R. DonkorInternational duty
Reported out
Major League SoccerMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTRENew York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City match centre
Full time
0:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Rafael Navarro Leal5′
Simon Becher87′
Tomas Ostrak90+1′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 1 Oct 00:14 UK.
Odds updated 30 Sep 21:02 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 8 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
New York Red BullsSt. Louis City
—Expected goals · API-Football—
5Shots on target8
10Total Shots15
46%Ball Possession54%
4Corner Kicks3
12Fouls11
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves4
403Total passes482
322Passes accurate394
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
New York Red Bulls 11 reported
M. Dos SantosInternational duty
Reported out
J. HallInternational duty
Reported out
M. JimenezInternational duty
Reported out
A. MehmetiInternational duty
Reported out
R. MosqueraInternational duty
Reported out
D. RuizInternational duty
Reported out
O. ValenciaInternational duty
Reported out
J. CheAnkle Injury
Doubtful
A. MarcucciKnee Injury
Doubtful
J. Marshall-RuttyHamstring Injury
Doubtful
St. Louis City 3 reported
Celio PompeuKnee Injury
Reported out
D. DownsInternational duty
Reported out
K. HiebertHip Injury
DoubtfulFetched 30 Sep, 20:42 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
New York Red Bulls
3/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect New York Red Bulls’s resultsSt. Louis City
6/10Wins
2.5Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect St. Louis City’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
New York Red Bulls
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
New York City FCAway · Major League Soccer1–0Columbus CrewAway · Major League Soccer1–0Los Angeles FCAway · Major League Soccer0–2Seattle SoundersAway · Major League Soccer0–0Philadelphia UnionHome · Major League Soccer1–3Chicago FireHome · Major League Soccer1–1Nashville SCHome · Major League Soccer0–1Atlanta United FCAway · Major League Soccer1–2Orlando City SCHome · Major League Soccer3–2CharlotteHome · Major League Soccer0–2
St. Louis City
10 matchesResults6 wins · 4 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.5
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Toronto FCHome · Major League Soccer3–1Colorado RapidsAway · US Open Cup3–0Minnesota United FCHome · Major League Soccer4–2Portland TimbersAway · Major League Soccer2–2Vancouver WhitecapsAway · Major League Soccer3–1FC DallasHome · Major League Soccer3–3Houston DynamoHome · Major League Soccer2–1Sporting Kansas CityAway · Major League Soccer1–1San Jose EarthquakesAway · Major League Soccer3–1Real Salt LakeHome · Major League Soccer1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare New York Red Bulls at home with St. Louis City away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 00:23 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Major League Soccer · 2026/27 · all league matches
New York Red BullsSt. Louis City
26Matches played26
33Points earned44
9Wins12
1.3Goals scored / match1.7
1.8Goals conceded / match1.4
4Clean sheets3
7Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares New York Red Bulls at home with St. Louis City away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
3 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
New York Red Bulls
1wins3MEETINGS
St. Louis City
1winsFeb 2024 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
New York Red Bulls
Confirmed formation4-3-3Michael Bradley
- 34
E. HorvathG - 12
D. NealisD - 14
J. BazánD - 26
T. ParkerD - 59
D. PadelfordD - 37
M. SofoM - 60
S. KoneM - 10
E. ForsbergM - 11
J. RuvalcabaF - 13
E. Choupo-MotingF - 7
C. CowellF
Substitutes (7)
45 · C. Faello
88 · Pedro Henrique Severiano Castro
80 · N. Worth
6 · R. Voloder
66 · T. Rosborough
70 · A. Rojas
77 · J. McCarthy
St. Louis City
Confirmed formation3-4-3Y. Damet
- 1
R. BürkiG - 21
D. PolvaraD - 32
T. BaumgartlD - 27
F. FallD - 6
C. WallemM - 8
C. DurkinM - 24
D. EdelmanM - 14
T. TotlandM - 19
C. HolseF - 9
Rafael NavarroF - 23
A. MățanF
Substitutes (9)
28 · M. Perez
20 · Rafael Santos
11 · S. Becher
77 · Jeong Sang-Bin
59 · M. Joyner
39 · B. Lundt
5 · L. MacNaughton
99 · J. Orozco
7 · T. Ostrák
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Major League Soccer table
Current standings · Western Conference. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 50 | DWLWL |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 47 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 47 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 45 | WDWWD |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 44 | LDLWD |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 41 | LDLWD |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 36 | LDWDL |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 36 | WWDLW |
| 9 |  Seattle Sounders | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 35 | WWDDD |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 32 | LLLDW |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 32 | WLLLL |
| 12 |  San Diego | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 32 | DDLLL |
| 13 |  Austin | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 31 | DDWDD |
| 14 |  Minnesota United FC | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 29 | LLLLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 21 | WLWLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | New York Red Bulls | Draw | St. Louis City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 3.64 | 4.20 | 1.78 |
| Betfair | 3.75 | 4.10 | 1.85 |
| Pinnacle | 3.84 | 4.32 | 1.84 |
| SBO | 3.11 | 3.66 | 1.95 |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.75 |
Snapshot from 30 Sep 2026, 21:02 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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