W. MadrigalLower-Body Injury
Reported out
Major League SoccerMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTRENashville SC vs Toronto FC match centre
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Hany Mukhtar16′
Hany Mukhtar43′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 27 Sep 00:23 UK.
Odds updated 27 Sep 01:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 8 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Nashville SCToronto FC
—Expected goals · API-Football—
11Shots on target3
23Total Shots11
62%Ball Possession38%
9Corner Kicks3
11Fouls7
1Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves9
506Total passes315
441Passes accurate227
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Nashville SC 5 reported
A. QasemInternational duty
Reported out
B. SchwakeInternational duty
Reported out
X. ValdezInternational duty
Reported out
P. YazbekInternational duty
Reported out
Toronto FC 7 reported
R. ChukwuInternational duty
Reported out
M. CimermancicInternational duty
Reported out
B. KuscevicInternational duty
Reported out
R. LaryeaInternational duty
Reported out
D. MihailovicMuscle Injury
Reported out
N. PalacioLower-Body Injury
Reported out
W. ZimmermanYellow Cards
Reported outFetched 26 Sep, 23:16 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Nashville SC
6/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 9 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Nashville SC’s resultsToronto FC
3/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Toronto FC’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Nashville SC
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Chicago FireHome · Major League Soccer3–0Inter MiamiAway · Major League Soccer2–2Toronto FCAway · Major League Soccer1–2New York City FCAway · Major League Soccer0–0FC CincinnatiHome · Major League Soccer4–0Columbus CrewHome · Major League Soccer3–2New York Red BullsAway · Major League Soccer1–0Inter MiamiHome · Major League Soccer4–1MonterreyAway · Leagues Cup1–2Atletico San LuisHome · Leagues Cup4–1
Toronto FC
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
St. Louis CityAway · Major League Soccer1–3Orlando City SCAway · Major League Soccer0–3Nashville SCHome · Major League Soccer2–1Chicago FireHome · Major League Soccer4–4New York City FCHome · Major League Soccer1–1Inter MiamiAway · Major League Soccer2–1CharlotteHome · Major League Soccer3–3New England RevolutionHome · Major League Soccer2–1New York City FCAway · Major League Soccer1–1DC UnitedAway · Major League Soccer1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Nashville SC at home with Toronto FC away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:50 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Major League Soccer · 2026/27 · all league matches
Nashville SCToronto FC
25Matches played25
54Points earned29
16Wins6
2.0Goals scored / match1.5
0.8Goals conceded / match1.8
11Clean sheets3
5Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Nashville SC at home with Toronto FC away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Nashville SC
3wins4MEETINGS
Toronto FC
1winsJun 2024 – Sep 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Nashville SC first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Nashville SC
Confirmed formation4-3-3B. Callaghan
- 1
J. WillisG - 31
A. NajarD - 3
M. WoledziD - 4
J. PalaciosD - 27
R. Baker-WhitingD - 11
E. SaadM - 20
E. TagsethM - 16
M. CorcoranM - 7
C. EspinozaF - 9
S. SurridgeF - 10
H. MukhtarF
Substitutes (7)
6 · B. Acosta
22 · J. Bauer
23 · J. Knight
2 · D. Lovitz
5 · J. Maher
14 · S. Mohammed
19 · A. Muyl
Toronto FC
Confirmed formation4-3-3R. Fraser
- 1
L. GavranG - 38
J. GilmanD - 12
Z. MonlouisD - 15
N. GomisD - 3
Matheus PereiraD - 21
J. OsorioM - 20
D. SallóiM - 6
N. DorschM - 7
T. CorbeanuF - 9
J. SargentF - 90
L. MorganF
Substitutes (9)
23 · W. Yarbrough
99 · J. Vilsaint
76 · L. Stefanovic
27 · A. Piedrahita
19 · K. Franklin
11 · D. Etienne
44 · R. Edwards
14 · Alonso Coello
17 · Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Major League Soccer table
Current standings · Eastern Conference. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55 | 21 | 34 | 60 | WWDLD |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 46 | LWWWL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 46 | LDDDD |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 43 | LWDWD |
| 5 |  Chicago Fire | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 42 | WLLDD |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 39 | WWWWW |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 34 | LLWWW |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 33 | LWWLD |
| 9 |  New York City FC | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 33 | DLWLD |
| 10 |  FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 33 | LDDLL |
| 11 |  DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 30 | DLDWD |
| 12 |  Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 29 | WWLLW |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 29 | LLLWD |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 27 | DWDLD |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 24 | WLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Nashville SC | Draw | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 1.33 | 5.25 | 7.50 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37 | 5.54 | 7.76 |
| SBO | 1.34 | 4.94 | 6.38 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.60 | 6.00 |
Snapshot from 27 Sep 2026, 01:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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