Derry City
5/9Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Derry City’s results
Premier DivisionMatchweek 6THE MATCH CENTREDerry City vs Shelbourne match centre
90′ · Live
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
H. Rylah10′
J. Henry-Francis8′
D. Kelly34′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%Derry City
Draw4.5%at full time
Current result estimate95.4%Shelbourne
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: Derry City 4.6% · no further goal 91.8% · Shelbourne 3.5%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Derry CityShelbourne
0.890Expected goals · API-Football1.040
4Shots on target4
17Total Shots6
57%Ball Possession43%
7Corner Kicks2
11Fouls7
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves3
478Total passes383
400Passes accurate277
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Premier DivisionProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  St Patrick's Athl. | 32 | +27 | 59 | — |
| 2 |  Shamrock Rovers | 31 | +18 | 59 | — |
| 3 |  Bohemians | 31 | +18 | 56 | — |
| 4 |  Shelbourne | 32 | -2 | 42 | ↑ 2 |
| 5 | Derry City | 33 | +2 | 41 | ↓ 1 |
| 6 |  Dundalk | 32 | -4 | 41 | ↓ 1 |
| 7 |  Galway United | 31 | -6 | 37 | — |
| 8 |  Waterford | 32 | -10 | 34 | — |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 32 | -13 | 34 | — |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 32 | -30 | 23 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Derry City 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Shelbourne 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Shelbourne
5/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Shelbourne’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Derry City
9 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals5 of 9
Both teams scored6 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Shamrock RoversAway · Premier Division0–1WaterfordHome · Premier Division4–2BohemiansHome · Premier Division0–1DundalkHome · Premier Division2–2Sligo RoversHome · Premier Division2–1Shamrock RoversAway · FAI President's Cup1–0WaterfordAway · Premier Division2–1Galway UnitedAway · Premier Division2–1Galway UnitedHome · Premier Division1–1
Shelbourne
10 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
St Patrick's Athl.Home · Premier Division2–3Drogheda UnitedAway · Premier Division2–1Galway UnitedHome · Premier Division1–1WaterfordAway · Premier Division1–1Longford TownHome · Friendlies Clubs4–1Bray WanderersHome · Friendlies Clubs3–0BohemiansAway · Friendlies Clubs2–2DundalkHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1Drogheda UnitedAway · Premier Division1–2Fairview RangersAway · FAI Cup4–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Derry City at home with Shelbourne away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:07 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier Division · 2026/27 · all league matches
Derry CityShelbourne
5Matches played5
7Points earned6
2Wins1
1.6Goals scored / match1.6
1.4Goals conceded / match1.6
0Clean sheets0
2Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Derry City at home with Shelbourne away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Derry City
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Tiernan Lynch
- 13
E. BeachG - 2
B. CotterD - 25
A. BannonD - 4
J. StottD - 3
P. McCleanD - 16
J. McCleanM - 8
A. O'ReillyM - 24
H. RylahM - 7
M. DuffyM - 19
B. FlemingM - 9
D. AkinyemiF
Substitutes (9)
26 · S. Callister
23 · C. Dummigan
17 · J. Thomas
22 · C. Barr
10 · D. Markey
14 · B. Doherty
28 · J. Olayinka
15 · J. Clarke
21 · K. Santos
Shelbourne
Confirmed formation4-5-1Joey O'Brien
- 1
W. SpeelG - 2
S. GannonD - 15
S. BoneD - 24
Z. Ibsen RossiD - 4
K. LedwidgeD - 7
H. WoodM - 21
J. Henry-FrancisM - 23
K. McInroyM - 28
M. LundgrenM - 17
D. KellyM - 10
J. MartinF
Substitutes (9)
31 · C. Walsh
14 · A. Coote
18 · J. Norris
27 · E. Caffrey
55 · J. Roche
9 · S. Boyd
20 · R. Freitas
36 · W. Jarvis
58 · J. Bailey
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Derry City
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Beach | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Barry Cotter | 58 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 2 |
| Alex Bannon | 78 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 60 | 1 |
| Jamie Stott | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 92 | — |
| Patrick McClean | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 75 | — |
| James McClean | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 54 | 3 |
| Adam O'Reilly | 58 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| Henry Rylah | 59 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Michael Duffy | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Brandon Fleming | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 43 | — |
| Afolabi Akinyemi | 71 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 5 | — |
| Kévin Santos | 32 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
| James Olayinka | 32 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 2 |
| Darragh Markey | 31 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 |
| Josh Thomas | 19 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | 1 |
| Cameron Dummigan | 12 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 2 |
| Shea Callister | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ben Doherty | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Clarke | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Conor Barr | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Shelbourne
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wessel Speel | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Sean Gannon | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 2 |
| Sam Bone | 31 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Zeno Ibsen Rossi | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| Kameron Ledwidge | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 50 | — |
| Harry Wood | 84 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Jack Henry-Francis | 84 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 54 | 5 |
| Kerr McInroy | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 4 |
| Maill Lundgren | 72 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 23 | 2 |
| Daniel Kelly | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 3 |
| John Martin | 72 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 |
| James Norris | 59 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 2 |
| Rodrigo Freitas | 18 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Will Jarvis | 18 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 2 |
| Evan Caffrey | 14 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Alistair Coote | 14 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 1 | 2 |
| Conor Walsh | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Roche | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Bailey | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Boyd | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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