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Mexico vs Portugal match centre

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Momentum↗ Rising73/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/London
Portugal badgePortugalAway
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Momentum↘ Falling64/100OlderLatest
Estadio Azteca · Mexico CitySeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate3.5%Mexico
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate4.0%Portugal
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Mexico 3.6% · no further goal 92.3% · Portugal 4.1%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
MexicoPortugal
0Corner Kicks3
7Fouls9
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves1
299Total passes599
234Passes accurate542

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Mexico 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Portugal 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Mexico

6/9Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Mexico’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Portugal

4/6Wins
3.3Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Portugal’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Mexico at home with Portugal away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 00:27 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Friendlies · 2026/27 · all league matches

MexicoPortugal
3Matches played0
9Points earned0
3Wins0
2.0Goals scored / match—
0.0Goals conceded / match—
3Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Mexico at home with Portugal away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Mexico

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Javier Aguirre
  1. 1R. RangelG
  2. 15I. ReyesD
  3. 3C. MontesD
  4. 5J. VasquezD
  5. 23J. GallardoD
  6. 6E. LiraM
  7. 25R. AlvaradoM
  8. 19A. FidalgoM
  9. 18O. VargasM
  10. 24B. GutierrezM
  11. 9R. JimenezF
Substitutes (15)

12 · C. Acevedo

13 · G. Ochoa

27 · J. Angulo

22 · R. Ledezma

21 · E. del Villar

2 · J. Sanchez

20 · D. Garcia

17 · O. Pineda

8 · C. Rodriguez

14 · E. Sanchez

7 · G. Berterame

26 · A. Gonzalez

11 · G. Martinez

16 · J. Quinones

10 · A. Vega

Portugal

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Roberto Martínez Montoliú
  1. 22R. SilvaG
  2. 6M. NunesD
  3. 4A. SilvaD
  4. 13R. VeigaD
  5. 25N. MendesD
  6. 21R. NevesM
  7. 5Samu CostaM
  8. 26F. ConceicaoM
  9. 8B. FernandesM
  10. 10Joao FelixM
  11. 9G. RamosF
Substitutes (15)

12 · J. Sa

1 · R. Velho

20 · J. Cancelo

2 · D. Dalot

14 · G. Inacio

3 · T. Araujo

11 · M. Fernandes

15 · J. Neves

23 · Vitinha

19 · P. Goncalves

17 · Paulinho

7 · G. Guedes

18 · P. Neto

16 · Trincao

24 · R. Horta

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Mexico

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Raúl Rangel907.2—0—34—
Israel Reyes907.3—01353
César Montes906.9—0—23—
Johan Vásquez907.0—0—352
Jesús Gallardo786.7—0—261
Erik Lira786.7—0—211
Roberto Alvarado606.9—01144
Álvaro Fidalgo606.6—0—28—
Obed Vargas456.9—01152
Brian Gutierrez457.0—01161
Raúl Jiménez606.9—0—18—
Carlos Rodríguez456.7—0—161
Julián Quiñones457.2—0—92
Richard Ledezma306.6—0—51
Erick Sánchez306.7—0—81
Germán Berterame306.7—0—6—
Everardo López126.3—0———
Armando González126.3—01——
Guillermo Ochoa———————
Carlos Acevedo———————
Jorge Sánchez———————
Denzell Garcia———————
Jesús Angulo———————
Orbelín Pineda———————
Alexis Vega———————
Guillermo Martínez———————

Portugal

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Rui Silva907.2—0—27—
Matheus Nunes456.6—0—201
António Silva456.9—0—53—
Renato Veiga907.0—0186—
Nuno Mendes456.2—0—181
Rúben Neves456.9—0—501
Samú Costa457.2—01343
Francisco Conceição456.3—0—15—
Bruno Fernandes817.9—0144—
João Félix456.9—0116—
Gonçalo Ramos646.7—028—
João Cancelo456.9—01271
Tomás Araújo456.3—0—32—
Pedro Neto456.9—0227—
Gonçalo Guedes456.5—0—18—
João Neves457.3—0—394
Diogo Dalot456.3—0—19—
Vitinha457.5—0—68—
Paulinho266.3—0—3—
Francisco Trincão96.3—0—4—
José Sá———————
Ricardo Velho———————
Gonçalo Inácio———————
Pedro Gonçalves———————
Mateus Fernandes———————
Ricardo Horta———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Friendlies table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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