Necaxa
4/6Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Necaxa’s results
Liga MXClausura - 7THE MATCH CENTRENecaxa vs Toluca match centre
Full time
0:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Paulinho79′
Paulinho83′
F. Pereira90′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
NecaxaToluca
0.470Expected goals · API-Football2.120
6Shots on target6
12Total Shots19
45%Ball Possession55%
3Corner Kicks7
8Fouls15
4Yellow Cards3
Red Cards
3Goalkeeper Saves6
311Total passes368
223Passes accurate280
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Necaxa 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Toluca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Toluca
6/9Wins
1.9Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Toluca’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Necaxa
6 matchesResults4 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals3 of 6
Both teams scored3 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
Toluca
9 matchesResults6 wins · 3 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals5 of 9
Both teams scored5 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Necaxa at home with Toluca away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 11:22 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches
NecaxaToluca
23Matches played29
26Points earned59
7Wins17
1.5Goals scored / match2.0
1.7Goals conceded / match0.9
1Clean sheets11
7Failed to score8
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Necaxa at home with Toluca away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Necaxa
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Martin Varini
- 22
E. UnsainG - 33
R. MartinezD - 4
A. PenaD - 3
A. OliverosD - 30
R. MonrealM - 8
L. FaravelliM - 6
D. LeyvaM - 16
C. CalderonM - 188
I. TelloF - 21
J. CarranzaF - 10
A. E. AlmendraF
Substitutes (10)
12 · L. Jimenez
26 · E. Lara
2 · E. Martinez
20 · F. Mendez
24 · F. Rossano
232 · R. Alonso
17 · R. Cortez
5 · K. Gutierrez
35 · J. Ruiz
9 · T. Badaloni
Toluca
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
- 22
L. GarciaG - 2
D. BarbosaD - 6
F. PereiraD - 25
E. del VillarD - 20
J. GallardoD - 14
M. RuizM - 5
F. RomeroM - 19
S. SimonM - 10
J. AnguloM - 15
P. PerezM - 26
PaulinhoF
Substitutes (10)
1 · H. Gonzalez
3 · A. Briseno
13 · Luan
17 · M. Isais
4 · Bruno Mendez
24 · F. Arce
7 · S. Cordova
29 · J. Diaz
27 · F. Rossi
23 · O. Virgen
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Necaxa
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezequiel Unsaín | 96 | 5.9 | — | — | — | 35 | 1 |
| Raúl Martínez | 87 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 38 | — |
| Alexis Peña | 57 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 13 | 2 |
| Agustín Oliveros | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 2 |
| Ricardo Monreal | 96 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| Lorenzo Faravelli | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 3 |
| Danny Leyva | 87 | 7.5 | — | — | — | 37 | 3 |
| Cristian Calderón | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 3 |
| Israel Tello | 96 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 1 |
| Julián Carranza | 76 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| Agustín Almendra | 57 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 10 | — |
| Emilio Lara | 39 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 3 |
| Javier Ruiz | 39 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 7 | 1 |
| Tomás Badaloni | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 7 | — |
| Franco Rossano | 9 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| Kevin Gutiérrez | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Luis Jimenez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Alonso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Méndez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emilio Martinez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rogelio Cortéz Pineda | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Toluca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis García | 96 | 8.3 | — | — | — | 27 | — |
| Diego Barbosa | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 2 |
| Federico Pereira | 96 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 42 | — |
| Everardo López | 96 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 3 |
| Jesús Gallardo | 86 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 47 | 3 |
| Marcel Ruíz | 96 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 3 |
| Franco Romero | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 24 | 1 |
| Santiago Simón | 86 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 28 | — |
| Jesús Ricardo Angulo | 75 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 1 |
| Pavel Pérez | 62 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 21 | 4 |
| Paulinho | 86 | 7.6 | 2 | — | 3 | 18 | — |
| Jorge Díaz | 34 | 7.3 | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Sebastián Córdova | 21 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Mauricio Andre Isais | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luan Garcia | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Franco Rossi | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Gonzalez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Briseño | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Méndez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernando Arce Juárez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oswaldo Virgen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Liga MX table
Current standings · Liga MX, Clausura 2026. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 36 | LDDWW |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 36 | DWLDD |
| 3 |  Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 33 | DWWWD |
| 4 |  CF Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 31 | WWWLL |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 30 | LLWLL |
| 6 |  Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 26 | LLWDW |
| 7 |  Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 25 | LWWDD |
| 8 |  Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 | DDLWW |
| 9 |  Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 23 | DWDWW |
| 10 |  Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 22 | LLWWW |
| 11 |  Club Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 | WDDWD |
| 12 |  FC Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 19 | WLLLD |
| 13 |  Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 | LWLDL |
| 14 |  Atletico San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 | LWLDW |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 | LDDLW |
| 16 |  Mazatlán | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 37 | -15 | 15 | LWDLL |
| 17 |  Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 13 | LLLLD |
| 18 |  Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 12 | WLLLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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