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Liga MXClausura - 4THE MATCH CENTRE

Puebla vs Toluca match centre

Puebla badgePueblaHome · 17 in league
LWLWL
Momentum→ Steady40/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:0
UK time · Europe/London
Toluca badgeTolucaAway · 5 in league
LWWWD
Momentum→ Steady68/100OlderLatest
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
PueblaToluca
0Corner Kicks12
12Fouls10
1Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
6Goalkeeper Saves1
238Total passes559
179Passes accurate496

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Puebla 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Toluca 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Puebla

0/3Wins
0.3Goals / game
2.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Puebla’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Toluca

5/6Wins
2.5Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Toluca’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Puebla at home with Toluca away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:30 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches

PueblaToluca
20Matches played26
15Points earned54
4Wins16
1.1Goals scored / match2.2
2.3Goals conceded / match1.0
2Clean sheets9
8Failed to score7

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Puebla at home with Toluca away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Puebla

1wins
1 draw

Toluca

3wins

Nov 2023 – Sep 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Puebla first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Puebla

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Martin Bravo
  1. 28D. GutierrezG
  2. 12I. MorenoD
  3. 192E. NavarroD
  4. 4J. VargasD
  5. 6N. DiazD
  6. 3L. ReyM
  7. 15E. GuerraM
  8. 24A. OrganistaM
  9. 22C. BaltazarM
  10. 11E. GomezM
  11. 17E. LozanoF
Substitutes (10)

33 · J. Rodriguez

20 · J. R. Pachuca Martinez

195 · A. de la Rosa

8 · M. Ramirez

16 · A. Ramirez

18 · P. Gamarra

26 · K. Velasco

27 · B. Garnica

32 · A. Araos

29 · E. Mustre

Toluca

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
  1. 22L. GarciaG
  2. 19S. SimonD
  3. 4Bruno MendezD
  4. 6F. PereiraD
  5. 20J. GallardoD
  6. 5F. RomeroM
  7. 14M. RuizM
  8. 7S. CordovaM
  9. 10J. AnguloM
  10. 8N. CastroM
  11. 26PaulinhoF
Substitutes (10)

1 · H. Gonzalez

2 · D. Barbosa

13 · Luan

17 · M. Isais

25 · E. del Villar

15 · P. Perez

29 · J. Diaz

33 · V. Arteaga

23 · O. Virgen

27 · F. Rossi

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Puebla

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ricardo Gutierrez909.3—0—34—
Iker Moreno907.9—0—255
Eduardo Navarro907.2—0—171
Juan Pablo Vargas907.2—0—22—
Nicolás Díaz636.2—0—212
Luis Gabriel Rey456.6—0—161
Edgar Guerra787.2—01181
Alejandro Organista456.3—0—131
Carlos Baltazar697.0—02124
Emiliano Gómez786.7—0—18—
Esteban Lozano906.6—0—141
Alonso Ramirez457.0—0—95
Kevin Velasco456.5—0—11—
Jose Pachuca216.9—0—41
Miguel Ramírez126.6—0—21
Bryan Garnica126.7—0—21
Jesús Rodríguez———————
Alvaro Burgos———————
Ángelo Araos———————
Ariel Gamarra———————
Eduardo Mustre———————

Toluca

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Luis García906.9—0—22—
Santiago Simón906.7—01491
Bruno Méndez767.2—0—581
Federico Pereira907.3—02872
Jesús Gallardo907.0—02573
Franco Romero906.9—01752
Marcel Ruíz907.0—01705
Sebastián Córdova615.7—02262
Jesús Ricardo Angulo836.3—0—35—
Nicolás Castro766.3—02373
Paulinho907.3—03121
Franco Rossi296.6—011—
Everardo López146.9—01151
Pavel Pérez146.9—0—8—
Jorge Díaz156.3—0—7—
Hugo Gonzalez———————
Luan Garcia———————
Mauricio Andre Isais———————
Diego Barbosa———————
Victor Arteaga———————
Oswaldo Virgen———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Liga MX table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Liga MX, Clausura 2026. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1U.N.A.M. - Pumas17106134171736
LDDWW
2Guadalajara Chivas17113333171636
DWLDD
3Cruz Azul1796231181333
DWWWD
4CF Pachuca179442519631
WWWLL
5Toluca1786328161230
LLWLL
6Atlas177551618-226
LLWDW
7Tigres UANL1774628181025
LWWDD
8Club America177462017325
DDLWW
9Club Tijuana175841917223
DWDWW
10Leon177192232-1022
LLWWW
11Club Queretaro174851721-420
WDDWD
12FC Juarez175482632-619
WLLLD
13Monterrey175392224-218
LWLDL
14Atletico San Luis175392427-318
LWLDW
15Necaxa175391925-618
LDDLW
16Mazatlán1743102237-1515
LWDLL
17Puebla1734101326-1313
LLLLD
18Santos Laguna1733112038-1812
WLLLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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