Toronto FC
4/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Toronto FC’s results
Major League SoccerMatchweek 9THE MATCH CENTREToronto FC vs Philadelphia Union match centre
90′ · Live
3:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Sargent56′
K. Franklin64′
L. Gavran90+7′
M. Iloski45+4′
D. Jean Jacques53′
N. Harriel89′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate3.5%Toronto FC
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate4.0%Philadelphia Union
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Toronto FC 3.6% · no further goal 92.3% · Philadelphia Union 4.1%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Toronto FCPhiladelphia Union
1.400Expected goals · API-Football0.830
3Shots on target5
10Total Shots12
63%Ball Possession37%
2Corner Kicks2
12Fouls15
4Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves0
485Total passes270
396Passes accurate190
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Eastern ConferenceProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 27 | +34 | 60 | — |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 27 | +14 | 46 | ↑ 1 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 27 | +9 | 46 | ↓ 1 |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 27 | +9 | 43 | — |
| 5 |  Chicago Fire | 26 | +8 | 42 | — |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 28 | +10 | 40 | — |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 27 | -16 | 34 | — |
| 8 |  New York City FC | 27 | +5 | 33 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 26 | -9 | 33 | ↑ 1 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 27 | -17 | 33 | ↓ 2 |
| 11 |  DC United | 26 | -8 | 30 | — |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 28 | -12 | 30 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 27 | -4 | 29 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 27 | -13 | 27 | — |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 27 | -20 | 24 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Toronto FC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Philadelphia Union 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Philadelphia Union
2/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Philadelphia Union’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Toronto FC
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AustinHome · Major League Soccer3–3FC CincinnatiHome · Major League Soccer1–1Colorado RapidsHome · Major League Soccer3–2Columbus CrewHome · Major League Soccer2–1New York Red BullsHome · Major League Soccer1–1FC CincinnatiAway · Major League Soccer1–0Vancouver WhitecapsAway · Major League Soccer0–3FC DallasAway · Major League Soccer2–3PolessyaHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1FredrikstadHome · Friendlies Clubs0–1
Philadelphia Union
10 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
DC UnitedHome · Major League Soccer0–0CF MontrealAway · Major League Soccer2–1CharlotteAway · Major League Soccer1–2Chicago FireHome · Major League Soccer1–2Club AmericaAway · CONCACAF Champions League1–1Atlanta United FCAway · Major League Soccer1–3Club AmericaHome · CONCACAF Champions League0–1New York City FCHome · Major League Soccer1–2Defence ForceAway · CONCACAF Champions League5–0CF MontrealHome · Friendlies Clubs2–4
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Toronto FC at home with Philadelphia Union away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:48 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Major League Soccer · 2026/27 · all league matches
Toronto FCPhiladelphia Union
8Matches played8
12Points earned4
3Wins1
1.6Goals scored / match0.8
1.8Goals conceded / match1.6
1Clean sheets1
1Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Toronto FC at home with Philadelphia Union away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Toronto FC
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Robin Fraser
- 1
L. GavranG - 19
K. FranklinD - 25
W. ZimmermanD - 12
Z. MonlouisD - 22
R. LaryeaD - 14
A. CoelloM - 21
J. OsorioM - 29
D. KerrM - 8
J. CifuentesM - 20
D. SalloiM - 9
J. SargentF
Substitutes (9)
23 · W. Yarbrough
11 · D. Etienne
76 · L. Stefanovic
99 · J. Vilsaint
75 · R. Fisher
44 · R. Edwards
71 · M. Cimermancic
17 · E. Aristizabal
78 · M. Henry
Philadelphia Union
Confirmed formation4-4-2Bradley Carnell
- 18
A. BlakeG - 26
N. HarrielD - 5
J. Sery LarsenD - 29
O. MakhanyaD - 39
F. WestfieldD - 21
D. Jean JacquesM - 4
J. LukicM - 8
J. BuenoM - 19
I. VassilevM - 9
B. DamianiF - 10
M. IloskiF
Substitutes (9)
76 · A. Rick
11 · A. Bedoya
20 · P. Ndinga
14 · J. Rafanello
16 · B. Bender
6 · C. Sullivan
2 · G. Martinez
23 · E. Alladoh
51 · M. Jakupovic
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Toronto FC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Gavran | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Kobe Franklin | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alonso Coello | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Zane Monlouis | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Walker Zimmerman | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Richie Laryea | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| José Cifuentes | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Dániel Sallói | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Deandre Kerr | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Sargent | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| William Yarbrough | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raheem Edwards | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lazar Stefanovic | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reid Fisher | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Malik Henry | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Markus Cimermancic | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Derrick Etienne Junior | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emilio Aristizábal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jules-Anthony Vilsaint | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Union
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Blake | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Harriel | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Japhet Sery Larsen | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Olwethu Makhanya | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Frankie Westfield | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesus Bueno | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Danley Jean Jacques | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Jovan Lukić | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Indiana Vassilev | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Milan Iloski | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Damiani | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Rick | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Philippe Ndinga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Geiner Martínez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cavan Sullivan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Bedoya | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ben Bender | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Rafanello | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ezekiel Alladoh | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Malik Jakupovic | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Toronto FC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
Snapshot from 21 Apr 2026, 18:15 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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