Shamrock Rovers
3/5Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Shamrock Rovers’s results
Premier DivisionMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTREShamrock Rovers vs Derry City match centre
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
D. Watts81′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.9%Shamrock Rovers
Draw3.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Derry City
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: Shamrock Rovers 4.8% · no further goal 92.0% · Derry City 3.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Shamrock RoversDerry City
—Expected goals · API-Football—
8Shots on target0
15Total Shots7
70%Ball Possession30%
5Corner Kicks6
13Fouls19
0Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves7
550Total passes222
492Passes accurate156
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Premier DivisionProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 32 | +19 | 62 | ↑ 1 |
| 2 |  St Patrick's Athl. | 32 | +27 | 59 | ↓ 1 |
| 3 |  Bohemians | 31 | +18 | 56 | — |
| 4 |  Derry City | 33 | +2 | 41 | — |
| 5 |  Dundalk | 32 | -4 | 41 | — |
| 6 |  Shelbourne | 31 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 7 |  Galway United | 31 | -6 | 37 | — |
| 8 |  Waterford | 32 | -10 | 34 | — |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 32 | -13 | 34 | — |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 32 | -30 | 23 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Shamrock Rovers 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Derry City 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Derry City
5/8Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Derry City’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Shamrock Rovers
5 matchesResults3 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals2 of 5
Both teams scored2 of 5
Past results, not predictions.
Derry City
8 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals5 of 8
Both teams scored6 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Shamrock Rovers at home with Derry City away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 06:47 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier Division · 2026/27 · all league matches
Shamrock RoversDerry City
3Matches played4
4Points earned7
1Wins2
1.7Goals scored / match2.0
1.3Goals conceded / match1.5
1Clean sheets0
0Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Shamrock Rovers at home with Derry City away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Shamrock Rovers
2wins5MEETINGS
Derry City
2winsMar 2025 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Shamrock Rovers first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Shamrock Rovers
Confirmed formation3-1-4-2Stephen Bradley
- 1
E. McGintyG - 6
D. ClearyD - 4
R. LopesD - 27
C. O'SullivanD - 8
M. HealyM - 22
T. SobowaleM - 29
J. ByrneM - 36
V. Ozhianvuna - 19
A. BrennanM - 31
M. NoonanF - 10
G. BurkeF
Substitutes (9)
41 · A. Noonan
11 · J. Mulraney
9 · A. Greene
7 · D. Watts
21 · D. Grant
3 · E. Stevens
5 · L. Grace
23 · C. Malley
88 · J. McGovern
Derry City
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Tiernan Lynch
- 13
E. BeachG - 2
B. CotterD - 3
P. McCleanD - 4
J. StottD - 14
B. DohertyD - 16
J. McCleanM - 8
A. O'ReillyM - 11
G. WhyteM - 15
J. ClarkeM - 7
M. DuffyM - 17
J. ThomasF
Substitutes (8)
26 · S. Callister
22 · C. Barr
31 · C. Downey
28 · J. Olayinka
9 · D. Akinyemi
25 · A. Bannon
21 · K. Santos
24 · H. Rylah
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Shamrock Rovers
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward McGinty | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 32 | — |
| Dan Cleary | 59 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 47 | — |
| Roberto Lopes | 94 | 8.3 | — | — | 1 | 90 | 1 |
| Cory O'Sullivan | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 1 |
| Matthew Healy | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 64 | 1 |
| Tunmise Sobowale | 71 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 32 | 3 |
| Jack Byrne | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 64 | — |
| Victor Ozhianvuna | 71 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 34 | 2 |
| Adam Brennan | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 38 | 2 |
| Michael Noonan | 71 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 2 | — |
| Graham Burke | 78 | 7.5 | — | — | 3 | 55 | 3 |
| Lee Grace | 35 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 22 | 1 |
| Dylan Watts | 23 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 1 |
| Jake Mulraney | 23 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 8 | — |
| John McGovern | 23 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Greene | 16 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alex Noonan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Grant | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enda Stevens | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Connor Malley | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Derry City
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Beach | 94 | 8.3 | — | — | — | 26 | — |
| Barry Cotter | 68 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 16 | 4 |
| Patrick McClean | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 1 |
| Jamie Stott | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 19 | 2 |
| Ben Doherty | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 2 |
| James McClean | 94 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 20 | 3 |
| Adam O'Reilly | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 20 | 7 |
| Gavin Whyte | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| James Clarke | 68 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 12 | 3 |
| Michael Duffy | 94 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 1 |
| Josh Thomas | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 3 | 1 |
| James Olayinka | 49 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 5 | 2 |
| Afolabi Akinyemi | 49 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 10 | — |
| Conor Barr | 26 | 5.9 | — | — | — | 5 | 2 |
| Henry Rylah | 26 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Shea Callister | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bannon | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kévin Santos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Callum Downey | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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