Dundalk
4/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Dundalk’s results
Premier DivisionMatchweek 11THE MATCH CENTREDundalk vs Derry City match centre
90′ · Live
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
T. Wilson35′
R. Teahan79′
J. Clarke14′
D. Akinyemi45+1′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate4.6%Dundalk
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate2.9%Derry City
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Dundalk 4.7% · no further goal 92.3% · Derry City 3.0%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.DundalkDerry City
2.420Expected goals · API-Football1.200
8Shots on target2
21Total Shots7
66%Ball Possession34%
5Corner Kicks0
2Fouls14
2Yellow Cards7
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves6
474Total passes248
352Passes accurate145
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Premier DivisionProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  St Patrick's Athl. | 32 | +27 | 59 | — |
| 2 |  Shamrock Rovers | 31 | +18 | 59 | — |
| 3 |  Bohemians | 31 | +18 | 56 | — |
| 4 |  Derry City | 33 | +3 | 42 | — |
| 5 | Dundalk | 33 | -4 | 42 | — |
| 6 |  Shelbourne | 31 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 7 |  Galway United | 31 | -6 | 37 | — |
| 8 |  Waterford | 32 | -10 | 34 | — |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 32 | -13 | 34 | — |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 32 | -30 | 23 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Dundalk 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Derry City 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Derry City
2/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Derry City’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Dundalk
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
St Patrick's Athl.Home · Premier Division2–0ShelbourneAway · Premier Division3–2BohemiansAway · Premier Division1–1Sligo RoversHome · Premier Division1–0WaterfordHome · Premier Division5–0Galway UnitedAway · Premier Division2–2St Patrick's Athl.Away · Premier Division0–4Drogheda UnitedHome · Premier Division1–1Derry CityAway · Premier Division2–2ShelbourneAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2
Derry City
10 matchesResults2 wins · 4 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Sligo RoversAway · Premier Division0–0Galway UnitedAway · Premier Division1–2Drogheda UnitedHome · Premier Division2–2St Patrick's Athl.Away · Premier Division0–0ShelbourneHome · Premier Division1–2Shamrock RoversAway · Premier Division0–1WaterfordHome · Premier Division4–2BohemiansHome · Premier Division0–1DundalkHome · Premier Division2–2Sligo RoversHome · Premier Division2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Dundalk at home with Derry City away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:07 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier Division · 2026/27 · all league matches
DundalkDerry City
10Matches played10
17Points earned10
4Wins2
1.8Goals scored / match1.2
1.3Goals conceded / match1.3
3Clean sheets2
1Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Dundalk at home with Derry City away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Dundalk
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ciaran Kilduff
- 1
E. MinogueG - 31
J. WilsonD - 4
M. AnimasahunD - 5
H. WarrenD - 22
T. WilsonD - 8
H. GroomeM - 3
B. BurnsM - 27
D. McDaidM - 18
K. BuckleyM - 16
E. KennyM - 9
G. ArubiF
Substitutes (9)
13 · P. Cherrie
12 · L. Mulligan
11 · R. Teahan
17 · S. Tracey
6 · A. Dervin
10 · L. Gaxha
19 · S. Spaight
29 · T. Molloy
23 · A. M. Keogh
Derry City
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Tiernan Lynch
- 13
E. BeachG - 22
C. BarrD - 4
J. StottD - 6
R. SlevinD - 2
B. CotterM - 8
A. O'ReillyM - 20
C. WinchesterM - 19
B. FlemingM - 15
J. ClarkeF - 14
B. DohertyF - 9
D. AkinyemiF
Substitutes (9)
26 · S. Callister
23 · C. Dummigan
17 · J. Thomas
16 · J. McClean
10 · D. Markey
28 · J. Olayinka
25 · A. Bannon
21 · K. Santos
24 · H. Rylah
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Dundalk
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enda Minogue | 97 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 36 | — |
| John Ross Wilson | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 59 | — |
| Mayowa Animasahun | 97 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 1 |
| Harvey Warren | 97 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 2 |
| Tyreke Wilson | 97 | 8.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 73 | 1 |
| Harry Groome | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 17 | — |
| Bobby Burns | 60 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 35 | 3 |
| Declan McDaid | 97 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 2 | 22 | 2 |
| Keith Buckley | 60 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 2 |
| Eoin Kenny | 97 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 2 |
| Gbemi Arubi | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 19 | — |
| Ronan Teahan | 37 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 1 |
| Aodh Dervin | 37 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 18 | 1 |
| Shane Tracey | 37 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 17 | 1 |
| Leonardo Gaxha | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TJ Molloy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Spaight | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Keogh | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luke Mulligan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peter Cherrie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Derry City
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Beach | 97 | 9.3 | — | — | — | 28 | — |
| Conor Barr | 97 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 23 | 2 |
| Jamie Stott | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 28 | 3 |
| Robert Slevin | 55 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 19 | — |
| Barry Cotter | 73 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 15 | 6 |
| Adam O'Reilly | 61 | 6.0 | — | — | — | 20 | 2 |
| Carl Winchester | 97 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 28 | 5 |
| Brandon Fleming | 97 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 17 | 1 |
| James Clarke | 61 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 2 |
| Ben Doherty | 97 | 7.3 | — | 2 | 1 | 24 | — |
| Afolabi Akinyemi | 73 | 6.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 1 |
| Cameron Dummigan | 42 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| James Olayinka | 36 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 9 | 1 |
| James McClean | 34 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 2 |
| Kévin Santos | 24 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 6 | 1 |
| Josh Thomas | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Henry Rylah | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Darragh Markey | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shea Callister | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bannon | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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