Skip to content

Japan vs Iceland match centre

Japan badgeJapanHome
WWWWW
Momentum↑ Strong100/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Iceland badgeIcelandAway
WLLDD
Momentum→ Steady30/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
K. Ogawa87′
New National Stadium · TokyoSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
JapanIceland
5Corner Kicks0
9Fouls9
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves7
574Total passes454
505Passes accurate376

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Japan 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Iceland 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Japan

5/5Wins
2.2Goals / game
0.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Japan’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Iceland

3/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Iceland’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Japan at home with Iceland away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 00:26 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Friendlies · 2026/27 · all league matches

JapanIceland
2Matches played3
6Points earned2
2Wins0
1.0Goals scored / match1.0
0.0Goals conceded / match2.3
2Clean sheets0
0Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Japan at home with Iceland away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Japan

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Hajime Moriyasu
  1. 1Z. SuzukiG
  2. 15T. TomiyasuD
  3. 22M. YoshidaD
  4. 4K. ItakuraD
  5. 10R. DoanM
  6. 6W. EndoM
  7. 7A. TanakaM
  8. 13K. NakamuraM
  9. 8T. KuboF
  10. 14J. ItoF
  11. 18A. UedaF
Substitutes (15)

12 · K. Osako

23 · T. Hayakawa

5 · Y. Nagatomo

11 · D. Maeda

20 · A. Seko

2 · Y. Sugawara

17 · Y. Suzuki

25 · J. Suzuki

9 · K. Goto

3 · S. Taniguchi

19 · K. Ogawa

21 · H. Ito

24 · K. Sano

16 · T. Watanabe

26 · K. Shiogai

Iceland

Confirmed formationPending
  1. 12H. R. ValdimarssonG
  2. 15D. ThorhallssonD
  3. 3D. L. GretarssonD
  4. 23H. MagnussonD
  5. 2L. TomassonD
  6. 16S. T. ThordarsonM
  7. 19M. E. EllertssonM
  8. 18G. ThordarsonM
  9. 14A. F. BaldurssonM
  10. 20K. HlynssonM
  11. 22B. WillumssonF
Substitutes (10)

1 · O. Kristinsson

13 · A. Benediktsson

17 · A. Gunnarsson

6 · H. Hermannsson

10 · I. Thorvaldsson

4 · V. Lunddal

21 · A. Sampsted

7 · W. T. Willumsson

11 · S. I. Sigurdarson

9 · B. Andresson

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Japan

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Zion Suzuki826.7—0—19—
Takehiro Tomiyasu836.9—0276—
Maya Yoshida147.0—0—251
Ko Itakura737.5—0176—
Ritsu Doan456.6—0—142
Wataru Endo456.5—0—44—
Ao Tanaka737.0—01551
Keito Nakamura727.3—02511
Takefusa Kubo836.9—0134—
Junya Ito456.6—0—20—
Ayase Ueda456.3—0—11—
Hiroki Itō767.0—0—631
Ayumu Seko457.0—0—24—
Yuto Nagatomo456.7—0110—
Yukinari Sugawara457.2—1—19—
Koki Ogawa457.71025—
Kento Shiogai186.5—0—2—
Tsuyoshi Watanabe176.6—0—11—
Keisuke Goto176.3—0—61
Tomoki Hayakawa86.7—0—4—
Shogo Taniguchi156.6—0—9—
Kaishu Sano156.3—0—3—
Osako Keisuke———————
Junnosuke Suzuki———————
Yuito Suzuki———————
Daizen Maeda———————

Iceland

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson907.3—0—55—
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson906.5—0240—
Daníel Grétarsson857.3—0—552
Hörður Magnússon897.2—0—701
Logi Tomasson906.3—0246—
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson907.2—0—624
Mikael Ellertsson906.3—0—181
Gisli Thordarson456.3—0—132
Andri Fannar Baldursson727.0—0—36—
Kristian Hlynsson876.5—0—261
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson726.3—0114—
Willum Thor Willumsson456.5—0112—
Aron Gunnarsson186.3—0—15—
Benoný Breki Andrésson186.7—0—5—
Hjörtur Hermannsson136.3—0111—
Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson116.6—0—21
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson1——0—1—
Adam Ingi Benediktsson———————
Ögmundur Kristinsson———————
Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson———————
Alfons Sampsted———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Friendlies table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerJapanDrawIceland
Bet3651.177.0012.00

Snapshot from 30 May 2026, 20:53 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

Try it with virtual funds

Open practice slip +

Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗

Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →