Manchester City
3/7Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Manchester City’s results
League CupSemi-finalsTHE MATCH CENTREManchester City vs Newcastle match centre
Full time
3:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
O. Marmoush7′
O. Marmoush29′
T. Reijnders32′
A. Elanga62′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Manchester CityNewcastle
Expected goals · API-Football
9Shots on target5
19Total Shots12
63%Ball Possession37%
5Corner Kicks4
13Fouls14
3Yellow Cards0
Red Cards
4Goalkeeper Saves5
648Total passes380
584Passes accurate319
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Manchester City 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Newcastle 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Newcastle
2/7Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Newcastle’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Manchester City
7 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals3 of 7
Both teams scored2 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
Newcastle
7 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals3 of 7
Both teams scored3 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Manchester City at home with Newcastle away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:55 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
League Cup · 2025/26 · all league matches
Manchester CityNewcastle
4Matches played4
12Points earned9
4Wins3
2.2Goals scored / match2.0
0.2Goals conceded / match1.0
3Clean sheets1
0Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Manchester City at home with Newcastle away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Manchester City
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Pep Guardiola
- 1
J. Trafford - 27
M. Nunes - 45
A. Khusanov - 6
N. Ake - 33
N. O'Reilly - 14
Nico - 42
A. Semenyo - 47
P. Foden - 4
T. Reijnders - 21
R. Ait Nouri - 7
O. Marmoush
Substitutes (9)
3 · R. Dias
9 · E. Haaland
10 · R. Cherki
16 · Rodri
56 · R. McAidoo
68 · M. Alleyne
82 · R. Lewis
41 · S. Nypan
25 · G. Donnarumma
Newcastle
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Eddie Howe
- 32
A. Ramsdale - 12
M. Thiaw - 4
S. Botman - 33
D. Burn - 2
K. Trippier - 41
J. Ramsey - 8
S. Tonali - 3
L. Hall - 10
A. Gordon - 27
N. Woltemade - 28
J. Willock
Substitutes (9)
1 · N. Pope
9 · Y. Wissa
11 · H. Barnes
18 · W. Osula
20 · A. Elanga
23 · J. Murphy
37 · A. Murphy
61 · L. Shahar
62 · S. Neave
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Newcastle
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Trafford | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Matheus Nunes | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 2 |
| Abdukodir Khusanov | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 54 | — |
| Nathan Aké | 45 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 1 |
| Nico O'Reilly | 71 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 87 | — |
| Nico González | 83 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 78 | 6 |
| Antoine Semenyo | 71 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1 |
| Phil Foden | 72 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 53 | 1 |
| Rayan Aït-Nouri | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 3 |
| Omar Marmoush | 90 | 9.5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 1 |
| Max Alleyne | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Rodri | 19 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | 1 |
| Erling Haaland | 19 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 5 | — |
| Rayan Cherki | 18 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Rico Lewis | 9 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rúben Dias | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sverre Nypan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan McAidoo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Manchester City
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Ramsdale | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Malick Thiaw | 90 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 51 | — |
| Sven Botman | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 46 | 1 |
| Dan Burn | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 4 |
| Kieran Trippier | 76 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 52 | 3 |
| Jacob Ramsey | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | 3 |
| Sandro Tonali | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 42 | 2 |
| Lewis Hall | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Joe Willock | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Anthony Gordon | 44 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Nick Woltemade | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Harvey Barnes | 46 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Anthony Elanga | 45 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| Yoane Wissa | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Jacob Murphy | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| William Osula | 14 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Nick Pope | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Murphy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leo Shahar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Neave | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗League Cup table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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