Pachuca
4/8Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Pachuca’s results
Liga MXClausura - 9THE MATCH CENTREPachuca vs Necaxa match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Dominguez14′
O. Idrissi33′
J. Ruiz53′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.1%Pachuca
Draw3.8%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Necaxa
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Pachuca 4.1% · no further goal 91.9% · Necaxa 3.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.PachucaNecaxa
1.190Expected goals · API-Football0.470
8Shots on target4
14Total Shots12
44%Ball Possession56%
7Corner Kicks8
19Fouls15
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves6
326Total passes416
255Passes accurate351
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Liga MX, Clausura 2026Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 17 | +17 | 36 | — |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | +16 | 36 | — |
| 3 | CF Pachuca | 18 | +7 | 34 | ↑ 1 |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 17 | +13 | 33 | ↓ 1 |
| 5 |  Toluca | 17 | +12 | 30 | — |
| 6 |  Atlas | 17 | -2 | 26 | — |
| 7 |  Tigres UANL | 17 | +10 | 25 | — |
| 8 |  Club America | 17 | +3 | 25 | — |
| 9 |  Club Tijuana | 17 | +2 | 23 | — |
| 10 |  Leon | 17 | -10 | 22 | — |
| 11 |  Club Queretaro | 17 | -4 | 20 | — |
| 12 |  FC Juarez | 17 | -6 | 19 | — |
| 13 |  Monterrey | 17 | -2 | 18 | — |
| 14 |  Atletico San Luis | 17 | -3 | 18 | — |
| 15 |  Necaxa | 18 | -7 | 18 | — |
| 16 |  Mazatlán | 17 | -15 | 15 | — |
| 17 |  Puebla | 17 | -13 | 13 | — |
| 18 |  Santos Laguna | 17 | -18 | 12 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Pachuca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Necaxa 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Necaxa
4/8Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Necaxa’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Pachuca
8 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals3 of 8
Both teams scored3 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
Necaxa
8 matchesResults4 wins · 0 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals5 of 8
Both teams scored4 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Pachuca at home with Necaxa away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:39 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches
PachucaNecaxa
27Matches played25
39Points earned26
11Wins7
1.2Goals scored / match1.4
1.1Goals conceded / match1.8
7Clean sheets1
10Failed to score8
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Pachuca at home with Necaxa away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Pachuca
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Jaime Lozano
- 25
C. MorenoG - 14
C. SanchezD - 4
Eduardo BauermannD - 2
S. D. BarretoD - 12
B. A. Garcia CaprizoD - 188
S. Rodriguez - 16
C. RiveraM - 18
A. DominguezM - 29
KenedyM - 11
O. IdrissiM - 23
S. RondonF
Substitutes (10)
31 · J. Eulogio
7 · L. Quinones
21 · R. Lopez
13 · J. Berlanga
142 · D. Collazo
10 · E. Valencia
8 · V. Guzman
5 · P. Pedraza
26 · A. Bautista
184 · C. Alfaro
Necaxa
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Martin Varini
- 22
E. UnsainG - 33
R. MartinezD - 4
A. PenaD - 3
A. OliverosD - 188
I. TelloM - 6
D. LeyvaM - 8
L. FaravelliM - 24
F. RossanoM - 7
K. RoseroF - 30
R. MonrealF - 9
T. BadaloniF
Substitutes (10)
12 · L. Jimenez
5 · K. Gutierrez
35 · J. Ruiz
17 · R. Cortez
16 · C. Calderon
26 · E. Lara
2 · E. Martinez
189 · B. Casas
197 · A. Moreno
20 · F. Mendez
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Pachuca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Moreno | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Carlos Sánchez | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 2 |
| Eduardo Bauermann | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 2 |
| Sergio Barreto | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 31 | 1 |
| Brian García | 90 | 7.7 | — | 2 | 1 | 45 | 3 |
| Sergio Rodríguez | 89 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 |
| Christian Rivera | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 2 |
| Alexei Domínguez | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 1 |
| Kenedy | 65 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 17 | 2 |
| Oussama Idrissi | 74 | 8.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 1 |
| Salomón Rondón | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 23 | 1 |
| Luis Quiñones | 25 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
| Alan Bautista | 16 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Víctor Guzmán | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Jose Eulogio | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Collazo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| René López | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Berlanga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristobal Alfaro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Pedraza | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enner Valencia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Necaxa
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezequiel Unsaín | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Raúl Martínez | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Alexis Peña | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 49 | 1 |
| Agustín Oliveros | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 3 |
| Israel Tello | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 2 |
| Danny Leyva | 88 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 53 | 3 |
| Lorenzo Faravelli | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 53 | 2 |
| Franco Rossano | 88 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 2 |
| Kevin Rosero | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Ricardo Monreal | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 27 | 2 |
| Tomás Badaloni | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 1 |
| Emilio Lara | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | — |
| Kevin Gutiérrez | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 42 | — |
| Javier Ruiz | 45 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | — |
| Cristian Calderón | 9 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Bryan Roque | 9 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Luis Jimenez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emilio Martinez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Méndez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arath Moreno Martinez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rogelio Cortéz Pineda | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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