Charlotte
3/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Charlotte’s results
Major League SoccerMatchweek 15THE MATCH CENTRECharlotte vs Toronto FC match centre
90′ · Live
3:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
W. Zaha20′
D. Schnegg35′
P. Biel84′ (pen)
R. Edwards22′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate99.9%Charlotte
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Toronto FC
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Charlotte 4.2% · no further goal 91.9% · Toronto FC 3.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.CharlotteToronto FC
2.120Expected goals · API-Football0.880
6Shots on target3
15Total Shots11
46%Ball Possession54%
6Corner Kicks3
8Fouls13
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves3
400Total passes475
351Passes accurate416
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Eastern ConferenceProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 27 | +34 | 60 | — |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 27 | +14 | 46 | ↑ 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | 28 | +11 | 46 | ↑ 1 |
| 4 |  New England Revolution | 27 | +9 | 46 | ↓ 2 |
| 5 |  Chicago Fire | 26 | +8 | 42 | — |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 27 | +10 | 39 | — |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 27 | -16 | 34 | — |
| 8 |  New York City FC | 27 | +5 | 33 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 26 | -9 | 33 | ↑ 1 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 27 | -17 | 33 | ↓ 2 |
| 11 |  DC United | 26 | -8 | 30 | — |
| 12 |  Columbus Crew | 27 | -4 | 29 | — |
| 13 |  Toronto FC | 28 | -14 | 29 | — |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 27 | -13 | 27 | — |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 27 | -20 | 24 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Charlotte 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Toronto FC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Toronto FC
3/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Toronto FC’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Charlotte
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
New York City FCHome · Major League Soccer0–1FC CincinnatiHome · Major League Soccer2–2New England RevolutionAway · Major League Soccer0–1Atlanta United FCHome · US Open Cup0–2Nashville SCAway · Major League Soccer2–4Orlando City SCAway · Major League Soccer1–4New York City FCAway · Major League Soccer2–1Charlotte IndependenceHome · US Open Cup6–0Nashville SCHome · Major League Soccer1–2Philadelphia UnionHome · Major League Soccer2–1
Toronto FC
10 matchesResults3 wins · 5 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Inter MiamiHome · Major League Soccer2–4San Jose EarthquakesHome · Major League Soccer1–1Atlanta United FCHome · Major League Soccer1–2Philadelphia UnionHome · Major League Soccer3–3AustinHome · Major League Soccer3–3FC CincinnatiHome · Major League Soccer1–1Colorado RapidsHome · Major League Soccer3–2Columbus CrewHome · Major League Soccer2–1New York Red BullsHome · Major League Soccer1–1FC CincinnatiAway · Major League Soccer1–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Charlotte at home with Toronto FC away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:53 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Major League Soccer · 2026/27 · all league matches
CharlotteToronto FC
26Matches played11
43Points earned14
12Wins3
1.8Goals scored / match1.7
1.4Goals conceded / match1.9
5Clean sheets1
5Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Charlotte at home with Toronto FC away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Charlotte
4wins5MEETINGS
Toronto FC
1winsOct 2023 – Jul 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Charlotte first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Charlotte
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Dean Smith
- 1
K. KahlinaG - 14
N. ByrneD - 44
M. AgyemangD - 4
A. PrivettD - 23
D. SchneggD - 13
B. BronicoM - 8
A. WestwoodM - 18
K. A. Calderon VargasM - 16
P. BielM - 10
W. ZahaM - 9
I. ToklomatiF
Substitutes (9)
21 · T. Miller
7 · A. Goodwin
48 · A. John
17 · L. de la Torre
11 · L. Abada
28 · D. Diani
22 · H. Kessler
37 · R. Aloko
35 · W. Cleary
Toronto FC
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Robin Fraser
- 1
L. GavranG - 19
K. FranklinD - 25
W. ZimmermanD - 38
J. GilmanD - 44
R. EdwardsD - 14
A. CoelloM - 21
J. OsorioM - 78
M. HenryM - 20
D. SalloiM - 11
D. EtienneM - 17
E. AristizabalF
Substitutes (7)
23 · W. Yarbrough
77 · A. De Rosario
74 · L. Costabile
98 · S. Kapor
15 · N. Gomis
91 · D. Barrow
79 · F. Bank
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Charlotte
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristijan Kahlina | 36 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Nathan Byrne | 36 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| Morrison Agyemang | 36 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 22 | — |
| Andrew Privett | 36 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 22 | — |
| David Schnegg | 36 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | — |
| Brandt Bronico | 36 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 8 | 2 |
| Ashley Westwood | 36 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 13 | 1 |
| Kerwin Calderón Vargas | 36 | 6.9 | — | 2 | 2 | 7 | — |
| Pep Biel | 36 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 18 | — |
| Wilfried Zaha | 36 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | — |
| Idan Toklomati | 36 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Tyler Miller | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Will Cleary | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Henry Kessler | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca De La Torre | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Liel Abada | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Djibril Diani | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aron John | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Archie Goodwin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodolfo Aloko | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Toronto FC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Gavran | 36 | 5.9 | — | — | — | 19 | — |
| Kobe Franklin | 36 | 6.0 | — | — | — | 23 | — |
| Walker Zimmerman | 36 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 2 |
| Jackson Gilman | 36 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 29 | — |
| Raheem Edwards | 36 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 11 | 1 |
| Alonso Coello | 36 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 34 | — |
| Jonathan Osorio | 36 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | 19 | — |
| Malik Henry | 36 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 8 | — |
| Dániel Sallói | 36 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 9 | — |
| Derrick Etienne | 36 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | — |
| Emilio Aristizábal | 36 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| William Yarbrough | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adisa De Rosario | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Costabile | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Kapor | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nickseon Gomis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fletcher Bank | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dekwon Barrow | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Charlotte | Draw | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
Snapshot from 15 May 2026, 16:16 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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