 · Y. Nagatomo
4 · K. Itakura
22 · T. Tomiyasu
20 · A. Seko
2 · Y. Sugawara
6 · S. Machino
17 · Y. Suzuki
25 · J. Suzuki
9 · K. Goto
14 · J. Ito
19 · K. Ogawa
7 · A. Tanaka
26 · K. Shiogai
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Netherlands
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bart Verbruggen | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Denzel Dumfries | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 1 |
| Jan Paul van Hecke | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 96 | 2 |
| Virgil van Dijk | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 103 | — |
| Micky van de Ven | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 42 | 1 |
| Ryan Gravenberch | 81 | 7.2 | — | 2 | — | 25 | — |
| Frenkie de Jong | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 73 | 3 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 70 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Crysencio Summerville | 70 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | — |
| Donyell Malen | 70 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 8 | — |
| Cody Gakpo | 85 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 36 | 1 |
| Quinten Timber | 20 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 2 |
| Teun Koopmeiners | 20 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Memphis Depay | 20 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Nathan Aké | 9 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Brian Brobbey | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Mark Flekken | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robin Roefs | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorrel Hato | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lutsharel Geertruida | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mats Wieffer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guus Til | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marten de Roon | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Kluivert | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wout Weghorst | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noa Lang | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Japan
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Suzuki | 90 | 8.0 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Tsuyoshi Watanabe | 75 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 2 |
| Shogo Taniguchi | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 50 | — |
| Hiroki Itō | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 41 | — |
| Ritsu Doan | 75 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Kaishu Sano | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 2 |
| Daichi Kamada | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 61 | 3 |
| Keito Nakamura | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 1 |
| Takefusa Kubo | 75 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Daizen Maeda | 66 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Ayase Ueda | 84 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Junya Ito | 24 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Yukinari Sugawara | 15 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| Takehiro Tomiyasu | 15 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Koki Ogawa | 15 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Kento Shiogai | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Keisuke Osako | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomoki Hayakawa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ayumu Seko | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ko Itakura | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Junnosuke Suzuki | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yuto Nagatomo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ao Tanaka | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yuito Suzuki | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Keisuke Goto | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shuto Machino | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Netherlands | Draw | Japan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
Snapshot from 13 Jun 2026, 20:13 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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