Barcelona
7/10Wins
2.4Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Barcelona’s results
La LigaMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTREBarcelona vs Villarreal match centre
90′ · Live
3:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Lamine Yamal28′
Lamine Yamal37′
Lamine Yamal69′
P. Gueye49′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate99.9%Barcelona
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Villarreal
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: Barcelona 4.8% · no further goal 92.0% · Villarreal 3.3%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.BarcelonaVillarreal
2.960Expected goals · API-Football1.290
7Shots on target1
17Total Shots6
74%Ball Possession26%
3Corner Kicks2
9Fouls8
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves4
762Total passes257
696Passes accurate193
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera DivisiónProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 39 | +61 | 97 | — |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | +42 | 86 | — |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 39 | +24 | 72 | — |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | +18 | 69 | — |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | +11 | 60 | — |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | +5 | 54 | — |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | -6 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -3 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | -2 | 46 | — |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | -12 | 46 | — |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 38 | -15 | 45 | — |
| 13 |  Elche | 38 | -8 | 43 | ↑ 2 |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 15 |  Sevilla | 38 | -14 | 43 | ↓ 2 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 38 | -6 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 17 |  Mallorca | 38 | -10 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  Levante | 38 | -14 | 42 | ↓ 2 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | -16 | 41 | — |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | -34 | 29 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Barcelona 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Villarreal 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Villarreal
3/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Villarreal’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Barcelona
10 matchesResults7 wins · 0 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.4
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals10 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
LevanteHome · La Liga3–0GironaAway · La Liga1–2Atletico MadridAway · Copa del Rey0–4MallorcaHome · La Liga3–0AlbaceteAway · Copa del Rey2–1ElcheAway · La Liga3–1FC CopenhagenHome · UEFA Champions League4–1OviedoHome · La Liga3–0Slavia PrahaAway · UEFA Champions League4–2Real SociedadAway · La Liga1–2
Villarreal
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Barcelona at home with Villarreal away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:07 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
BarcelonaVillarreal
25Matches played25
61Points earned51
20Wins16
2.7Goals scored / match1.9
1.0Goals conceded / match1.0
10Clean sheets8
0Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Barcelona at home with Villarreal away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Barcelona
Confirmed formation4-3-3Hansi Flick
- 13
J. GarciaG - 23
J. KoundeD - 5
P. CubarsiD - 24
E. GarciaD - 3
A. BaldeD - 16
FermínM - 22
M. BernalM - 20
D. OlmoM - 10
Lamine YamalF - 7
F. TorresF - 11
RaphinhaF
Substitutes (10)
2 · J. Cancelo
4 · R. Araujo
8 · Pedri
9 · R. Lewandowski
14 · M. Rashford
17 · M. Casado
19 · R. Bardghji
25 · W. Szczesny
33 · E. Aller
43 · T. Marques
Villarreal
Confirmed formation4-4-2Marcelino
- 1
Luiz JuniorG - 15
S. MourinoD - 6
P. NavarroD - 12
R. VeigaD - 23
S. CardonaD - 19
N. PepeM - 14
S. ComesanaM - 18
P. GueyeM - 20
A. MoleiroM - 9
G. MikautadzeF - 22
A. PerezF
Substitutes (9)
25 · A. Tenas
3 · A. Freeman
4 · R. Marin
10 · D. Parejo
11 · A. Gonzalez
16 · T. Partey
17 · T. Buchanan
21 · T. Oluwaseyi
24 · A. Pedraza
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Barcelona
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joan García | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 1 |
| Jules Koundé | 90 | 8.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 110 | 2 |
| Pau Cubarsí | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 93 | — |
| Eric García | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 103 | 2 |
| Alejandro Balde | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 74 | 1 |
| Fermín López | 90 | 8.3 | — | 2 | 2 | 60 | 5 |
| Marc Bernal | 67 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 59 | — |
| Dani Olmo | 59 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 50 | 1 |
| Lamine Yamal | 73 | 10.0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 47 | — |
| Ferran Torres | 67 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Raphinha | 73 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | 1 |
| Pedri | 31 | 8.2 | — | 1 | — | 55 | 1 |
| Ronald Araújo | 23 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 23 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | — |
| Marcus Rashford | 17 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Roony Bardghji | 17 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Wojciech Szczęsny | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eder Aller | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Cancelo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Casadó | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomás Marqués | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Villarreal
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luiz Júnior | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Santiago Mouriño | 90 | 5.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 30 | 2 |
| Pau Navarro | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 6 |
| Renato Veiga | 90 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Sergi Cardona | 80 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 2 |
| Nicolas Pépé | 84 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Santi Comesaña | 80 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 2 |
| Pape Gueye | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 4 |
| Alberto Moleiro | 67 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 4 |
| Georges Mikautadze | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Ayoze Pérez | 67 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
| Alfonso Pedraza | 23 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Tajon Buchanan | 23 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Dani Parejo | 10 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Alfon González | 10 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Tani Oluwaseyi | 13 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Arnau Tenas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Freeman | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafa Marín | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Partey | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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