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Stars LeagueMatchweek 22THE MATCH CENTRE

UMM Salal vs Al Ahli Doha match centre

UMM Salal badgeUMM SalalHome · 12 in league
DWDLL
Momentum↘ Falling28/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:3
UK time · Europe/London
Al Ahli Doha badgeAl Ahli DohaAway · 9 in league
DWDWL
Momentum→ Steady51/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
O. Tannane69′
I. Yassine5′
M. Vlap48′
J. Draxler57′
Thani bin Jassim Stadium · DohaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.0%UMM Salal
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate99.9%Al Ahli Doha
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: UMM Salal 4.4% · no further goal 91.9% · Al Ahli Doha 3.7%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
UMM SalalAl Ahli Doha
6Corner Kicks3
7Fouls10
4Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves1
397Total passes363
339Passes accurate310

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Stars League: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Al Sadd22+2645—
2Al Shamal22+1140—
3Al-Rayyan SC22+1438—
4Al-Gharafa22036—
5Al-Duhail SC22+1333—
6Qatar SC22+232—
7Al-Arabi SC22-432—
8Al Ahli Doha23-729↑ 1
9Al Wakrah22-427↓ 1
10Al-Sailiya22-1322—
11Al Shahaniya22-1721—
12UMM Salal23-2120—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

UMM Salal 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Al Ahli Doha 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

UMM Salal

4/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect UMM Salal’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Al Ahli Doha

2/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
2.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Al Ahli Doha’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare UMM Salal at home with Al Ahli Doha away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:29 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Stars League · 2025/26 · all league matches

UMM SalalAl Ahli Doha
21Matches played21
20Points earned23
6Wins7
1.7Goals scored / match1.5
2.5Goals conceded / match2.0
4Clean sheets0
4Failed to score7

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares UMM Salal at home with Al Ahli Doha away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

UMM Salal

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ruben Albes
  1. 48I. R. Hamadeh
  2. 2A. Fayez
  3. 19N. Laidouni
  4. 22E. Udosen
  5. 37A. DialloD
  6. 32A. El SayedM
  7. 6J. AholouM
  8. 10M. BaidooM
  9. 14O. TannaneM
  10. 16Y. JarrarM
  11. 9A. ManceF
Substitutes (12)

13 · L. Ashour

20 · A. Afif

3 · A. Hazaa

7 · K. Mansour

21 · K. Saad

15 · A. Tahif

27 · D. Haroon

5 · F. Said

17 · J. E. Kouassi

11 · M. Al Shammari

8 · S. Al Hajri

44 · Mahdi Al Mejaba

Al Ahli Doha

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Younes Ali
  1. 35M. BadredlinG
  2. 41A. ReyedD
  3. 16R. TihiD
  4. 5W. Troost-EkongD
  5. 3I. YassineD
  6. 20H. MansourM
  7. 8D. FettouhiM
  8. 29S. GannanM
  9. 14M. VlapM
  10. 7J. DraxlerM
  11. 10E. ExpositoF
Substitutes (12)

1 · Y. Naim

23 · K. Radwan

12 · H. Mohammed

4 · T. Ali

33 · K. Mohammed

15 · A. Shahabi

24 · A. Doumbouya

95 · N. Al Nasr

6 · I. Diallo

9 · S. Yansane

88 · A. Amraoui

70 · Y. Abdelrahman

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

UMM Salal

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Rami Hamada905.6—0—20—
Abdulrahman Faiz Al Rashidi905.9—0—241
Naïm Laidouni907.0—0—573
Edidiong776.3—1—311
Abdou Diallo585.9—0—28—
Ahmed El Sayed586.7—0—272
Jean-Eudes Aholou906.2—0—51—
Michael Baidoo906.2—0130—
Oussama Tannane907.3103382
Yamaan Jarrar806.3—01302
Antonio Mance586.9—0—81
Adil Tahif326.9—0—201
Jean Evrard Kouassi326.7—016—
Salem Al-Hajri327.5—0121—
Abdalaziz Al Hasia136.6—0—42
Meshaal Al Shammari106.2—0—2—
Louay Shreif Ashour———————
Khalaf Saad———————
Ali Hassan Yahya———————
Diyab Taha———————
Fares Said Amer———————
Mahdi Salem———————
Khaled Mansour———————

Al Ahli Doha

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Marwan Badredlin906.6—0—23—
Ahmed Reyed Mawla906.2—0—292
Robin Tihi906.9—0—36—
William Troost-Ekong907.3—0—431
Islam Yaseen867.3101281
Hamad Mansoor866.9—0—204
Driss Fettouhi906.9—01473
Suhaib Gannan897.2—1—223
Michel Vlap907.310130—
Julian Draxler687.9101351
Erik Expósito866.5—0134—
Sekou Oumar Yansane226.5—0—10—
Helal Mohammed116.5—0—2—
Ayoub Amraoui116.2—0———
Talal Al-Shila116.7—0—4—
Younis Abdelrahman86.3—0———
Yazan Naim———————
Ali Mohammed Shahabi———————
Amidou Doumbouya———————
Khalid Radwan———————
Khaled Mohammed———————
Nasser Ibrahim———————
Ibrahima Diallo———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerUMM SalalDrawAl Ahli Doha
Bet3652.353.402.55

Snapshot from 27 Apr 2026, 04:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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