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Waterford vs Derry City match centre

Waterford badgeWaterfordHome · 8 in league
WDWWD
Momentum↑ Strong71/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London
Derry City badgeDerry CityAway · 4 in league
WLDWW
Momentum↗ Rising69/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Evan McLaughlin45′
Padraig Amond57′
Adam O'Reilly9′
Michael Duffy51′
Regional Sports Centre · WaterfordSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated 14 Sep 20:05 UK.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
WaterfordDerry City
6Corner Kicks5
17Fouls12
1Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves3
233Total passes381
127Passes accurate293

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Waterford 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Derry City 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Waterford

6/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Waterford’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Derry City

5/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Derry City’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Waterford at home with Derry City away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 13:50 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Premier Division · 2026/27 · all league matches

WaterfordDerry City
30Matches played30
33Points earned37
7Wins8
1.3Goals scored / match1.4
1.6Goals conceded / match1.4
6Clean sheets8
10Failed to score7

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Waterford at home with Derry City away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Waterford

1wins
1 draw

Derry City

2wins

Oct 2025 – Jul 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Waterford first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Waterford

Confirmed formation4-4-2G. Coughlan
  1. 1S. McMullanG
  2. 16H. CannD
  3. 5J. MahonD
  4. 13K. LongD
  5. 3Benny CoutoD
  6. 20J. VoilåsM
  7. 8E. McLaughlinM
  8. 7N. MaweneM
  9. 10C. NoonanM
  10. 18T. LonerganF
  11. 9P. AmondF
Substitutes (9)

27 · D. McMenamy

56 · A. Brennan

6 · J. Ashton

32 · G. Amedu

21 · Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty

19 · S. Glenfield

15 · L. Heeney

17 · J. Faria

12 · B. McKenzie

Derry City

Confirmed formation3-4-3Mark Connolly
  1. 13Tom NorcottG
  2. 23C. DummiganD
  3. 4J. StottD
  4. 3Patrick McCleanD
  5. 12D. BurnsM
  6. 17N. TwiskM
  7. 8A. O'ReillyM
  8. 19B. FlemingM
  9. 27L. BoyceF
  10. 7M. DuffyF
  11. 15J. ClarkeF
Substitutes (9)

22 · C. Barr

14 · E. Chapman

25 · Christy Grogan

24 · Brooklyn Lyons-Foster

1 · B. Maher

21 · Kévin Santos

29 · T. Smith

28 · J. Olayinka

11 · G. Whyte

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Waterford

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
D. McMenamy266.400271
B. McKenzie00.000000
J. Faria00.000000
L. Heeney266.200091
S. Glenfield265.900161
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty00.000000
G. Amedu00.000000
J. Ashton00.000000
A. Brennan00.000000
S. McMullan906.1000280
H. Cann905.8001214
K. Long905.9001320
J. Mahon906.0000263
Benny Couto907.9010202
J. Voilås906.5001141
C. Noonan646.100191
N. Mawene646.3000275
E. McLaughlin647.1102151
P. Amond907.7102140
T. Lonergan905.700590

Derry City

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
G. Whyte00.000000
J. Olayinka00.000000
C. Barr00.000000
E. Chapman176.000010
Christy Grogan00.000000
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster00.000000
B. Maher00.000000
Kévin Santos146.100021
T. Smith00.000000
Tom Norcott906.8000310
C. Dummigan906.6002522
J. Stott906.0001391
Patrick McClean906.9000482
D. Burns766.4000261
N. Twisk906.1002242
A. O'Reilly907.5102300
B. Fleming906.3011372
L. Boyce906.5001271
M. Duffy908.2103363
J. Clarke736.4012292
2026/27 STANDINGS

Premier Division table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Premier Division. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1St Patrick's Athl.32178752252759
WWWLW
2Shamrock Rovers31178649311859
WLDDW
3Bohemians31168755371856
WWWWL
4Derry City3291494542341
WDWDL
5Dundalk321011114953-441
LLDWL
6Shelbourne31912104144-339
WLLDD
7Galway United31910124147-637
LWLDW
8Waterford32713124454-1034
LDDWD
9Drogheda United32810143851-1334
LWWLL
10Sligo Rovers3258192454-3023
LLLLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerWaterfordDrawDerry City
Bet3652.553.502.40

Snapshot from 14 Sep 2026, 16:02 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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