Orlando City SC
4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
2.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Orlando City SC’s results
Major League SoccerMatchweek 14THE MATCH CENTREOrlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union match centre
90′ · Live
4:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Ojeda19′ (pen)
G. Dorsey27′
D. McGuire72′
M. Ojeda90′
M. Iloski54′
C. Sullivan75′
B. Bender79′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.3%Orlando City SC
Draw4.6%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Philadelphia Union
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: Orlando City SC 3.4% · no further goal 91.8% · Philadelphia Union 4.8%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Orlando City SCPhiladelphia Union
2.870Expected goals · API-Football1.620
5Shots on target7
11Total Shots25
56%Ball Possession44%
1Corner Kicks10
8Fouls11
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves1
468Total passes355
403Passes accurate298
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Eastern ConferenceProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 27 | +34 | 60 | — |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 27 | +14 | 46 | ↑ 1 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 27 | +9 | 46 | ↓ 1 |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 27 | +9 | 43 | — |
| 5 |  Chicago Fire | 26 | +8 | 42 | — |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 28 | +9 | 39 | — |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 28 | -15 | 37 | — |
| 8 |  New York City FC | 27 | +5 | 33 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 26 | -9 | 33 | ↑ 1 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 27 | -17 | 33 | ↓ 2 |
| 11 |  DC United | 26 | -8 | 30 | — |
| 12 |  Columbus Crew | 27 | -4 | 29 | — |
| 13 |  Toronto FC | 27 | -12 | 29 | — |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 27 | -13 | 27 | — |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 27 | -20 | 24 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Orlando City SC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Philadelphia Union 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Philadelphia Union
1/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Philadelphia Union’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Orlando City SC
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game2.5
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
CF MontrealAway · Major League Soccer0–2Inter MiamiAway · Major League Soccer4–3New England RevolutionAway · US Open Cup4–3DC UnitedAway · Major League Soccer2–3CharlotteHome · Major League Soccer4–1Houston DynamoHome · Major League Soccer0–1NaplesAway · US Open Cup1–0Columbus CrewAway · Major League Soccer1–1Los Angeles FCAway · Major League Soccer0–6Nashville SCAway · Major League Soccer0–5
Philadelphia Union
10 matchesResults1 wins · 4 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
New England RevolutionAway · Major League Soccer1–2Nashville SCHome · Major League Soccer0–0Columbus CrewAway · Major League Soccer0–2Toronto FCAway · Major League Soccer3–3DC UnitedHome · Major League Soccer0–0CF MontrealAway · Major League Soccer2–1CharlotteAway · Major League Soccer1–2Chicago FireHome · Major League Soccer1–2Club AmericaAway · CONCACAF Champions League1–1Atlanta United FCAway · Major League Soccer1–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Orlando City SC at home with Philadelphia Union away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:32 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Major League Soccer · 2026/27 · all league matches
Orlando City SCPhiladelphia Union
11Matches played11
10Points earned6
3Wins1
1.5Goals scored / match0.8
2.9Goals conceded / match1.5
0Clean sheets2
4Failed to score5
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Orlando City SC at home with Philadelphia Union away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Orlando City SC
Confirmed formation3-4-3Oscar Pareja
- 71
M. CrepeauG - 57
Iago TeodoroD - 6
R. JanssonD - 4
D. BrekaloD - 24
G. DorseyM - 8
B. OjedaM - 20
E. AtuestaM - 77
I. AnguloM - 22
J. EllisF - 10
M. OjedaF - 11
TiagoF
Substitutes (9)
12 · J. Otero
16 · W. Cartagena
87 · M. Pasalic
19 · Z. Taifi
13 · D. McGuire
5 · Luis Otavio
3 · A. Gomez
29 · T. Reid-Brown
14 · T. Spicer
Philadelphia Union
Confirmed formation4-4-2Bradley Carnell
- 76
A. RickG - 26
N. HarrielD - 2
G. MartinezD - 29
O. MakhanyaD - 16
B. BenderD - 21
D. Jean JacquesM - 4
J. LukicM - 14
J. RafanelloM - 19
I. VassilevM - 10
M. IloskiF - 9
B. DamianiF
Substitutes (9)
31 · G. Marks
11 · A. Bedoya
20 · P. Ndinga
66 · F. Sundstrom
15 · O. Mbaizo
28 · A. Anello
37 · S. Korzeniowski
6 · C. Sullivan
23 · E. Alladoh
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Orlando City SC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Crépeau | 99 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 22 | — |
| Iago Silva | 99 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 82 | — |
| Robin Jansson | 99 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 88 | — |
| David Brekalo | 64 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 45 | 1 |
| Griffin Dorsey | 81 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 2 |
| Braian Ojeda | 99 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 41 | 4 |
| Eduard Atuesta | 63 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 44 | 2 |
| Iván Angulo | 99 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 2 |
| Justin Ellis | 70 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 3 |
| Martín Ojeda | 99 | 8.5 | 2 | — | 5 | 32 | 2 |
| Tiago Souza | 64 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 12 | 1 |
| Luis Otávio | 36 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 15 | 2 |
| Adrián Marín | 35 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | 16 | — |
| Tyrese Spicer | 35 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Duncan McGuire | 29 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | — |
| Marco Pašalić | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Javier Otero | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tahir Reid-Brown | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Taifi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wilder Cartagena | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Union
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Rick | 99 | 4.9 | — | — | — | 21 | — |
| Nathan Harriel | 99 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 2 | 37 | 3 |
| Geiner Martínez | 99 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 4 |
| Olwethu Makhanya | 99 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 4 |
| Ben Bender | 99 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 48 | 2 |
| Danley Jean Jacques | 99 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 49 | — |
| Jovan Lukić | 43 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 17 | — |
| Jeremy Rafanello | 99 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 2 |
| Indiana Vassilev | 65 | 5.9 | — | — | — | 26 | 1 |
| Milan Iloski | 75 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 5 | 32 | — |
| Bruno Damiani | 75 | 5.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
| Cavan Sullivan | 56 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 3 | 20 | — |
| Agustin Anello | 34 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Ezekiel Alladoh | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 2 | 1 |
| Stas Kornzeniowski | 24 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 2 | 6 | — |
| George Marks | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olivier Mbaizo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Finn Sundstrom | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Philippe Ndinga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Bedoya | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Orlando City SC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.15 |
Snapshot from 12 May 2026, 16:15 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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