Mexico
4/6Wins
1.7Goals / game
0.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Mexico’s results
FriendliesFriendlies 1THE MATCH CENTREMexico vs Paraguay match centre
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Raúl Jiménez54′ (pen)
Antonio Sanabria48′
Damián Bobadilla56′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
MexicoParaguay
—Expected goals · API-Football—
4Shots on target7
9Total Shots14
73%Ball Possession27%
3Corner Kicks3
9Fouls14
3Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves2
514Total passes189
449Passes accurate123
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Mexico 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Paraguay 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Paraguay
2/5Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Paraguay’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Mexico
6 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game0.3
Games with 3+ goals2 of 6
Both teams scored1 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
Paraguay
5 matchesResults2 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals2 of 5
Both teams scored2 of 5
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Mexico at home with Paraguay away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:08 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Friendlies · 2025/26 · all league matches
MexicoParaguay
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Mexico at home with Paraguay away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Mexico
Confirmed formation4-3-3Javier Aguirre Onaindía
- 1
Luis MalagónG - 15
Israel ReyesD - 4
Edson ÁlvarezD - 19
Jesús OrozcoD - 20
Mateo ChávezD - 11
Gilberto MoraM - 6
Erik LiraM - 14
Marcel RuízM - 21
Jorge RuvalcabaF - 9
Raúl JiménezF - 17
Orbelín PinedaF
Substitutes (14)
5 · Johan Vásquez
23 · Jesús Gallardo
25 · Roberto Alvarado
2 · Kevin Álvarez
26 · Armando González
18 · Erick Sánchez
28 · Carlos Acevedo
12 · Raúl Rangel
3 · César Montes
10 · Diego Lainez
8 · Obed Vargas
24 · Alexis Gutiérrez
16 · Fidel Ambríz
7 · Germán Berterame
Paraguay
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Gustavo Julio Alfaro
- 12
Orlando GillG - 13
Alan BenítezD - 2
Gustavo VelázquezD - 5
Alexis DuarteD - 24
Agustín SándezD - 20
Braian OjedaM - 23
Matías GalarzaM - 7
Ramón SosaM - 8
Diego GómezM - 10
Miguel AlmirónM - 9
Antonio SanabriaF
Substitutes (14)
16 · Damián Bobadilla
19 · Julio Enciso
11 · Diego González
18 · Alex Arce
6 · Junior Alonso
26 · Lucas Romero
1 · Gatito Fernández
22 · Aldo Perez
4 · Juan Cáceres
14 · Blás Riveros
15 · Gustavo Gómez
25 · Diego León
17 · Alejandro Romero
21 · Ronaldo Martinez
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Mexico
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Malagón | 97 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 37 | — |
| Israel Reyes | 67 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 32 | — |
| Edson Álvarez | 97 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 93 | — |
| Jesús Orozco | 60 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 49 | — |
| Mateo Chávez | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 20 | 2 |
| Gilberto Mora | 67 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 1 |
| Erik Lira | 97 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 65 | — |
| Marcel Ruíz | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 29 | 1 |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 60 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 6 | — |
| Raúl Jiménez | 97 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 25 | 1 |
| Orbelín Pineda | 97 | 7.9 | — | — | — | 29 | 4 |
| Johan Vásquez | 37 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 37 | — |
| Jesús Gallardo | 37 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 19 | — |
| Roberto Alvarado | 37 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 21 | — |
| Kevin Álvarez | 30 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 15 | — |
| Armando González | 30 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Erick Sánchez | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 9 | — |
| Carlos Acevedo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raúl Rangel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| César Montes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Lainez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Obed Vargas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexis Gutiérrez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fidel Ambríz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Germán Berterame | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Paraguay
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Gill | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 18 | — |
| Alan Benítez | 97 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 22 | 1 |
| Gustavo Velázquez | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 14 | 1 |
| Alexis Duarte | 97 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 13 | — |
| Agustín Sández | 97 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 2 |
| Braian Ojeda | 92 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 21 | — |
| Matías Galarza | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 14 | 4 |
| Ramón Sosa | 68 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| Diego Gómez | 45 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 2 |
| Miguel Almirón | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 13 | — |
| Antonio Sanabria | 68 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | — |
| Damián Bobadilla | 52 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| Julio Enciso | 52 | 8.2 | — | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| Diego González | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 4 | — |
| Alex Arce | 29 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 10 | 1 |
| Junior Alonso | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Lucas Romero | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Gatito Fernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aldo Perez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Cáceres | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Blás Riveros | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Gómez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego León | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Romero | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronaldo Martinez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Friendlies table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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