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Independiente vs Union Santa Fe match centre

Independiente badgeIndependienteHome · 5 in league
WWLDW
Momentum→ Steady65/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
4:4
UK time · Europe/London
Union Santa Fe badgeUnion Santa FeAway · 8 in league
LDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising74/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
I. Pussetto45+1′
G. Avalos49′ (pen)
G. Avalos68′
Scorer pending90+10′
C. Tarragona14′ (pen)
B. Cuello20′
M. Del Blanco39′
M. Rodriguez64′
Libertadores de America · Buenos AiresSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate3.7%Independiente
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.9%Union Santa Fe
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Independiente 3.7% · no further goal 92.3% · Union Santa Fe 3.9%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
IndependienteUnion Santa Fe
7Corner Kicks3
12Fouls10
2Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves1
350Total passes276
257Passes accurate186

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Apertura - Group A

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231—
2Boca Juniors16+1330—
3Velez Sarsfield16+628—
4Talleres Cordoba16+426—
5Independiente17+425—
6Lanus16+324—
7Union Santa Fe17+422↑ 1
8San Lorenzo16022↓ 1
9Instituto Cordoba16021—
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319—
11Gimnasia M.16-819—
12Platense16-516—
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16-1016—
14Newells Old Boys16-1215—
15Deportivo Riestra16-711—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Independiente 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Union Santa Fe 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Independiente

3/7Wins
1.3Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Independiente’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Union Santa Fe

3/6Wins
1.7Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Union Santa Fe’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Independiente at home with Union Santa Fe away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 09:51 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga Profesional Argentina · 2026/27 · all league matches

IndependienteUnion Santa Fe
8Matches played8
13Points earned14
3Wins4
1.4Goals scored / match1.4
0.9Goals conceded / match0.7
3Clean sheets4
0Failed to score3

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Independiente at home with Union Santa Fe away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Independiente

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Gustavo Quinteros
  1. 33R. ReyG
  2. 29L. GodoyD
  3. 13J. FedorcoD
  4. 26K. LomonacoD
  5. 22F. ZabalaD
  6. 23I. MarconeM
  7. 25I. PussettoM
  8. 8L. MillanM
  9. 40I. MalcorraM
  10. 19M. AbaldoM
  11. 9G. AvalosF
Substitutes (12)

1 · J. Blazquez

6 · N. Freire

3 · M. Valenzuela

36 · S. Valdez

28 · M. Gutierrez

43 · F. Valdez

4 · S. Arias

11 · F. Mancuello

10 · L. Cabral

5 · Rodrigo Fernandez

7 · S. Montiel

16 · M. Perez Curci

Union Santa Fe

Confirmed formation4-4-2Leonardo Madelon
  1. 21M. MansillaG
  2. 35L. VargasD
  3. 26J. LuduenaD
  4. 2M. RodriguezD
  5. 11M. Del BlancoD
  6. 20J. PalaciosM
  7. 30M. PittonM
  8. 24R. ProfiniM
  9. 22B. CuelloM
  10. 25C. TarragonaF
  11. 19M. EstigarribiaF
Substitutes (12)

40 · L. Meuli

23 · A. Solari

4 · E. Alvarez

43 · E. Giaccone

46 · S. Grella

7 · F. Fragapane

5 · L. Menossi

12 · B. Pitton

8 · N. Palavecino

13 · V. Fascendini

29 · D. Diaz

31 · M. Aguirre

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Independiente

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Rodrigo Rey1016.0———22—
Leonardo Godoy455.3———17—
Juan Fedorco1017.21—1415
Kevin Lomónaco1016.3—1—591
Facundo Zabala1016.2———366
Iván Marcone815.6———331
Ignacio Pussetto637.31—111—
Lautaro Millán456.5———9—
Ignacio Malcorra1017.2—11331
Matías Abaldo816.0———181
Gabriel Ávalos1019.5215261
Santiago Arias566.6———234
Luciano Cabral566.5——1231
Santiago Montiel386.3——29—
Rodrigo Fernández206.6———111
Facundo Valdéz206.5———2—
Joaquín Blázquez———————
Milton Valenzuela———————
Maximiliano Gutiérrez———————
Nicolás Freire———————
Sebastián Valdez———————
Federico Mancuello———————
Mateo Perez———————

Union Santa Fe

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Matías Mansilla1016.7———16—
Lautaro Vargas1016.3———255
Juan Pablo Ludueña1016.2———211
Maizon Rodriguez1016.31—1173
Mateo Del Blanco828.2113242
Julián Palacios716.6———211
Mauro Pittón1016.6———451
Rafael Profini1017.2—1—301
Brahian Cuello717.21—216—
Cristian Tarragona867.31—225—
Marcelo Estigarribia1017.0——1283
Bruno Pittón306.2———6—
Augusto Solari306.3———112
Franco Fragapane196.5———4—
Lucas Menossi156.5———1—
Lucas Meuli———————
Emiliano Álvarez———————
Valentín Fascendini———————
Santiago Grella———————
Nicolas Palavecino———————
Emilio Giaccone———————
Misael Aguirre———————
Diego Diaz———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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