Chicago Fire
7/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Chicago Fire’s results
Major League SoccerMatchweek 11THE MATCH CENTREChicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati match centre
90′ · Live
2:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
H. Cuypers16′
H. Cuypers28′
Evander24′
Evander31′
Evander90+7′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.2%Chicago Fire
Draw6.0%at full time
Current result estimate93.8%FC Cincinnati
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: Chicago Fire 6.2% · no further goal 92.0% · FC Cincinnati 1.8%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Chicago FireFC Cincinnati
3.720Expected goals · API-Football1.740
10Shots on target4
30Total Shots10
55%Ball Possession45%
10Corner Kicks1
12Fouls5
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves8
473Total passes409
407Passes accurate352
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Eastern ConferenceProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 27 | +34 | 60 | — |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 27 | +14 | 46 | ↑ 1 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 27 | +9 | 46 | ↓ 1 |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 27 | +9 | 43 | — |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 27 | +7 | 42 | — |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 27 | +10 | 39 | — |
| 7 |  FC Cincinnati | 27 | -8 | 36 | ↑ 3 |
| 8 |  Orlando City SC | 27 | -16 | 34 | ↓ 1 |
| 9 |  New York City FC | 27 | +5 | 33 | — |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 27 | -17 | 33 | ↓ 2 |
| 11 |  DC United | 26 | -8 | 30 | — |
| 12 |  Columbus Crew | 27 | -4 | 29 | — |
| 13 |  Toronto FC | 27 | -12 | 29 | — |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 27 | -13 | 27 | — |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 27 | -20 | 24 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Chicago Fire 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
FC Cincinnati 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
FC Cincinnati
2/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
2.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect FC Cincinnati’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Chicago Fire
10 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
St. Louis CityHome · US Open Cup1–2Sporting Kansas CityHome · Major League Soccer5–0FC CincinnatiAway · Major League Soccer3–3Detroit CityAway · US Open Cup2–1Atlanta United FCHome · Major League Soccer1–0Nashville SCHome · Major League Soccer1–0Philadelphia UnionAway · Major League Soccer2–1ChattanoogaHome · MLS Next Pro2–1Orlando City IIAway · MLS Next Pro1–2CF MontrealHome · Major League Soccer3–0
FC Cincinnati
10 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game2.8
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
New York Red BullsHome · Major League Soccer2–0New York City FCAway · Major League Soccer4–4Chicago FireHome · Major League Soccer3–3Toronto FCAway · Major League Soccer1–1New York Red BullsAway · Major League Soccer2–4CF MontrealHome · Major League Soccer4–3Tigres UANLAway · CONCACAF Champions League1–5New England RevolutionAway · Major League Soccer1–6Toronto FCHome · Major League Soccer0–1Minnesota United FCAway · Major League Soccer0–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Chicago Fire at home with FC Cincinnati away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:02 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Major League Soccer · 2026/27 · all league matches
Chicago FireFC Cincinnati
8Matches played9
14Points earned9
4Wins2
1.5Goals scored / match1.9
1.0Goals conceded / match2.6
4Clean sheets1
1Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Chicago Fire at home with FC Cincinnati away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Chicago Fire
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Mario Barcena
- 1
C. BradyG - 24
J. DeanD - 3
J. ElliottD - 4
M. MbokaziD - 15
A. GutmanD - 42
D. D'AvillaM - 6
A. SaletrosM - 11
P. ZinckernagelM - 17
R. LodM - 7
M. Haile-SelassieM - 9
H. CuypersF
Substitutes (9)
44 · J. Cohen
16 · J. Waterman
22 · M. Pineda
20 · J. Shokalook
27 · D. Borso
19 · J. Bamba
14 · V. Radojevic
12 · P. Dithejane
35 · S. Oregel
FC Cincinnati
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Pat Noonan
- 18
R. CelentanoG - 24
K. SmithD - 88
A. ChirilaD - 11
S. GidiD - 20
P. BuchaM - 22
G. ValenzuelaM - 27
T. AnungaM - 29
B. J. Ramirez LeonM - 10
EvanderF - 17
K. MbomaF - 9
K. DenkeyF
Substitutes (9)
13 · E. Louro
21 · M. Miazga
4 · N. Hagglund
66 · E. Echenique
99 · A. Jabbari
3 · G. Flores
37 · S. Jimenez
16 · T. Barlow
55 · A. Lajhar
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Chicago Fire
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Brady | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Jonathan Dean | 89 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 2 |
| Jack Elliott | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 68 | 2 |
| Mbekezeli Mbokazi | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 53 | — |
| Andrew Gutman | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | 1 |
| Dje Tah D'Avilla | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 62 | 2 |
| Anton Salétros | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 3 | 56 | 3 |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 6 | 51 | 1 |
| Robin Lod | 59 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 3 |
| Maren Haile-Selassie | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 4 | 41 | 1 |
| Hugo Cuypers | 90 | 8.9 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 28 | 2 |
| Jonathan Bamba | 31 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Jason Shokalook | 1 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Josh Cohen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joel Waterman | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Viktor Radojević | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Puso Dithejane | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Pineda | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dylan Borso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Oregel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Cincinnati
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Celentano | 90 | 9.7 | — | 0 | — | 37 | — |
| Kyle Smith | 56 | 5.3 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Andrei Chirila | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 76 | — |
| Samuel Gidi | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 63 | 1 |
| Pavel Bucha | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Gerardo Valenzuela | 66 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Tah Anunga | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Bryan Ramirez | 88 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 38 | 4 |
| Evander | 90 | 10.0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 39 | 1 |
| Kenji Mboma Dem | 77 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | — |
| Kévin Denkey | 77 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| Nick Hagglund | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Matt Miazga | 24 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Tom Barlow | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Ayoub Jabbari | 13 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Ayoub Lajhar | 15 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Evan Louro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gilberto Flores | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ender Echenique | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stiven Jimenez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Chicago Fire | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 4.33 | 4.20 |
Snapshot from 2 May 2026, 20:33 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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