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Shelbourne vs Dundalk match centre

Shelbourne badgeShelbourneHome · 6 in league
WLWDW
Momentum→ Steady68/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:3
UK time · Europe/London
Dundalk badgeDundalkAway · 5 in league
LDWWD
Momentum↗ Rising57/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Z. Ibsen Rossi60′
J. Martin67′
G. Arubi11′
B. Burns22′
Z. Ibsen Rossi86′ (og)
Tolka Park · DublinSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.1%Shelbourne
Draw3.6%at full time
Current result estimate96.3%Dundalk
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Shelbourne 3.8% · no further goal 91.9% · Dundalk 4.3%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
ShelbourneDundalk
5Corner Kicks6
11Fouls11
4Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
7Goalkeeper Saves2
498Total passes286
404Passes accurate192

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Premier Division

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1St Patrick's Athl.32+2759—
2Shamrock Rovers31+1859—
3Bohemians31+1856—
4Dundalk33-344↑ 1
5Derry City32+341↓ 1
6Shelbourne32-439—
7Galway United31-637—
8Waterford32-1034—
9Drogheda United32-1334—
10Sligo Rovers32-3023—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Shelbourne 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Dundalk 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Shelbourne

5/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Shelbourne’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Dundalk

3/9Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Dundalk’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Shelbourne at home with Dundalk away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:07 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Premier Division · 2026/27 · all league matches

ShelbourneDundalk
8Matches played8
13Points earned11
3Wins2
1.4Goals scored / match1.6
1.2Goals conceded / match1.4
2Clean sheets2
1Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Shelbourne at home with Dundalk away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Shelbourne

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Joey O'Brien
  1. 1W. SpeelG
  2. 15S. BoneD
  3. 24Z. Ibsen RossiD
  4. 4K. LedwidgeD
  5. 27E. CaffreyM
  6. 21J. Henry-FrancisM
  7. 23K. McInroyM
  8. 17D. KellyM
  9. 7H. WoodF
  10. 28M. LundgrenF
  11. 10J. MartinF
Substitutes (9)

31 · C. Walsh

14 · A. Coote

6 · J. Lunney

18 · J. Norris

2 · S. Gannon

9 · S. Boyd

5 · E. Chapman

20 · R. Freitas

36 · W. Jarvis

Dundalk

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ciaran Kilduff
  1. 1E. MinogueG
  2. 31J. WilsonD
  3. 4M. AnimasahunD
  4. 2C. O'KeeffeD
  5. 22T. WilsonD
  6. 8H. GroomeM
  7. 3B. BurnsM
  8. 27D. McDaidM
  9. 18K. BuckleyM
  10. 7D. HorganM
  11. 9G. ArubiF
Substitutes (9)

13 · P. Cherrie

17 · S. Tracey

5 · H. Warren

16 · E. Kenny

19 · S. Spaight

29 · T. Molloy

23 · A. M. Keogh

25 · S. Casey

26 · M. Ferguson

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Shelbourne

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Wessel Speel908.3—0—39—
Sam Bone456.3—0—412
Zeno Ibsen Rossi906.910257—
Kameron Ledwidge907.0—0—633
Evan Caffrey457.0—0120—
Jack Henry-Francis906.9—0—501
Kerr McInroy907.2—01561
Daniel Kelly736.9—01283
Harry Wood908.0—0149—
Maill Lundgren455.9—0—19—
John Martin838.711219—
James Norris456.7—0—222
Will Jarvis456.3—0—11—
Sean Gannon456.6—0224—
Rodrigo Freitas176.3—015—
Sean Boyd116.5—0—2—
Alistair Coote———————
Conor Walsh———————
Jonathan Lunney———————
Ellis Chapman———————

Dundalk

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Enda Minogue906.5—0—22—
John Ross Wilson907.3—0—274
Mayowa Animasahun907.0—0—295
Conor O'Keeffe906.3—1—231
Tyreke Wilson906.5—0124—
Harry Groome796.7—0—303
Bobby Burns898.7103412
Declan McDaid656.9—0192
Keith Buckley906.7—0—35—
Daryl Horgan906.7—03271
Gbemi Arubi906.5104141
Eoin Kenny256.2—018—
Shane Tracey116.6—0132
Harvey Warren1——0—1—
TJ Molloy———————
Sean Spaight———————
Max Ferguson———————
Shay Casey———————
Aaron Keogh———————
Peter Cherrie———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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