Barcelona
8/10Wins
2.7Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Barcelona’s results
Copa del ReySemi-finalsTHE MATCH CENTREBarcelona vs Atletico Madrid match centre
90′ · Live
3:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Bernal29′
Raphinha45+5′ (pen)
M. Bernal72′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Barcelona
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Atletico Madrid
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: Barcelona 4.8% · no further goal 92.0% · Atletico Madrid 3.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.BarcelonaAtletico Madrid
—Expected goals · API-Football—
9Shots on target2
20Total Shots6
71%Ball Possession29%
15Corner Kicks0
9Fouls6
3Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves6
667Total passes280
598Passes accurate207
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
Semi-finalsBarcelona 3–0 Atletico Madrid
→Current progressionBarcelona
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Barcelona 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Atletico Madrid 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Atletico Madrid
5/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Atletico Madrid’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Barcelona
10 matchesResults8 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.7
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals10 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Atletico Madrid
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
OviedoAway · La Liga1–0Club Brugge KVHome · UEFA Champions League4–1EspanyolHome · La Liga4–2Club Brugge KVAway · UEFA Champions League3–3Rayo VallecanoAway · La Liga0–3BarcelonaHome · Copa del Rey4–0Real BetisHome · La Liga0–1Real BetisAway · Copa del Rey5–0LevanteAway · La Liga0–0Bodo/GlimtHome · UEFA Champions League1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Barcelona at home with Atletico Madrid away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:31 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Copa del Rey · 2025/26 · all league matches
BarcelonaAtletico Madrid
4Matches played4
9Points earned12
3Wins4
1.5Goals scored / match3.3
1.3Goals conceded / match0.5
2Clean sheets3
1Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Barcelona at home with Atletico Madrid away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Barcelona
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Hansi Flick
- 13
J. GarciaG - 23
J. KoundeD - 5
P. CubarsiD - 18
G. MartinD - 2
J. CanceloD - 22
M. BernalM - 8
PedriM - 10
Lamine YamalM - 16
FermínM - 11
RaphinhaM - 7
F. TorresF
Substitutes (9)
3 · A. Balde
4 · R. Araujo
14 · M. Rashford
17 · M. Casado
20 · D. Olmo
19 · R. Bardghji
25 · W. Szczesny
31 · D. Kochen
43 · T. Marques
Atletico Madrid
Confirmed formation4-4-2Diego Simeone
- 1
J. MussoG - 14
M. LlorenteD - 18
M. PubillD - 17
D. HanckoD - 3
M. RuggeriD - 20
G. SimeoneM - 6
KokeM - 5
J. CardosoM - 22
A. LookmanM - 7
A. GriezmannF - 19
J. AlvarezF
Substitutes (11)
13 · J. Oblak
2 · J. M. Gimenez
15 · C. Lenglet
16 · N. Molina
24 · R. Le Normand
4 · R. Mendoza
10 · A. Baena
11 · T. Almada
21 · O. Vargas
23 · N. Gonzalez
9 · A. Sorloth
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Barcelona
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joan García | 97 | 7.9 | — | — | — | 30 | — |
| Jules Koundé | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 15 | — |
| Pau Cubarsí | 97 | 8.0 | — | — | — | 114 | 2 |
| Gerard Martín | 97 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | 100 | 4 |
| João Cancelo | 97 | 8.5 | — | 1 | 1 | 83 | 4 |
| Marc Bernal | 97 | 8.9 | 2 | — | 5 | 49 | 1 |
| Pedri | 97 | 8.9 | — | — | 1 | 91 | 6 |
| Lamine Yamal | 97 | 9.2 | — | 1 | 3 | 58 | — |
| Fermín López | 64 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 3 |
| Raphinha | 97 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 4 | 45 | 1 |
| Ferran Torres | 64 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 7 | — |
| Alejandro Balde | 58 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 42 | 2 |
| Marcus Rashford | 33 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 15 | — |
| Dani Olmo | 33 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 15 | 1 |
| Ronald Araújo | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Diego Kochen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wojciech Szczęsny | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomás Marqués | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Casadó | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roony Bardghji | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Musso | 97 | 8.7 | — | — | — | 24 | — |
| Marcos Llorente | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 23 | 2 |
| Marc Pubill | 97 | 5.7 | — | — | — | 23 | 1 |
| Dávid Hancko | 97 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 34 | 2 |
| Matteo Ruggeri | 97 | 5.6 | — | — | — | 24 | 4 |
| Giuliano Simeone | 76 | 5.7 | — | — | — | 20 | — |
| Koke | 58 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 21 | — |
| Johnny Cardoso | 97 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 21 | 3 |
| Ademola Lookman | 58 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 17 | — |
| Antoine Griezmann | 97 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 3 |
| Julián Alvarez | 69 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 22 | — |
| Nahuel Molina | 39 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Alexander Sørloth | 39 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 9 | — |
| Alejandro Baena | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 8 | 1 |
| José María Giménez | 21 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Jan Oblak | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clément Lenglet | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robin Le Normand | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mendoza | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Almada | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Obed Vargas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás González | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Copa del Rey table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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