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FA CupRound of 16THE MATCH CENTRE

Leeds vs Norwich match centre

Leeds badgeLeedsHome
DDDLL
Momentum↘ Falling17/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
3:0
UK time · Europe/London
Norwich badgeNorwichAway
WWLWW
Momentum↗ Rising80/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
S. Longstaff32′
G. Gudmundsson43′
J. Piroe85′
Elland Road · LeedsSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate100.0%Leeds
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Norwich
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Leeds 4.4% · no further goal 91.9% · Norwich 3.7%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
LeedsNorwich
8Corner Kicks0
14Fouls11
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves2
398Total passes373
333Passes accurate302

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

Round of 16Leeds 3–0 Norwich
Current progressionLeeds
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Leeds 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Norwich 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Leeds

2/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Leeds’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Norwich

8/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Norwich’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Leeds at home with Norwich away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 09:33 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

FA Cup · 2025/26 · all league matches

LeedsNorwich
2Matches played2
6Points earned6
2Wins2
2.5Goals scored / match4.0
1.0Goals conceded / match1.0
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Leeds at home with Norwich away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Leeds

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Daniel Farke
  1. 1Lucas PerriG
  2. 23S. BornauwD
  3. 15J. BijolD
  4. 4E. AmpaduD
  5. 3G. GudmundssonD
  6. 22A. TanakaM
  7. 8S. LongstaffM
  8. 7D. JamesM
  9. 10J. PiroeM
  10. 29W. GnontoM
  11. 14L. NmechaF
Substitutes (9)

26 · K. Darlow

24 · J. Justin

18 · A. Stach

25 · S. Byram

5 · P. Struijk

44 · I. Gruev

2 · J. Bogle

11 · B. Aaronson

40 · F. Buonanotte

Norwich

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Philippe Clement
  1. 32D. GrimshawG
  2. 35K. FisherD
  3. 15R. McConvilleD
  4. 33J. CordobaD
  5. 14B. ChriseneD
  6. 23K. McLeanM
  7. 26S. FieldM
  8. 8L. GibbsM
  9. 25P. MaghomaM
  10. 21A. AhmedM
  11. 30M. KvistgaardenF
Substitutes (9)

1 · V. Kovacevic

5 · J. Medic

6 · H. Darling

20 · A. Slimane

42 · T. Springett

18 · A. Forson

16 · J. Wright

3 · J. Stacey

46 · E. Mundle Smith

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Leeds

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Lucas Perri907.3—0—29—
Sebastiaan Bornauw456.3—0—10—
Jaka Bijol907.5—0159—
Ethan Ampadu907.3—0—721
Gabriel Gudmundsson878.9112453
Ao Tanaka707.0—0—472
Sean Longstaff707.7102342
Daniel James706.3—0—111
Joël Piroe908.0102321
Wilfried Gnonto906.7—0229—
Lukas Nmecha907.2—1424—
James Justin456.9—0—191
Pascal Struijk207.0—0—112
Jayden Bogle206.2—0—7—
Anton Stach207.0—0—72
Sam Byram3——0———
Karl Darlow———————
Ilia Gruev———————
Brenden Aaronson———————
Facundo Buonanotte———————

Norwich

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Daniel Grimshaw455.9—0—17—
Kellen Fisher906.3—0—362
Ruairi McConville906.0—0—551
José Córdoba905.9—01691
Ben Chrisene906.5—0—384
Kenny McLean906.7—0169—
Sam Field906.2—0—501
Liam Gibbs626.5—0194
Edmond-Paris Maghoma636.3—01191
Ali Ahmed826.7—0129—
Mathias Kvistgaarden636.3—0—72
Vladan Kovačević456.9—0—23—
Jack Stacey286.0—0171
Anis Ben Slimane276.2—0181
Errol Mundle-Smith276.2—0—7—
Forson Amankwah86.2—0—2—
Jakov Medić———————
Harry Darling———————
Jacob Wright———————
Tony Springett———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

FA Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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