Libertad
5/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Libertad’s results
Liga ProMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTRELibertad vs Emelec match centre
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
C. Valencia45′
J. Cevallos61′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
LibertadEmelec
1.890Expected goals · API-Football0.970
1Shots on target1
4Total Shots3
63%Ball Possession37%
0Corner Kicks2
1Fouls3
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
75Total passes51
61Passes accurate38
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Libertad 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Emelec 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Emelec
3/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Emelec’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Libertad
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AucasAway · Liga Pro0–1MacaraHome · Liga Pro1–0Guayaquil City FCAway · Liga Pro2–2Universidad CatolicaHome · Liga Pro2–1Orense SCHome · Liga Pro3–0Delfin SCHome · Liga Pro1–0Barcelona SCAway · Liga Pro0–1Tecnico UniversitarioHome · Liga Pro1–0LDU de QuitoAway · Liga Pro0–0Leones del NorteHome · Liga Pro1–3
Emelec
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Leones del NorteHome · Liga Pro2–1LDU de QuitoAway · Liga Pro0–2Tecnico UniversitarioHome · Liga Pro2–1Guayaquil City FCAway · Liga Pro0–0AucasHome · Liga Pro0–2Mushuc Runa SCHome · Liga Pro1–1Independiente del ValleAway · Liga Pro1–6Orense SCAway · Liga Pro2–0Barcelona SCHome · Liga Pro0–0Delfin SCAway · Liga Pro1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Libertad at home with Emelec away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 08:21 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Liga Pro · 2026/27 · all league matches
LibertadEmelec
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Libertad at home with Emelec away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Libertad
Confirmed formation5-4-1Pablo Buch Juan
- 12
D. CabezasG - 17
E. PattaD - 6
B. CaicedoD - 2
R. MorinigoD - 19
O. QuinonezD - 20
J. G. Rodriguez PerlazaD - 70
V. BrandaM - 63
C. ValenciaM - 80
X. E. Pineda Arana - 49
D. CoronelM - 33
A. ChereF
Substitutes (12)
1 · P. Mina
25 · M. Lucas
8 · S. Castro
18 · Y. Quinonez
10 · G. J. Cortez Casierra
30 · J. Bravo
23 · J. Guisamano
5 · C. Gruezo
66 · J. Estacio
11 · H. Batalla
7 · C. Orejuela
9 · E. Caicedo
Emelec
Confirmed formation4-4-1-1Ezequiel Medran
- 1
M. ValeroG - 13
L. GomezD - 27
F. LeonD - 2
A. LeguizamonD - 30
A. MinaD - 15
L. FragozoM - 5
A. MinaM - 32
J. ValverdeM - 19
J. RuizM - 10
F. PizziniF - 9
R. CarrilloF
Substitutes (12)
90 · E. Bores
4 · E. Segura
51 · S. Valencia
8 · G. Napoli
80 · O. Herrera
21 · J. Cevallos
6 · V. Griffith
16 · S. Quintero
59 · R. Saya
17 · J. Ayovi
7 · L. Klimowicz
11 · T. Arce
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Libertad
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Cabezas | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Elvis Patta | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 1 |
| Bryan Caicedo | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 1 |
| Rodrigo Morinigo | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 2 |
| Orlin Quinonez | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 58 | 1 |
| Jackson Rodríguez | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 1 |
| Vilington Branda | 83 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 5 | 21 | — |
| Cristhian Valencia | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 3 |
| Xavier Pineda | 63 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | — |
| Dany Coronel | 70 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Antony Chére | 70 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| Jostin Bravo | 27 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Gabriel Cortez | 20 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 10 | — |
| Enrique Caicedo | 20 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Carlos Orejuela | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Johan Estacio | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stick Castro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Gruezo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manuel Lucas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yerman Quinonez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jawer Guisamano | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hancel Batalla | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Publio Mina | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Emelec
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Valero | 90 | 8.0 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Luis Gomez | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 2 |
| Luis Fernando León | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 3 |
| Aníbal Leguizamón | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 56 | 2 |
| Ariel Mina | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Luis Fragozo | 76 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 |
| Angelo Mina | 56 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
| Jefferson Valverde | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 1 |
| Juan Ruiz Gómez | 56 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Francisco Pizzini | 56 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Ronie Carrillo | 85 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 3 | 17 | 1 |
| Reixon Saya | 34 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Gonzalo Nápoli | 34 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 23 | 1 |
| José Cevallos | 34 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 37 | — |
| Víctor Griffith | 14 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Luca Klimowicz | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Eduardo Bores | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Orlando Herrera | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stalin Valencia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Estalin Segura | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Teodoro Arce | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Quintero | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jaime Ayoví | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Liga Pro table
Current standings · Liga Pro: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73 | 33 | 40 | 74 | WWLDW |
| 2 |  Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 51 | WWDDW |
| 3 |  Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 51 | WLWWL |
| 4 |  Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 50 | DDDWW |
| 5 |  LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 46 | DWDLW |
| 6 |  Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 44 | DDWLW |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 41 | LWDLW |
| 8 |  Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 39 | LDWLL |
| 9 |  Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 39 | WLLWW |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 39 | LWDWL |
| 11 |  Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 38 | LDDWD |
| 12 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 36 | DLWLD |
| 13 |  Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 33 | LWLLL |
| 14 |  Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 32 | WLLWL |
| 15 |  Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 28 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 21 | DLLWL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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