Newcastle
4/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Newcastle’s results
UEFA Champions LeagueRound of 32THE MATCH CENTRENewcastle vs Qarabag match centre
Full time
3:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
S. Tonali4′
Joelinton6′
S. Botman52′
C. Duran51′
E. Cafarquliyev57′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
NewcastleQarabag
2.780Expected goals · API-Football1.300
8Shots on target6
19Total Shots13
66%Ball Possession34%
9Corner Kicks6
10Fouls4
0Yellow Cards1
Red Cards
4Goalkeeper Saves5
602Total passes325
538Passes accurate259
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Newcastle 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Qarabag 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Qarabag
5/9Wins
1.3Goals / game
2.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Qarabag’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Newcastle
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Manchester CityAway · Premier League1–2QarabagAway · UEFA Champions League6–1Aston VillaAway · FA Cup3–1TottenhamAway · Premier League2–1BrentfordHome · Premier League2–3Manchester CityAway · League Cup1–3LiverpoolAway · Premier League1–4Paris Saint GermainAway · UEFA Champions League1–1Aston VillaHome · Premier League0–2PSV EindhovenHome · UEFA Champions League3–0
Qarabag
9 matchesResults5 wins · 0 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game2.2
Games with 3+ goals6 of 9
Both teams scored5 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
NewcastleHome · UEFA Champions League1–6Mil-MuÄŸanAway · Premyer Liqa1–0Keshla FCAway · Premyer Liqa2–1Keshla FCAway · Cup1–2TuranHome · Premyer Liqa1–0LiverpoolAway · UEFA Champions League0–6KapazHome · Premyer Liqa0–2Eintracht FrankfurtHome · UEFA Champions League3–2Zaglebie LubinAway · Friendlies Clubs3–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Newcastle at home with Qarabag away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:59 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Champions League · 2025/26 · all league matches
NewcastleQarabag
9Matches played15
17Points earned25
5Wins8
2.6Goals scored / match2.0
0.9Goals conceded / match2.2
4Clean sheets4
0Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Newcastle at home with Qarabag away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Newcastle
Confirmed formation4-3-3Eddie Howe
- 32
A. RamsdaleG - 2
K. TrippierD - 4
S. BotmanD - 33
D. BurnD - 37
A. MurphyD - 7
JoelintonM - 8
S. TonaliM - 27
N. WoltemadeM - 23
J. MurphyF - 18
W. OsulaF - 11
H. BarnesF
Substitutes (10)
1 · N. Pope
26 · J. Ruddy
58 · A. Harris
3 · L. Hall
9 · Y. Wissa
10 · A. Gordon
20 · A. Elanga
28 · J. Willock
61 · L. Shahar
62 · S. Neave
Qarabag
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Qurban Qurbanov
- 99
M. KochalskiG - 2
Matheus SilvaD - 55
B. HuseynovD - 81
K. MedinaD - 18
Dani BoltM - 35
Pedro BicalhoM - 8
M. JankovicM - 44
E. CafarquliyevM - 9
J. MontielF - 10
A. Zoubir - 17
C. DuranF
Substitutes (10)
89 · A. Ramazanov
97 · F. Buntic
11 · E. Addai
15 · Leandro Andrade
20 · Kady Borges
21 · O. Kashchuk
22 · M. Qurbanly
27 · T. Bayramov
30 · A. Huseynov
32 · H. Cabrayilzada
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Newcastle
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Ramsdale | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Kieran Trippier | 54 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | 61 | 1 |
| Sven Botman | 54 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 66 | — |
| Dan Burn | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 89 | — |
| Alex Murphy | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 54 | 3 |
| Joelinton | 54 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 2 |
| Sandro Tonali | 90 | 8.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 81 | 2 |
| Nick Woltemade | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | 2 |
| Jacob Murphy | 87 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 35 | 3 |
| William Osula | 73 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Harvey Barnes | 90 | 8.0 | — | 1 | 2 | 34 | — |
| Lewis Hall | 36 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 1 |
| Joe Willock | 36 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 1 |
| Anthony Gordon | 36 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | — |
| Yoane Wissa | 17 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Leo Shahar | 3 | — | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Nick Pope | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| John Ruddy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aidan Harris | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Elanga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Neave | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Qarabag
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Kochalski | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 1 |
| Matheus Silva | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | — |
| Bədavi Hüseynov | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | 1 |
| Kevin Medina | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 4 |
| Dani Bolt | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 3 |
| Pedro Bicalho | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 25 | 3 |
| Marko Janković | 79 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 48 | — |
| Elvin Jafarguliyev | 79 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 1 |
| Joni Montiel | 62 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Abdellah Zoubir | 79 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 42 | 2 |
| Camilo Durán | 69 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| Kady Borges | 28 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Oleksiy Kashchuk | 21 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Toral Bayramov | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Emmanuel Addai | 11 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Musa Qurbanlı | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | — | — |
| Amin Ramazanov | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabijan Buntić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abbas Hüseynov | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leandro Andrade | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hikmat Cabrayilzada | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗UEFA Champions League table
Current standings · UEFA Champions League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 4 |  Tottenham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 17 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 16 | WWWLD |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 16 | WWLWD |
| 7 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 16 | WWLWD |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 16 | WLWLW |
| 9 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 15 | LWLWL |
| 10 |  Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 | WLLLW |
| 11 |  Paris Saint Germain | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 14 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Newcastle | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 14 | DWDLW |
| 13 |  Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 13 | DWWWD |
| 14 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 13 | LDWWW |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 16 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 | WLDWW |
| 17 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 11 | LLDWL |
| 18 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 | WWWLD |
| 19 |  Club Brugge KV | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 10 | WWLLD |
| 20 |  Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 | LDLLW |
| 21 |  Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 | DLWDW |
| 22 | Qarabag | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 | LWLLD |
| 23 |  Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 9 | WWDLL |
| 24 |  Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 25 |  Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 9 | LLWWL |
| 26 |  Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 9 | WLLDW |
| 27 |  Union St. Gilloise | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 | WLLWL |
| 28 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 8 | LLLWD |
| 29 |  Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 | LWDDL |
| 30 |  Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 | LDLWD |
| 31 |  FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 8 | LDWWL |
| 32 |  Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 6 | LWWLL |
| 33 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 4 | LLLLD |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 3 | LLLDL |
| 35 |  Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 1 | LLLLL |
| 36 |  Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 1 | LLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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