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England vs Japan match centre

England badgeEnglandHome
WWWWD
Momentum↘ Falling83/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
Japan badgeJapanAway
DWWWW
Momentum↗ Rising90/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
K. Mitoma23′
Wembley Stadium · LondonSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.1%England
Draw4.8%at full time
Current result estimate95.0%Japan
Another goal8.2%before full time

Next goal: England 5.0% · no further goal 91.8% · Japan 3.2%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
EnglandJapan
11Corner Kicks1
6Fouls11
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves3
693Total passes304
629Passes accurate250

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

England 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Japan 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

England

5/6Wins
3.0Goals / game
0.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect England’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Japan

5/5Wins
2.2Goals / game
0.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Japan’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

England

6 matches
Oldest newest
Results5 wins · 1 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game3.0
Goals conceded per game0.2
Games with 3+ goals3 of 6
Both teams scored1 of 6

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare England at home with Japan away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:20 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Friendlies · 2026/27 · all league matches

EnglandJapan
1Matches played1
1Points earned3
0Wins1
1.0Goals scored / match1.0
1.0Goals conceded / match0.0
0Clean sheets1
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares England at home with Japan away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

England

Confirmed formationPendingThomas Tuchel
  1. 1J. PickfordG
  2. 12B. WhiteD
  3. 2E. KonsaD
  4. 5M. GuehiD
  5. 3N. O'ReillyD
  6. 4E. AndersonM
  7. 8K. MainooM
  8. 15M. RogersM
  9. 7C. PalmerM
  10. 14A. GordonM
  11. 9P. FodenF
Substitutes (14)

13 · D. Henderson

23 · J. Steele

22 · J. Trafford

17 · D. Burn

26 · L. Hall

25 · V. Livramento

6 · H. Maguire

24 · D. Spence

19 · H. Barnes

10 · J. Bellingham

21 · J. Garner

20 · J. Bowen

11 · M. Rashford

18 · D. Solanke

Japan

Confirmed formationPendingHajime Moriyasu
  1. 1Z. SuzukiG
  2. 5T. WatanabeD
  3. 3S. TaniguchiD
  4. 21H. ItoD
  5. 10R. DoanM
  6. 24K. SanoM
  7. 15D. KamadaM
  8. 13K. NakamuraM
  9. 14J. ItoF
  10. 7K. MitomaF
  11. 18A. UedaF
Substitutes (15)

23 · T. Hayakawa

12 · K. Osako

16 · D. Hashioka

4 · A. Seko

2 · Y. Sugawara

25 · J. Suzuki

6 · J. Fujita

8 · Y. Suzuki

17 · A. Tanaka

9 · S. Machino

11 · D. Maeda

19 · K. Ogawa

20 · R. Sato

26 · K. Goto

22 · K. Shiogai

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

England

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jordan Pickford906.6—0—29—
Ben White596.3—0—37—
Ezri Konsa836.9—0168—
Marc Guéhi837.0—0—89—
Nico O'Reilly596.2—0144—
Elliot Anderson907.7—0—1172
Kobbie Mainoo717.3—0—882
Morgan Rogers906.6—0238—
Cole Palmer596.7—0—26—
Anthony Gordon716.7—0—33—
Phil Foden596.3—0—22—
Jarrod Bowen316.3—0110—
Dominic Solanke316.6—0—6—
Valentino Livramento316.9—0—19—
Lewis Hall316.9—01311
Marcus Rashford196.2—0118—
James Garner196.9—0—22—
Harry Maguire127.0—026—
Dan Burn126.6—0—8—
James Trafford———————
Jason Steele———————
Jude Bellingham———————
Harvey Barnes———————
Djed Spence———————
Dean Henderson———————

Japan

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Zion Suzuki907.2—0—31—
Tsuyoshi Watanabe906.7—0—342
Shogo Taniguchi907.5—0—391
Hiroki Itō666.9—0—341
Ritsu Doan716.6—0218—
Kaishu Sano907.5—01314
Daichi Kamada806.9—0—36—
Keito Nakamura807.2—11282
Junya Ito806.9—0—164
Kaoru Mitoma717.9101174
Ayase Ueda666.5—0—10—
Ayumu Seko246.7—0—4—
Koki Ogawa246.5—0—5—
Ao Tanaka196.9—0—3—
Junnosuke Suzuki196.7—0—5—
Yukinari Sugawara107.2—0—21
Yuito Suzuki106.6—0—4—
Shuto Machino106.7—0———
Tomoki Hayakawa———————
Keisuke Osako———————
Joel Chima Fujita———————
Daizen Maeda———————
Daiki Hashioka———————
Keisuke Goto———————
Ryunosuke Sato———————
Kento Shiogai———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Friendlies table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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