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Serie AMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTRE

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo match centre

Palmeiras badgePalmeirasHome · 2 in league
WDDDW
Momentum→ Steady60/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London
Sao Paulo badgeSao PauloAway · 11 in league
WLWWL
Momentum→ Steady57/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Murilo Cerqueira Paim45+1′
Vitor Roque50′
Allianz Parque · Sao PauloSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
PalmeirasSao Paulo
9Corner Kicks6
21Fouls12
4Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
527Total passes405
457Passes accurate339

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Palmeiras 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Sao Paulo 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Palmeiras

4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Palmeiras’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Sao Paulo

3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Sao Paulo’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Palmeiras at home with Sao Paulo away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:52 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Serie A · 2026/27 · all league matches

PalmeirasSao Paulo
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Palmeiras at home with Sao Paulo away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Palmeiras

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Abel Ferreira
  1. 1Carlos MiguelG
  2. 26MuriloD
  3. 15G. GómezD
  4. 3Bruno FuchsD
  5. 4A. GiayM
  6. 8Andreas PereiraM
  7. 30Lucas EvangelistaM
  8. 22J. PiquerezM
  9. 11J. AriasM
  10. 42J. LópezM
  11. 9Vitor RoqueF
Substitutes (12)

39 · Heittor

56 · Arthur

12 · Khellven

48 · Larson

29 · M. C. Bilong

7 · Felipe Anderson

14 · Marcelo Lomba

45 · Erick Machado

32 · E. Martínez

21 · Bruno Bertinato

50 · Luis Felipe

43 · Benedetti

Sao Paulo

Confirmed formation5-4-1Dorival Júnior
  1. 31Carlos CoronelG
  2. 27Victor SáD
  3. 28NewtonD
  4. 2R. TolóiD
  5. 54Osorio LuisD
  6. 18WendellD
  7. 80CaulyM
  8. 48D. FerreiraM
  9. 29Pablo MaiaM
  10. 11FerreiraM
  11. 17André SilvaF
Substitutes (12)

43 · G. Santana

34 · Tetê

12 · Iago

53 · Isac

9 · J. Calleri

19 · Lucas Ramon

8 · Marcos Antônio

46 · Pedro Ferreira

23 · Rafael

5 · R. Arboleda

37 · Artur

94 · Danielzinho

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Palmeiras

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Arthur457.0001121
Benedetti00.000000
Luis Felipe237.2000220
Bruno Bertinato00.000000
E. Martínez00.000000
Erick Machado00.000000
Marcelo Lomba00.000000
Felipe Anderson237.0000222
M. C. Bilong00.000000
Carlos Miguel907.3000280
Murilo907.7102661
G. Gómez907.1002560
Bruno Fuchs907.8000633
A. Giay456.9001230
Andreas Pereira907.3000781
Lucas Evangelista676.9000402
J. Piquerez456.8002160
J. López776.6006240
J. Arias676.6001260
Vitor Roque907.9104180
Larson136.7000150
Khellven457.1010181
Heittor00.000000

Sao Paulo

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Danielzinho266.1000201
G. Santana00.000000
Tetê146.300030
Iago266.4000112
Isac00.000000
J. Calleri00.000000
Lucas Ramon00.000000
Marcos Antônio00.000000
Pedro Ferreira00.000000
Rafael00.000000
R. Arboleda456.4000222
Cauly456.2001201
Artur266.600082
Carlos Coronel907.0000370
André Silva646.8001132
Wendell646.0002172
Victor Sá906.1000302
R. Tolói906.6001433
Pablo Maia906.7002651
Newton905.7000470
Osorio Luis395.1000150
Ferreira767.2001301
D. Ferreira646.5000242
2026/27 STANDINGS

Serie A table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Flamengo28186455233260
WWWWW
2Palmeiras28169347212657
DWDDW
3Atletico Paranaense28147743321149
WDLDW
4Fluminense2813964436848
WLWDW
5Bahia28121064335846
LWWWW
6Cruzeiro2813694240245
WLWLW
7Atletico-MG2711793632440
DWLWD
8Santos2710894140138
WWWWD
9Coritiba28108103743-638
LDLWW
10RB Bragantino27106113331236
LDLLW
11Sao Paulo27106113230236
WLWWL
12Botafogo2898114145-435
LWDDL
13Vitoria2896132842-1433
LDWLL
14Corinthians2888122932-332
LLLLL
15Mirassol2888123342-932
WDWLD
16Vasco DA Gama2787123441-731
WWLWL
17Gremio2878133038-829
DLLLW
18Internacional28610123036-628
LWLLD
19Remo2858153247-1523
LLLLL
20Chapecoense-sc2739152953-2418
DLWLW
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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