FC Lugano
3/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect FC Lugano’s results
Super LeagueMatchweek 32THE MATCH CENTREFC Lugano vs FC Thun match centre
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
D. Dos Santos59′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.9%FC Lugano
Draw4.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%FC Thun
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: FC Lugano 3.9% · no further goal 91.9% · FC Thun 4.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.FC LuganoFC Thun
1.060Expected goals · API-Football1.550
4Shots on target4
14Total Shots11
58%Ball Possession42%
2Corner Kicks3
9Fouls15
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves3
429Total passes295
342Passes accurate214
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Super League Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Thun | 34 | +37 | 74 | — |
| 2 |  FC ST. Gallen | 33 | +24 | 60 | — |
| 3 | FC Lugano | 34 | +13 | 60 | — |
| 4 |  FC Basel 1893 | 33 | +6 | 53 | — |
| 5 |  FC Sion | 33 | +16 | 52 | — |
| 6 |  BSC Young Boys | 33 | +5 | 48 | — |
| 7 |  FC Luzern | 33 | +3 | 40 | — |
| 8 |  Servette FC | 33 | 0 | 40 | — |
| 9 |  Lausanne | 33 | -10 | 39 | — |
| 10 |  FC Zurich | 33 | -18 | 34 | — |
| 11 |  Grasshoppers | 33 | -25 | 27 | — |
| 12 |  FC Winterthur | 33 | -51 | 19 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
FC Lugano 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
FC Thun 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
FC Thun
8/10Wins
2.7Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect FC Thun’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
FC Lugano
10 matchesResults3 wins · 5 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BSC Young BoysAway · Super League1–1FC LuzernHome · Super League1–3FC SionHome · Super League2–1GrasshoppersAway · Super League0–1LausanneHome · Super League2–1FC Basel 1893Away · Super League1–1Servette FCHome · Super League1–1FC WinterthurAway · Super League1–1GrasshoppersAway · Super League1–1FC WinterthurHome · Super League4–1
FC Thun
10 matchesResults8 wins · 1 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.7
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC ZurichAway · Super League1–2GrasshoppersHome · Super League5–1BSC Young BoysAway · Super League2–1FC ST. GallenHome · Super League2–2FC LuzernHome · Super League2–1FC SionHome · Super League1–0LausanneHome · Super League5–1Servette FCAway · Super League3–1FC Basel 1893Away · Super League2–1BSC Young BoysHome · Super League4–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FC Lugano at home with FC Thun away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:29 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Super League · 2025/26 · all league matches
FC LuganoFC Thun
31Matches played31
51Points earned71
14Wins23
1.5Goals scored / match2.3
1.3Goals conceded / match1.2
7Clean sheets6
4Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FC Lugano at home with FC Thun away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
FC Lugano
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Mattia Croci-Torti
- 1
A. SaipiG - 6
A. PapadopoulosD - 17
L. MaiD - 3
H. DelcroixD - 46
M. ZanottiM - 25
U. BislimiM - 8
A. GrgicM - 21
Y. CimignaniM - 11
R. SteffenF - 27
D. Dos SantosF - 9
G. KoutsiasF
Substitutes (9)
99 · D. Mina
7 · E. Alioski
18 · H. Mahou
29 · M. Belhadj
4 · D. Kelvin
24 · E. Pihlstrom
10 · M. Bottani
14 · A. Kendouci
26 · M. Marques
FC Thun
Confirmed formation4-2-2-2Mauro Lustrinelli
- 24
N. SteffenG - 47
F. FehrD - 4
G. MontolioD - 19
J. BamertD - 27
M. HeuleD - 6
L. BertoneM - 14
M. KaitM - 77
F. MeichtryM - 7
K. ImeriM - 96
B. LabeauF - 74
E. RastoderF
Substitutes (9)
25 · T. Spycher
5 · D. Franke
9 · F. Dursun
78 · V. Matoshi
16 · J. Roth
70 · N. Reichmuth
20 · N. Rupp
37 · L. Dahler
33 · M. Gutbub
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
FC Lugano
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Saipi | 95 | 8.9 | — | — | — | 52 | — |
| Antonios Papadopoulos | 95 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 21 | 1 |
| Lars Lukas Mai | 95 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 38 | 3 |
| Hannes Delcroix | 95 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 60 | 2 |
| Mattia Zanotti | 84 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| Uran Bislimi | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 55 | 3 |
| Anto Grgić | 95 | 7.6 | — | — | — | 48 | — |
| Yanis Cimignani | 71 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 39 | — |
| Renato Steffen | 84 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 38 | — |
| Daniel Dos Santos Correia | 84 | 9.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 30 | 2 |
| Georgios Koutsias | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 22 | — |
| Martim Marques | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 9 | 1 |
| Ezgjan Alioski | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud | 11 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Mattia Bottani | 11 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 |
| Elias Pihlström | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Mina | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Damian Kelvin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hicham Mahou | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Kendouci | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Thun
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niklas Steffen | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 31 | — |
| Fabio Fehr | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 3 |
| Genís Montolio | 95 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 1 |
| Jan Bamert | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 46 | — |
| Michael Heule | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 2 |
| Leonardo Bertone | 79 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 30 | — |
| Mattias Käit | 86 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 28 | 1 |
| Franz-Ethan Meichtry | 67 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 12 | — |
| Kastriot Imeri | 67 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 10 | — |
| Brighton Labeau | 67 | 5.9 | — | — | — | 10 | — |
| Elmin Rastoder | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 17 | — |
| Furkan Dursun | 28 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 8 | — |
| Valmir Matoshi | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Nils Reichmuth | 28 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| Justin Roth | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Marc Gutbub | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Tim Spycher | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dominik Franke | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Rupp | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucien Dähler | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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