Ceara
4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Ceara’s results
Serie BMatchweek 29THE MATCH CENTRECeara vs Novorizontino match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Melquisedeque Costa De Oliveira48′
Rian Bonfim De Santana61′
Matheus Henrique Bianqui45+4′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 18 Sep 22:26 UK.
Odds updated 18 Sep 21:43 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
CearaNovorizontino
—Expected goals · API-Football—
3Shots on target9
8Total Shots24
46%Ball Possession54%
2Corner Kicks9
11Fouls12
4Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
8Goalkeeper Saves1
332Total passes382
240Passes accurate302
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Ceara 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Novorizontino 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 18 Sep, 22:08 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Novorizontino
6/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Novorizontino’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Ceara
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Novorizontino
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Ceara at home with Novorizontino away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 08:25 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Serie B · 2026/27 · all league matches
CearaNovorizontino
28Matches played28
32Points earned50
8Wins14
1.1Goals scored / match1.7
1.3Goals conceded / match0.9
5Clean sheets9
10Failed to score7
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Ceara at home with Novorizontino away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Ceara
2wins4MEETINGS
Novorizontino
2winsSep 2023 – May 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Ceara first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Ceara
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Daniel Paulista
- 1
RichardG - 18
JúlioD - 13
Luiz OtávioD - 4
Luiz OtávioD - 12
SanchezD - 31
BryanM - 81
Joao GabrielM - 60
EnzoM - 40RichardM
- 11
N. FerreiraM - 73
Saulo MineiroF
Substitutes (12)
16 · Rian Bonfim De Santana
7 · Giovanni Pavani
26 · Richardson
2 · Rafael Ramos
23 · Caíque França
29 · Vina
99 · Lucca
77 · Lenny Lobato
45 · Vini Uchella
10 · L. Mugni
8 · Matheus Araújo
6 · Sávio
Novorizontino
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Enderson Moreira
- 93
JordiG - 2
MadsonD - 26
Gabriel BahiaD - 4
PatrickD - 5
SanderD - 6
Luis OyamaM - 17
Matheus BianquiM - 41
ReidineyM - 10
RomuloM - 30
Nicolas CarecaM - 11
RobsonF
Substitutes (11)
19 · Diego Galo
66 · Maykon
15 · Tavinho
18 · Léo Naldi
28 · Marlon
14 · Eduardo Brock
31 · César
50 · Juninho
9 · Carlão
3 · Carlinhos
16 · Vinícius
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Novorizontino
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Galo | 23 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| Vinícius | 11 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Carlinhos | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carlão | 12 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Juninho | 23 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 |
| César | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eduardo Brock | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marlon | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Léo Naldi | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tavinho | 3 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Maykon | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordi | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
| Madson | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 3 |
| Gabriel Bahia | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 2 |
| Patrick | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 46 | 1 |
| Sander | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 2 |
| Luis Oyama | 78 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 44 | 0 |
| Matheus Bianqui | 87 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 41 | 7 |
| Reidiney | 67 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 |
| Romulo | 79 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 0 |
| Nicolas Careca | 67 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1 |
| Robson | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 0 |
Ceara
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sávio | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rian Bonfim De Santana | 45 | 7.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| Giovanni Pavani | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Richardson | 10 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Rafael Ramos | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Caíque França | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vina | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lucca | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lenny Lobato | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vini Uchella | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Mugni | 3 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Matheus Araújo | 45 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 |
| Richard | 90 | 8.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 0 |
| Júlio | 45 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 |
| Luiz Otávio | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 2 |
| Luiz Otávio | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 2 |
| Sanchez | 90 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 0 |
| Bryan | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 2 |
| Joao Gabriel | 87 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 |
| Enzo | 80 | 7.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 6 |
| Richard | 97 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 3 |
| N. Ferreira | 45 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 |
| Saulo Mineiro | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Serie B table
Current standings · Serie B. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vila Nova | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 51 | WDWLW |
| 2 |  Fortaleza EC | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 51 | WDWWD |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 50 | LDWWW |
| 4 |  Juventude | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 50 | LLWDD |
| 5 |  Operario-PR | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 47 | WDWWD |
| 6 |  Criciuma | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 47 | LLLWL |
| 7 |  Atletico Goianiense | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 46 | LWWDW |
| 8 |  CRB | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 45 | LWLWW |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 44 | WLWLL |
| 10 |  Cuiaba | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 43 | WDWLW |
| 11 |  Goias | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 42 | WWLLW |
| 12 |  São Bernardo | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 41 | WWLWL |
| 13 |  Athletic Club | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 41 | DWLWL |
| 14 |  Nautico Recife | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 38 | LDLWW |
| 15 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 35 | WDLWL |
| 16 |  Botafogo SP | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 32 | DLLLL |
| 17 |  Avai | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 30 | LDLLL |
| 18 |  Londrina | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 17 | LLWLW |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 62 | -45 | 13 | WLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Ceara | Draw | Novorizontino |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.45 |
Snapshot from 18 Sep 2026, 21:43 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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