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Serie BMatchweek 29THE MATCH CENTRE

Vila Nova vs America Mineiro match centre

Vila Nova badgeVila NovaHome · 1 in league
DWLWD
Momentum↗ Rising53/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
America Mineiro badgeAmerica MineiroAway · 19 in league
LWLWL
Momentum→ Steady40/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
André Luís14′
Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga · GoianiaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 18 Sep 22:26 UK.

Odds updated 18 Sep 21:43 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.44Our model 65.6%Market 65.7% Draw4.20Our model 21.7%Market 22.5% Away win8.00Our model 12.7%Market 11.8% Bet365 · Updated 18 Sep 21:43 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Vila NovaAmerica Mineiro
5Corner Kicks5
19Fouls15
3Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves1
329Total passes471
259Passes accurate401

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Vila Nova 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

America Mineiro 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 18 Sep, 22:06 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Vila Nova

5/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Vila Nova’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

America Mineiro

3/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect America Mineiro’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Vila Nova at home with America Mineiro away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:59 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Serie B · 2026/27 · all league matches

Vila NovaAmerica Mineiro
27Matches played27
47Points earned17
14Wins4
1.5Goals scored / match0.7
1.1Goals conceded / match1.7
9Clean sheets4
8Failed to score10

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Vila Nova at home with America Mineiro away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Vila Nova

2wins
1 draw

America Mineiro

1wins

Aug 2024 – May 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Vila Nova first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Vila Nova

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Guto Ferreira
  1. 1Helton LeiteG
  2. 22HaynerD
  3. 23Jonathan CostaD
  4. 4Douglas MendesD
  5. 6HigorD
  6. 5João VieiraM
  7. 15DuduM
  8. 17Everton GaldinoM
  9. 10Marquinhos GabrielM
  10. 99JandersonM
  11. 7André LuísF
Substitutes (12)

8 · Willian Maranhão

33 · Bruno Xavier

29 · Dalberson

31 · Dodô

70 · Emerson Urso

18 · Enzo

21 · Higor Meritão

16 · Igor Cariús

20 · Nathan Camargo

13 · Willian Formiga

9 · Puskas Gustavo

11 · Ryan Lima

America Mineiro

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Douglas Leite
  1. 91Bruno BrígidoG
  2. 31Fábio AlmeidaD
  3. 25T. OstchegaD
  4. 3L. SosaD
  5. 4Rafael BarcelosD
  6. 55Otavio GoncalvesM
  7. 8Felipe AmaralM
  8. 20Paulo VictorM
  9. 37Cesar Leme Do Nascimento JulioM
  10. 7Guilherme ParedeM
  11. 9WillianF
Substitutes (9)

77 · M. Segovia

93 · J. Jiménez

1 · Gustavo

5 · F. Elizari

15 · Alex Silva

70 · Kaique Zizero Moreira Dorna

30 · L. Montes

99 · Marcelo Macola

13 · Heitor

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

America Mineiro

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Willian906.6004370
Bruno Brígido906.4000260
Fábio Almeida907.0002362
Felipe Amaral636.5000282
Guilherme Parede326.800360
T. Ostchega866.6002304
Otavio Goncalves866.9002390
Paulo Victor906.400192
Rafael Barcelos906.7001910
L. Sosa906.9002802
Alex Silva00.000000
F. Elizari46.300080
Gustavo00.000000
J. Jiménez277.2000401
M. Segovia586.6001281
Cristian Do Espirito Santo Rodrigues00.000000
Kaique Zizero Moreira Dorna00.000000
L. Montes46.100030
Marcelo Macola276.000121
Heitor00.000000
Cesar Leme Do Nascimento Julio636.4001162

Vila Nova

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Willian Maranhão116.500040
Bruno Xavier00.000000
André Luís867.8102151
Douglas Mendes906.5000381
Dudu906.4002292
Everton Galdino636.6000160
Hayner907.2001281
Higor796.2000251
Janderson906.1001220
João Vieira796.7002252
Jonathan Costa907.0000400
Marquinhos Gabriel636.7002152
Helton Leite907.6000410
Dalberson00.000000
Dodô276.4002171
Emerson Urso00.000000
Enzo00.000000
Higor Meritão00.000000
Igor Cariús116.900040
Nathan Camargo00.000000
Willian Formiga46.200020
Puskas Gustavo00.000000
Ryan Lima277.2002101
2026/27 STANDINGS

Serie B table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie B. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Vila Nova29156841311051
WDWLW
2Fortaleza EC2914963324951
WDWWD
3Novorizontino29148749272250
LDWWW
4Juventude29148731191250
LLWDD
5Operario-PR2913884136547
WDWWD
6Criciuma2913882827147
LLLWL
7Atletico Goianiense29121073627946
LWWDW
8CRB29136104241145
LWLWW
9Sport Recife291111739291044
WLWLL
10Cuiaba29101363022843
WDWLW
11Goias29126113035-542
WWLLW
12São Bernardo29118104031941
WWLWL
13Athletic Club29101183431341
DWLWL
14Nautico Recife29108113536-138
LDLWW
15Ceara2998123137-635
WDLWL
16Botafogo SP2988133236-432
DLLLL
17Avai2986153038-830
LDLLL
18Londrina2977153941-228
LWWLD
19America Mineiro2945202149-2817
LLWLW
20Ponte Preta2934221762-4513
WLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerVila NovaDrawAmerica Mineiro
William Hill1.443.807.00
Bet3651.444.208.00
Marathonbet1.443.947.20
Betfair1.443.907.50
BetVictor1.443.806.50

Snapshot from 18 Sep 2026, 21:43 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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