Dundalk
4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Dundalk’s results
Premier DivisionMatchweek 19THE MATCH CENTREDundalk vs Derry City match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
D. Horgan20′
G. Arubi60′
C. Dummigan59′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.8%Dundalk
Draw4.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Derry City
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Dundalk 3.9% · no further goal 91.9% · Derry City 4.3%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.DundalkDerry City
1.760Expected goals · API-Football0.770
4Shots on target4
13Total Shots12
40%Ball Possession60%
6Corner Kicks5
6Fouls15
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves2
296Total passes448
188Passes accurate345
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Premier DivisionProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  St Patrick's Athl. | 32 | +27 | 59 | — |
| 2 |  Shamrock Rovers | 31 | +18 | 59 | — |
| 3 |  Bohemians | 31 | +18 | 56 | — |
| 4 | Dundalk | 33 | -3 | 44 | ↑ 1 |
| 5 |  Derry City | 33 | +2 | 41 | ↓ 1 |
| 6 |  Shelbourne | 31 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 7 |  Galway United | 31 | -6 | 37 | — |
| 8 |  Waterford | 32 | -10 | 34 | — |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 32 | -13 | 34 | — |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 32 | -30 | 23 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Dundalk 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Derry City 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Derry City
2/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Derry City’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Dundalk
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Drogheda UnitedAway · Premier Division1–1Shamrock RoversHome · Premier Division1–0BohemiansHome · Premier Division1–3WaterfordAway · Premier Division3–3ShelbourneHome · Premier Division1–2Sligo RoversAway · Premier Division0–2Galway UnitedHome · Premier Division2–1Derry CityHome · Premier Division2–2St Patrick's Athl.Home · Premier Division2–0ShelbourneAway · Premier Division3–2
Derry City
10 matchesResults2 wins · 7 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
ShelbourneHome · Premier Division0–0St Patrick's Athl.Home · Premier Division0–0WaterfordAway · Premier Division2–2Drogheda UnitedAway · Premier Division0–1Galway UnitedHome · Premier Division1–1BohemiansAway · Premier Division1–1Shamrock RoversHome · Premier Division1–0ShelbourneAway · Premier Division2–1DundalkAway · Premier Division2–2Sligo RoversAway · Premier Division0–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Dundalk at home with Derry City away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:45 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier Division · 2026/27 · all league matches
DundalkDerry City
17Matches played17
25Points earned20
6Wins4
1.7Goals scored / match1.2
1.5Goals conceded / match1.2
4Clean sheets3
2Failed to score5
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Dundalk at home with Derry City away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Dundalk
Confirmed formation4-4-2Ciaran Kilduff
- 1
E. MinogueG - 31
J. WilsonD - 24
R. CornwallD - 3
B. BurnsD - 22
T. WilsonD - 27
D. McDaidM - 6
A. DervinM - 17
S. TraceyM - 7
D. HorganM - 9
G. ArubiF - 16
E. KennyF
Substitutes (9)
13 · P. Cherrie
18 · K. Buckley
12 · L. Mulligan
11 · R. Teahan
21 · D. Mullen
8 · H. Groome
19 · S. Spaight
29 · T. Molloy
23 · A. M. Keogh
Derry City
Confirmed formation4-5-1Tiernan Lynch
- 13
E. BeachG - 2
B. CotterD - 22
C. BarrD - 4
J. StottD - 19
B. FlemingD - 21
K. SantosM - 8
A. O'ReillyM - 23
C. DummiganM - 28
J. OlayinkaM - 14
B. DohertyM - 17
J. ThomasF
Substitutes (9)
26 · S. Callister
27 · L. Boyce
7 · M. Duffy
10 · D. Markey
3 · P. McClean
15 · J. Clarke
9 · D. Akinyemi
25 · A. Bannon
24 · H. Rylah
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Dundalk
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enda Minogue | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 25 | — |
| John Ross Wilson | 97 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 27 | 4 |
| Robert Cornwall | 97 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 31 | 2 |
| Bobby Burns | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 36 | 2 |
| Tyreke Wilson | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 1 |
| Declan McDaid | 97 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 2 |
| Aodh Dervin | 78 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 18 | 5 |
| Shane Tracey | 71 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 22 | 4 |
| Daryl Horgan | 82 | 9.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 1 |
| Gbemi Arubi | 97 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 18 | 1 |
| Eoin Kenny | 71 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 2 | 17 | 3 |
| Ronan Teahan | 26 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 10 | 1 |
| Keith Buckley | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 8 | 1 |
| Harry Groome | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 4 | 2 |
| Danny Mullen | 15 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Peter Cherrie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Spaight | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luke Mulligan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Keogh | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TJ Molloy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Derry City
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Beach | 97 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 42 | — |
| Barry Cotter | 97 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 2 |
| Conor Barr | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 59 | 3 |
| Jamie Stott | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 47 | — |
| Brandon Fleming | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 47 | — |
| Kévin Santos | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 21 | — |
| Adam O'Reilly | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 19 | — |
| Cameron Dummigan | 64 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 28 | 2 |
| James Olayinka | 97 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 44 | 1 |
| Ben Doherty | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 16 | — |
| Josh Thomas | 56 | 6.0 | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Patrick McClean | 52 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 29 | — |
| Darragh Markey | 52 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 15 | 2 |
| Michael Duffy | 52 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 1 |
| Liam Boyce | 41 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| James Clarke | 33 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| Shea Callister | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bannon | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Afolabi Akinyemi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Henry Rylah | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Dundalk | Draw | Derry City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
Snapshot from 28 May 2026, 20:34 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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